Based on the latest data and technical indicator analysis, the stop loss price for SOL/USDT and subsequent market conditions may exhibit the following characteristics:
Key Stop Loss Position
1. Strong Support Level: 192.31 USDT
- Current 24-hour lowest price; if the price stabilizes here, it may trigger a short-term rebound.
- If it breaks below, pay attention to the psychological support level at 190.46 USDT (historical low), where it may attract bulls to enter.
2. Secondary Support Level: 201.22 USDT (near AVL)
If the price rises above AVL (202.12), it may alleviate short-term downward pressure.
Subsequent Market Forecast
1. Short-term Trend
Rebound Conditions: If the price stabilizes at the 192.31 support, with narrowing MACD negative value (current -2.29), and the gap between DIF and DEA narrows (-9.05 vs -6.76), it may trigger a technical rebound, with target resistance levels at 201.22-212.74 USDT.
Continued Downward Risk: If it breaks below 192.31, be vigilant for an accelerated drop to the 180-185 USDT area (previous lows or psychological levels).
2. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment
Current trading volume (127,000) is significantly lower than the 5-day average (1.12 million), indicating a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. If the trading volume increases during a rebound, the reliability is higher.
24-hour trading volume reached 1.504 billion USDT, indicating significant capital activity, and the movements of major players (such as accumulation or selling) should be monitored.
3. Technical Indicator Signals
MACD: Negative value but histogram shortening, downward momentum weakening, potential bottom divergence possible.
RSI does not indicate overselling: If RSI approaches below 30, it may trigger an oversold rebound.
Operation Suggestions
1. Stop Loss Observation Point: Keep a close watch on 192.31 USDT; if the intraday chart shows a long lower shadow or a significant increase in volume, it can be seen as a stop loss signal.
2. Rebound Target: If it stabilizes at 201.22 USDT, consider attempting a short-term long position with a target of 212.74 USDT (near the 24-hour high).
3. Risk Warning: If the Bitcoin market continues to weaken, SOL may drop in tandem.
4. Position Suggestions: Spot trading can be done with a divided position, while contracts should be handled cautiously.
Summary: Currently, SOL is near a key support level, with short-term rebound opportunities, but the validity of the 192.31 support must be confirmed. If it breaks, risk should be avoided, and a lower position should be awaited. It is recommended to respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions and sentiment.$BTC $SOL #比特币四年周期将改变? #美国加征关税