Bitcoin analysts warn of $95K ‘bear trap’ despite record $102K monthly close

Bitcoin may be headed to a “bear trap” below $95,000 despite staging its first monthly close above $100,000

Bitcoin

BTC

$98,300

fell below the $100,000 psychological mark on Feb. 2 for the first time since Jan. 27 Cointelegraph Markets Pro data shows

The decline comes amid inflation concerns after President Donald Trump imposed import tariffs on goods from China,Canada and Mexico

However the dip could be the start of a wider correction, potentially taking Bitcoin to $95,000, according to Ryan Lee chief analyst at Bitget Research

On the downside, the $95,000 range remains a critical support area. The interplay between labor market trends, Fed policy expectations, and market sentiment will be the main catalysts to monitor in the coming weeks,Lee told Cointelegraph

However, Bitcoin could see more upside in February if next week’s labor market data points to a sluggish economy,added the analyst

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to publish its US labor market report on Feb. 7 Weakening labor market data may strengthen the case for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which creates a more supportive environment for Bitcoin according to Lee

Bitcoin secures record monthly close above $102,000

However, Bitcoin recorded its first monthly close above $100,000 in crypto history in January

Bitcoin closed the month above $102,412 which is over 6% higher than its previous record monthly close of 96,441 registered in November 2024

Some analysts believe that Bitcoin’s current correction may only be a bear trap, including popular crypto analyst Sensei, who shared the below chart in a Feb 2 X post

Despite the potential for a short-term correction, Bitcoin’s prospects remain bullish for the rest of 2025, especially after spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds ETF surpassed a record $125 billion milestone just over a year after they first debuted for trading in the US on Jan. 11, 2024

Analyst predictions for the rest of the 2025 market cycle range from $160,000 to above $180,000