Yesterday's initial value of the actual personal consumption expenditures (PCE) for the fourth quarter in the United States was slightly higher, which may have a transmission effect on today's monthly expenditure rate. Unemployment claims also showed a slight decline. The trend of #比特币 remains uncertain. Tonight's PCE combined with the monthly expenditure rate along with the February closing may provide signals! In the past couple of days, I've also seen several big influencers on the platform consistently optimistic about a sharp rise, and it's also possible that they came across some posts in the media and shared their thoughts.

#DeepSeek Have you heard about the impact on the US market? Directly hitting chip stocks, Nvidia, the industry's dark horse, anyway, it's just awesome. The US stock market also reacted immediately, especially the stock index futures! I won't elaborate too much; this isn't something a loser like me can interpret. Currently, the external uncertainty and risks in the cryptocurrency market are quite high. A few days ago, there was a slight decoupling between the cryptocurrency market and the Nasdaq, and today the drop in the cryptocurrency market has surpassed that of the Nasdaq futures. It is estimated that the US stock market opening tonight won't be good either. This week is a super central bank week, with several central banks announcing interest rate decisions. The most impactful for us is still the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Therefore, this week's economic events are concentrated on Thursday and Friday. Interestingly, the interest rate decision will be announced earlier than #PCE物价指数 . According to the Federal Reserve's usual stance of relying on economic data, it will be difficult to maneuver! There's a basic consensus in the market that there won't be an interest rate cut, although Trump strongly urged Powell to cut rates, the market isn't buying it. So, the key point is Powell's speech, which should be the most important speech of the year. I predict that this time Powell won't be evasive because he has to respond to Trump above and inflation below; he can't be evasive. This is also their first confrontation since Trump took office; hopefully, it won't be a divine battle that harms the innocent. I personally don't have a good outlook on the economic data for Friday, namely the monthly expenditure rate and PCE. I boldly predict it will be bearish, meaning the announced value is more likely to be worse than expected. (Pure personal prediction, not as advice) Under these circumstances, I expect Powell's speech won't be dovish nor overly hawkish; the remarks should lean towards a moderate hawkish tone, and this hawkishness will need to be interpreted by the market itself. #比特币 There's not much to say about the technical aspect; it just revolves around a few reference indicators and structures. Currently, it has reached multiple MA support levels at the 4H level. If it breaks below the next position, it will basically be around 95,000. If you don't have a position, I wouldn't recommend rushing to bottom fish, because with US stock futures looking like this, the US stock market might not be any better. It's better to be cautious and observe for a while. Additionally, there's a serious wind blowing about US stock market bubbles outside, which significantly affects market sentiment. This suggestion is only for long-term players; short-term intraday swings can be done as you like! #加密市场回调