Bitcoin has been experiencing significant volatility in recent weeks, and now the debate is brewing in the market: could BTC fall to $75,000 by Q1 2025? According to Derive analyst Dr. Sean Dawson, this possibility has increased from 7.2% to 9.2% in the last 24 hours. However, other experts do not believe this scenario is likely.
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BTC Volatility: What’s Going On?
In recent days, Bitcoin has seen a significant decline, losing 6.5% of its value in a single day, falling to $97,906 amid a bearish movement in the cryptocurrency and stock markets. The fall was reportedly driven by the launch of a new artificial intelligence model from DeepSeek, a Chinese company that has been shaking up global markets.
However, BTC quickly recovered and is now back at $102,100, reinforcing its resilience in the face of volatility.
Market fear and the search for protection
Dawson’s analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s implied volatility has jumped from 52% to 76%, demonstrating an increase in demand for put options to protect investors against potential downside. This suggests that despite the recovery, there is still some fear in the market about a stronger correction.
Furthermore, the last time Bitcoin was in the $75,000 range was in November 2024, shortly after Donald Trump won the US presidential election. After that, the asset skyrocketed, surpassing $100,000 for the first time in December.
But can BTC repeat this upward movement or will we see a pullback before new highs?
Bitcoin follows the global economy
Analysts at Bitfinex point out that Bitcoin is increasingly tied to the global macroeconomic scenario, and its recent drop reinforces this correlation with traditional markets. This means that events such as central bank decisions, financial crises and regulatory changes can directly impact the price of the cryptocurrency.
For these analysts, BTC is no longer an isolated asset, but rather a fundamental piece within a constantly evolving global financial ecosystem.
Arthur Hayes: Crash Before Explosion to $250K?
While some experts warn of a possible pullback, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has a bold view: he believes Bitcoin could fall to $70,000 to $75,000 before starting an explosive move that could take the cryptocurrency to $250,000 by the end of 2025.
According to Hayes, a sharp drop in BTC could trigger a “mini financial crisis,” forcing governments to resume money-printing policies. This could drive Bitcoin to unprecedented levels.
What to expect from Bitcoin in the coming months?
The market remains divided, but one thing is certain: the volatility is far from over! With macroeconomic factors, SEC decisions on altcoin ETFs, and growing institutional adoption, Bitcoin could either seek new highs or face corrections before rising again.
Fonte: Cointelegraph
📢 What do you think? Will BTC hold $100K or will we see a correction to $75K before new highs? Comment your opinion and like this post!
