1. Overall performance of the market:

Last night, the interest rate was raised by 25% as expected. In his speech, President Bao continued to be hawkish and mentioned "disinflation". He was more optimistic about the decline in inflation, but overall he was dovish. He was hawkish but dovish! After the meeting, US stocks rose sharply, US bond yields fell, and expectations of interest rate cuts rose slightly. The currency market fluctuated before 3 o'clock, and then began to rise after 3:30. The trend of the currency market and US stocks was basically the same. At present, the market expects a 25bp rate hike in March, and then there is a high probability that the rate hike will stop. The rate cut will start as early as September, and the probability of a 50bp rate cut before the end of the year is 100%. In view of the impending recession, we still need to be vigilant about the risk of another adjustment in the US stock market in the next three months, but we can be optimistic about the performance of the US stock market in the second half of the year. As for whether BTC will follow the pace of the US stock market at that time? I don't know. But as a risky asset with a small market value and high volatility compared to the US stock market, there is no reason for BTC not to follow the monetary cycle. We will also pay attention to the US non-agricultural data tonight.

From a technical perspective, BTC has reached the dense chip area of ​​the last rebound. Will it eliminate the pressure through a pullback or sideways pressure? The long headache point is around 22950, ​​and the short headache point is around 25900. The recent large-scale Brownian oscillation zone is roughly in the range of 22950-25900. We don't predict how it will go in the future, just follow the trend.

2. Track Analysis:

There is a saying about sector rotation in the cryptocurrency circle: public chain > defi > application (such as GAMEFI), etc. Another thing is to speculate on new rather than old. This week's focus is on the leaders: Dragon One: Decentralization is the soul of the industry and the only way for the industry to develop. Corresponding varieties: DYDX, GMX, UNI, CAKE. Wallet echelon: SFP, C98, TWT, etc. Dragon Two: LTC, 1DASH, BCH, which are concepts of production reduction, are worth seeking opportunities for long-term intervention. LTC is the leader of the production reduction concept, and the callback opportunity should be cherished for fixed investment. Dragon Three: New public chains have seen a large increase last month, such as APT and OP. Dragon Three is likely to be project-side such as: gala, mana, etc.

3. Sharing of short-term trading opportunities

In this current bull market rebound, short-term experts may benefit greatly. Short-term trading depends on your own level and energy. If you don't have it, just grasp the big cycle opportunities, especially the opportunities of mainstream coins. The currency circle's copycat coins make a lot of money, but there are also many people who are trapped. Short-term trading opportunities are suitable for short-term players. I pay more attention to long-term opportunities. Short-term trading funds are less and the frequency is less. Short-term trading opportunities should be selected from the leading track. Find the corresponding varieties and draw lines at the 1-hour and 4-hour levels to find buying and selling points.

Conclusion: Daily review is only for organizing one's own investment ideas. Views are also formed based on one's own cognition. The corresponding currencies are only for reference and do not constitute advice. DYOR.