1. Cryptocurrency Market Quick Pass
1. Altcoin market
Currently, ETH/BTC continues to fall and has hit the bottom for the third time. I hope this will be the last time this year.
BTC.D is fluctuating upward on the 4-hour chart. If there is another big drop, it may touch the 60% pressure level again.
2. Fear and Greed Index
70 Greed
3. Liquidation heat map
There is nearly 100 million liquidity around 98466 above, but there is 1 billion below 90852.
2. Cryptocurrency News Express
1. Source: Trader Eugene is a co-founder of Tangent Ventures and a seed round investor of ENA tokens. According to X platform user @MiyaHedge, "Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio (nicknamed Pigeon) is Darryl Wang (@0xWangarian), co-founder of Tangent Ventures. He once claimed that he did not accept payment from anyone; it is very bad to promote without disclosure. However, he is a seed round investor of ENA tokens. If Darryl can prove that he has nothing to do with Tangent Ventures and an independent law firm verifies this, I am willing to provide $1 million (or any amount he wants) in funds as a guarantee. What Darryl is doing is highly illegal under Singapore law; it is an exploitative act for retail investors who trust Binance data. Although it is an open secret among traders in Singapore that Eugene is Tangent, I believe that more than 99% of the crypto community does not know about it.
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2. Trump's son Eric Trump has followed Sui Network's official account X. PANews reported on January 15 that according to Sui ecosystem member David Ticzon, Eric Trump, son of former US President Trump, has followed Sui Network's official account on social platform X.
3. A whale bought 7.05 million AIXBT tokens for $3.03 million in the past 24 hours. According to Onchain Lens, a whale bought 7.05 million AIXBT tokens for $3.03 million in the past 24 hours. Currently, the whale holds a total of 7.9 million AIXBT, with a total value of approximately $5.76 million.
4. Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of $1.1527 million yesterday, ending a four-day net outflow. According to SoSoValue data, on January 14, Eastern Time, Ethereum spot ETF had a total net inflow of $1.1527 million yesterday. Almost all of it was a net inflow from Bitwise ETF ETHW. Currently, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETF is $11.398 billion, accounting for 2.94% of Ethereum's total market value, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $2.414 billion.
5. Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net outflow of $210 million yesterday, marking the fourth consecutive day of net outflow. According to SoSoValue data, on January 14, Eastern Time, Bitcoin spot ETFs had a total net outflow of $210 million yesterday. Among them, WisdomTree ETF BTCW: a single-day net inflow of $10.2372 million, a historical total net inflow of $239 million, the ETF with the largest net inflow yesterday. VanEck ETF HODL: a single-day net inflow of $5.4596 million, a historical total net inflow of $825 million. At present, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs has reached $108.981 billion, accounting for 5.7% of the total market value of Bitcoin, and the historical cumulative net inflow is $35.722 billion.
6. A whale deposited 6 million USDC into Hyperliquid and shorted HYPE tokens. According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale deposited 6 million USDC into Hyperliquid and shorted HYPE tokens at an entry price of $22.55. The transaction has currently lost about $46,600.
7. A whale purchased 1.79 million USD of PEPE tokens, and the cumulative loss from the previous four transactions reached 1.66 million USD. According to Onchain Lens, a whale purchased 101 billion PEPE with 1.79 million USDC. This was the fifth time the whale traded PEPE, and the cumulative loss from the previous four transactions reached 1.66 million USD.
8. On-chain holdings of Trump family crypto project World Liberty: USDC accounts for the largest proportion. According to Arkm data, the total value of on-chain assets of Trump family crypto project World Liberty is approximately US$16.748 million, of which USDC stablecoin holdings are the largest, reaching US$7.08 million. Other major holdings include:
•ETH: 1,149, approximately US$3.7 million.
• AAVE: 6,137, about $1.81 million
• WBTC: 17.62, about $1.71 million
• LINK: 78,387, about $1.6 million
• ENA: 741,687, about $607,000
• ONDO: 134,216, about $153,000
3. Fast Pass for Popular Currencies
1. BUTTHOLE
2. $AIXBT
3. S
4. VIRTUAL
5.AI16Z
6. ANON
7. HAT
8. $SUI
9. WHAT
10. $SUN
11. XRP
12. $ETH
13. FARTCOIN
14. GRIFFAIN
15. GRIFT
4. Cryptocurrency Blogger Quick Pass
1. Top Trader Doves
He said yesterday: "While I am bearish overall, I think some coins have fallen to a level where I think any kind of mean reversion will lead to a violent rally. Therefore, I have started to get into these coins in small amounts."
What he meant was that many altcoins had fallen to the bottom of strong support and would rebound violently, so he started buying in small positions to take advantage of the rebound.
2. Top Trader Nachi
He said yesterday: Hang in there guys. We're almost there. $BTC finally hit the attraction zone on the chart after a strong liquidation across the board and reacted strongly, closing the daily line back into the range >91k.
Last night’s low is an important reference point and my base case view is that the market will form a bottom over the next two weeks or so, building a bottoming area around Trump’s inauguration before rallying again.
The same applies to the hottest areas like AI agents/platforms, DeFAI and related sectors. Like many of you, I have experienced 50%+ drawdowns even on the top AI agent platforms/frameworks, but I did not give up and took the opportunity to buy more. I still believe that the metaverse of AI agents is still in its early stages and I refuse to transfer my wealth to those who are more patient than me.
So hang in there. We are getting really close. The market keeps testing our faith with huge pullbacks. If you can’t handle the pain, you can’t enjoy the potential gains that come with it. That’s the nature of the game we’re in.
He agrees with Vivian that a big bull market is about to come, but there will be huge fluctuations in the two weeks before Trump's inauguration, which is also an opportunity to buy at the bottom.
3. Trader Vivian
The frequency and content of her recent updates are much more than before, and only a part of them are posted here.
She expects that there will be large fluctuations after the CPI data comes out tonight Beijing time, and altcoins will have huge risks of pullback.
In the short term, she believes that there will still be ups and downs in the next two weeks, with huge fluctuations.
In the long run, she believes that the first half of 2025 will be a bull market.
In terms of operation, her spot orders have not been moved, but she is ready to change to market buy at any time. In addition, she occasionally makes some short-term short orders with a small position.
She reminds people every day not to add leverage, as there is enough profit margin just by doing spot trading.
4. Top Trader Saint Pump
He compared the market low yesterday with his own forecast on January 9, and the error was about 2%.
He said: "It can't go any lower. That was the last wave of panic and the shorts are piling up at the bottom. The S&P 500 closed above the daily EMA and interest rates also look close to a top. Everything is aligning."
He doesn't think there will be any new lows.
5. Trader Emperor
He said: The entire trading strategy for BTC in the past 6 months has been to buy the pullback when everyone starts to call for the top, and then make 5-10% in the swing trade. The easiest trading season is the post-halving period. No drop below 87K = bullish. Accumulation between 95-97K = very bullish. .
He thinks the outlook is very bullish.
6. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
Daily chart on January 15, 2025
Yesterday I said that "the blue dot is the bottom of a small level, and as long as it does not fall below the green dotted line of 93100, it is expected to expand the level". The level has been expanded, and a driving wave has been formed from the blue dot. Its 5 sub-waves are still continuing.
It is not a retracement until it falls by $2020. After the retracement, there will be at least one more upward impact of 100450. The red dotted line 98684 is the boundary between strength and weakness. The possibility of the blue dot falling below again is reduced, and even if it falls below again, it will quickly find the bottom and start to rise. After the end point of the green dot adjustment is found, it will rise to 115794 and 142252.
What he meant was that the possibility of BTC falling below 89K is very small, and even if it falls below that, it will be a spike.
V. Conclusion
Many people have asked me recently $BTC
How much can it rise, how much can it fall, and when will it fall... How would I know? Even if someone has a God's perspective, they will not tell you the answer. They would have made a fortune quietly. This is why the top traders don't like to update social media.
Due to the decline the day before yesterday, my pending order was not executed and I am still short. But I am not panicked at all. I was not panicked when it was 10.2K last week, so there is nothing to worry about now.
I know it's hard to miss out, but the altcoins I want to buy are still fluctuating at the bottom and have not stabilized. If you are very worried about missing out, you should buy some of your positions first. Now many coins are at the bottom range. When to buy is nothing more than a question of profit margin. The premise is to do spot trading.
Although I do rebate, I will earn more when others open contracts, but I always advise everyone not to add leverage and just do spot trading. But if you do it, I suggest you use stop loss.
I have not changed my pending order and am still waiting for the opportunity to buy at the bottom.
statement:
The above information is for reference only and is not a trading advice. The cryptocurrency circle is high-risk and you should be cautious when participating.
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