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$ETH #美国2月PPI数据低于预期 ### **短期趋势判断** - **中性偏多震荡**：当前价格突破1,900 USDT心理关口，短期EMA（7日）高于中长期EMA，显示多头仍有动能。但MACD潜在死叉和成交量下降可能限制涨幅，需警惕回调风险。 - **关键阻力位**：1,920 USDT（24h最高价），若站稳1,900并突破1,920，可能进一步测试1,950。 - **关键支撑位**：1,860 USDT（24h最低价附近），若跌破1,880，可能回撤至1,860寻求支撑。 ### **可能情景** 1. **乐观情景**（概率40%）： 若市场情绪持续乐观且成交量回升，ETH可能站稳1,900后上攻1,920-1,950区间，目标涨幅约1.5%-3%。 2. **中性情景**（概率50%）： 价格在1,860-1,920之间震荡，受MACD和RSI中性信号影响，短期缺乏明确方向，需关注比特币动向和外部市场消息。 3. **回调情景**（概率10%）： 若未能守住1,900且成交量持续低迷，可能回踩1,860支撑位，跌幅约2%-3%。 ### **操作建议** - **突破策略**：若价格站稳1,920且成交量放大，可轻仓追多，目标1,950。 - **防守策略**：若跌破1,880，建议止损观望，等待1,860附近企稳信号再介入。 - **关注指标**：MACD能否修复死叉、RSI是否进入超买/超卖区，以及比特币联动走势。 ### **总结** 未来两天ETH大概率维持震荡格局，突破1,920或跌破1,860将决定短期方向。建议以区间操作为主，严格设置止损，并关注市场突发事件（如监管动态或宏观政策变化）。
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#美联储维持利率不变 没有改变，就是最好的政策，加油干
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11256
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$ETH 注意前面压力位置，若突破了接多#加密市场反弹 $ETH 现阶段3270
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#2025新年加密愿望清单 希望老二重拾信心❤️#特朗普加密政令 $ETH
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