Current Situation Analysis:
Spot Trading Generally at a Loss: Over 90% of spot traders are in a loss position, unless they are early investors who have held long-term. Most cryptocurrencies are priced lower than in March-April of last year, and despite participation in strong coins like PEPE, SUI, and BGB, returns have been limited due to small positions or not holding them.
Market Misjudgment:
The market in March-April of last year was misinterpreted as a bull market, with declines seen as mere corrections without timely profit-taking.
The market in November of last year was also viewed as the start of a bull market, but in reality, it was just a typical phase often seen at the beginning and end of the year, boosted by ETF expectations, but the market sentiment was excessively driven by FOMO.
Patience of Whales and Market Rebalancing: Looking back at the bull market of 2021, starting from Ethereum breaking its previous high, altcoins experienced several times growth. However, current whales are more patient and have washed the market price back to its original low, gradually beginning new positions.
Strategic Recommendations:
Filter Out Noise: Do not blindly trust market news, but pay attention to institutional behavior, such as BlackRock, MicroStrategy, Grayscale, and funds associated with Trump continuously purchasing BTC and ETH, indicating a long-term bullish intention.
Diversified Positioning: Allocate part of the funds to hold strong leading coins for the long term, while using another part for swing trading to balance returns and risks, avoiding emotional trading.
Core Viewpoint: Be patient in positioning, pay attention to institutional actions, stick to strategy execution, and avoid interference from short-term market sentiment. #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC?