#市场调整策略 Tonight is destined to be another sleepless night. At 21:15, the ADP employment report and the number of initial jobless claims will be released one after another. If the ADP employment data performs poorly or the number of initial jobless claims unexpectedly rises, it may exacerbate market concerns about the speed of economic recovery and further affect the Fed's monetary policy expectations. Last night, Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook issued a rare and direct warning to the US stock market. Lisa Cook said that many asset classes, including stocks and corporate bonds, are highly valued, and these markets may face the risk of a sharp decline due to adverse economic news or changes in investor sentiment.

Bitcoin rebounded slightly above 970,000 in the morning and then ushered in a large volume of shorts. The price fell all the way back to around 95,500 and fluctuated. The daily line fell back after a series of positives at the beginning of the week. Yesterday, it stopped at 102,700 and fell back under pressure. The daily line returned to the oscillation, and the strength of the strong sustainability was insufficient. From the four-hour chart, the 4-hour chart broke the strong continuous positive structure, and at the same time fell below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and closed below it. It can be seen that the recent trend is more inclined to a wide range of tug-of-war rather than a strong unilateral trend. In the morning, it was under pressure near 97500 and then turned to fall. The next target is to look at the lower track or the trend line. The price returned to the oscillation range of last week. In the evening, pay attention to the break of the previous rising position below. In view of the recent repeated trends, the short-term thinking in the evening will be treated as a oscillation thinking first, and then adjust the thinking after breaking down.

The price of Ethereum fell all the way back to 3350 and oscillated. The daily line fell in a big negative retracement. It opened high and went low to complete the retracement and closed low, forming a retracement of one negative swallowing four positives. From the four-hour chart, the 4-hour chart rose slowly and fell quickly. The rise is a continuous small broken positive rise, and the big fall is a big negative line with a small positive line rebound correction and then a big negative line decline. Last week, it continued to rise, and the one-day decline has lost nearly half of the rising space. At the same time, the 4-hour chart lost the middle track and weakened, with a large volatility base. The short-term process was circuitous and repeated, which was more challenging for the entry point. The hourly moving average indicator was in a messy divergence after a setback, and the short-term still needed time to see back and forth. The overall situation is still in transition and adjustment. In the evening, we should pay attention to the break of the 3300 integer mark below. In the evening, we should keep the low point support and continue to look for continuation. If it breaks down, we will adjust the thinking.