Your analysis makes sense, it usually ranges from 0.95 to 1.03

$USUAL They know that if they let the currency rise, many will sell and never come back, so they keep the price low, dumping tokens whenever the price threatens to rise, thus keeping everyone who bought high to generate more liquidity. The project itself may be good, but no one is here because of the project, we are here for the money, simple as that, otherwise we would be philanthropists and not investors and traders.