According to Polymarket data, Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election against Kamala Harris have recently declined to 53.8%. This shift indicates that traders and political observers are less confident about Trump's victory as the race intensifies.
The betting odds, which often capture public sentiment, hint that Harris may be gaining ground as the election approaches. With only a slight lead for Trump, the competition looks tighter than anticipated and could go either way depending on evolving voter opinions.
As election day nears, these odds may shift further due to campaign events, debates, and changes in public perception. Polymarket's data underscores the uncertainty and high stakes of what promises to be a closely contested election.
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