On Thursday, betting activity on Polymarket showed former President Donald Trump taking a lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 race.
As of press time, Trump's odds were 55.8%, while Harris trailed at 43.7%.
This shift in Trump's favor has been observed since around October 5, about five days ago.
Polymarket participants are expressing confidence that Trump will win four of the six key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Harris currently holds Nevada.
The two states are neck and neck in Wisconsin, with bettors split on the outcome there.
Overall, Polymarket users predict that Trump will win the presidency and that Republicans will take control of the Senate. However, they also predict that the House of Representatives will go to the Democrats.
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