The impact scores of multiple major events on $BTC prices - analysis based on creative scoring models
Escalation of conflict between Iran and Israel: +6 points
Geopolitical tensions often increase the attractiveness of Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. If the conflict escalates further, it will trigger a larger regional war, thereby boosting investor demand for Bitcoin.
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 83.5%: +4 points
According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 83.5%, and the probability of maintaining interest rates at 4.75%-5.00% is 16.5%.
Ethereum network gas fee rises to 68 gwei: +2 points
The increase in gas fees has increased the usage of the Ethereum network, reflecting the increase in market activity. When Ethereum's strong performance drives the rise of the entire crypto market, it has a positive impact on the broader market.
The surge in cryptocurrency sponsorships for Premier League clubs: +1 point
The short-term impact is limited.
Grayscale transfers 900 BTC to Coinbase: +1 point
The performance of institutional investors rebalancing their portfolios may cause market volatility in the short term, but the specific impact still needs to be observed in the subsequent trading direction.
Global cryptocurrency adoption rate is close to 8%: +2 points
Comprehensive score: +12 points
*Reference benchmark: The impact of the initial stage of the Russian-Ukrainian war is +10 points, reflecting the global attention to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset.
Key moments in the future:
Market dynamics may intensify during the November 5 election and the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement meeting.
