Let’s talk about US stocks this weekend. US stocks are currently falling below the long-term rising channel. It is a signal that I am bearish. I will be short on US stocks when the market opens next week depending on the situation. Why should I always be short on US stocks? If the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues to develop, it will have a drastic impact on the U.S. stock market. The logic is that if the Palestinian-Israeli conflict continues to intensify, if the Middle East countries participate in supporting the most powerful weapons besides military and weapons, Crude oil, because the same thing happened in the 1970s. The current situation is that Russia has announced that it will cut crude oil production until 2024, so the price of crude oil itself remains high. The current economic situation of the U.S. stock market is most afraid of the soaring crude oil. Rising crude oil prices will lead to rising prices in the United States. After all, crude oil is an industry. Blood, rising prices will cause inflation to continue to rise. We can see the data. Crude oil has been rising in the past two months, and the US cpi and pce data have rebounded. If Middle Eastern countries do not cooperate with the United States in lowering crude oil prices and begin to reduce crude oil production on a large scale, U.S. inflation will continue to soar. Inflation is soaring, and U.S. bond yields will continue to rise. The higher the cost of bond issuance, the harder it is to support the U.S. economy. Needless to say, the performance of U.S. stocks. Of course, the above inference is based on the fact that countries in the Middle East have begun to cut production and strictly control crude oil prices. situation. I think the short-selling trade starts with the breakdown of the long-term rising channel in the United States. Whether it can succeed or not can only be judged by the book.