If you are a newbie or a semi-novice, after reading this article, your understanding of the currency circle and your trading ability will definitely improve to a higher level. Believe me, if not, that is impossible.
Retail investors: Randomly do it. This coin has risen. I missed it. It has risen so much. Is it going to fall? Short it in. Damn, it's still rising, I lost. Damn, I'm not reconciled, I don't believe it, continue to short. Peng liquidated!
kol: Today Trump will...., the US stock market will.... Wall Street will.... Wall Street enters the market... This coin will rise (three months later)
Those who play Heyue are all idiots. (Fill in the commission rebate, it's really good to eat commission rebates. I only analyze and output content, I don't trade myself. Eat commission rebates, accept advertisements, zero risk, earn a lot) While scolding Heyue the most, while eating Heyue commission rebates.
Professional traders and order takers: Trends, pinbar, shooting stars, bullish engulfing, pregnant lines. Golden cross, death cross. m top, head and shoulders, wave theory, entanglement theory.
When I opened the market, I saw that I have encountered such trends countless times in my 8 years as a professional trader. Combining confidence, entering the market, and sending a battle team to lead orders, don't worry, brother, you will make money, I will tell you why!
In addition to this long, novice popular science article, Doug has also written: (Novice Naked K Warfare.
Enter the main text
Table of Contents:
1. Basic application logic of K-line market technology.
2. What are the differences between the large order logic of altcoins and BTC? If you choose altcoins.
3. How to play in the primary market and where can I buy 100x coins!
The prelude to the bull market!
The market is active, and many fans who have joined Doug said that they liquidated a lot because of blind trading and lacked basic concepts and methods for trading.
Explain a practical order trading logic and concept, including K-line market technology, order placing concepts under trend market conditions, order placing differences between BTC and altcoins, contract, spot entry ideas, and participation in potential projects and gambling in the primary ecological chain!
1. Is there a K-line technique that can completely accurately predict the market trend.
K-line, various commonly used technical indicators, such as: Fibonacci, Bollinger Bands, Moving Average (MA), and various trends, trends, windows, M top, doji, shooting star, hammer line, three red soldiers, etc.
If you want to learn trading techniques, K-line market technology is the best to improve the winning rate and judge the trend. But if you don't use it well, if you use it blindly, or even mix all the indicators together, you will definitely lose everything.
Technology is a tool, and the technique and method of using it is to use its skills and methods, not to be immutable. The conclusion is that there is no 100% accurate technical indicator, only a usage method that can increase the winning rate without losing everything!
First of all: Let me talk about a few of the ones I usually like to use for trading.
In my personal trading system, the core proportion is the combination of entanglement theory and price behavior.
Then supplemented by other auxiliary indicators, of course, these two articles will not talk about it, those who understand will understand, no book can finish it, go and read the book yourself.
Today, I will mainly talk about several auxiliary indicators commonly used by Doug for judgment.
1. macd.
This is known as the king of indicators, suitable for all levels, simple and easy to use.
See the picture below,
Three lines: The white line with large fluctuations is the fast line, the yellow line with small fluctuations is the slow line, and the red and green middle is the zero axis.
Usage:
When the white crosses the yellow from top to bottom, it is a death cross, and when it crosses the yellow from bottom to top, it is a golden cross. The death cross is bearish, and the golden is bullish.
If the dead cross occurs below the zero axis, the bearish power increases. On the contrary, it is easier to reverse if the bearish power above is weaker.
The golden cross is the same in reverse.
But if the death cross occurs above, but extends through the zero axis. The bearish power increases.
Used to judge the trend.
The line is above the zero axis, rising, and the line is falling.
Okay, the article is limited, let's just say so much simply. It is already very good for a beginner like you to have this. For more detailed learning, find me to learn or watch the video.
For example, the focus is on divergence: the article is limited and more complicated.
2. ma moving average:
This is an indicator that is operated on the market, and it is also an indicator that Doug thinks must be used.
First, let's talk about Doug's settings: 20, 50, 120, and 200 four.
See the picture below
According to price behavior, you will find that each callback and rebound of the price is likely related to the moving average.
For example, look at the picture. On the hourly level, the major callback rebound point has fallen on the purple line 200 three times.
Small callback, at 120.
Of course, the charts displayed at each level are different, but the usage of the moving average is the same. Then you need to find the current level that is supporting the line. Of course, other lines can also be used as potential support points and callback points. If the support line of 15 minutes is 200, then change it to one hour, it may be 50
Realize this yourself, you will know it if you use it more.
Just take it and use it. As for the golden cross, death cross, and divergence of the moving average. You can watch videos to learn.
I personally use the golden cross of the moving average as the basis for entering the market.
That way, it may be halfway up the mountain, and I have better entry methods.
3. Fibonacci retracement
This is also a very useful indicator, and it is also an indicator that most traders will use.
Moreover, it is simple and easy to learn! It is also applicable to all levels. The larger the personal practical experience level, the higher the accuracy rate, such as four hours.
But you can pull all levels to determine the support point.
How to use it:
See the picture below. Choose the level you are about to do.
In another trend. From the lowest point of the shadow line, pull to the highest point of the shadow line. Then each line is a potential support.
We generally look at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.
50% and 61.8% are the most probable, that is, this range. Potential support level.
If you also turn on the MA moving average, you will find that the 50 line may overlap with a certain moving average.
The same operation applies to looking at rebounds in a downtrend (isn't it simple?)
Of course, this is not absolute support, but potential support.
So where does the Fibonacci retracement support fail to break? Generally, it is the 78% line
That is to say, if you enter at the 50 line, you can put the loss at the 78 line.
You can also go long, when the loss is placed below 50% of the callback, right? There are many uses.
You can also use the 50 line as a take-profit target, right?
More specific usages, I won't write them one by one. Watch videos, read books, or directly ask Doug for strategies.
Note: Any indicator is the basis for judging the market, but the good entry point is not the golden cross death cross.
When learning K-lines, you must know the various forms of K-lines. Shooting stars, bullish engulfing, morning stars. Pregnant lines, piercing waiting are good entry signals. The w low and head and shoulders breakthrough are also very good judgments.
Where do you learn these? There are a lot of them online, even children can learn them.
4. Volume: It is best to use, look at experience, and the difficulty is high. I won't say it here. If you are interested, find me to learn.
5. Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channel: and a series of channel indicators.
This is considered a new indicator for beginners to learn, and it is also an indicator that new KOLs like to use for analysis.
But there are many traps
For channel indicators, I can only say that they have a certain reference significance, but it is not recommended to use channel indicators to trade.
Old traders generally like to call it the hindsight channel because it changes with the market.
Old traders who use it well will set their own indicator values. On the daily line level, it does have reference significance, such as the possible bull top. Of course, this is generally used by KOLs who only analyze and do not operate in actual trading. Because I analyzed that Bitcoin may fall to $110,000, which is indeed correct, I said it every day, but it may fall 3 months later.
Small level, the reference significance for major changes in the overall trend of the market is relatively small, and can only be used as a double reference.
When there is a market, such as a sharp rise or a sharp fall, I generally don't look at the channel.
But for example, in a bear market, there is no market, sideways oscillation, and the trend is a straight channel, you can use it.
If you want to short at the current position, look at some moving averages, suppression, the position is also above the oscillation range, and then open the Bollinger Bands, the position is also on the upper rail, then short.
For me, this is the only function, you can use it or not, it just adds confidence. Maybe there are also people who use it well, welcome to lead the discussion.
Many traders who specialize in short-wave contracts and only use channel indicators are generally also beginners.
Okay, there are too many indicators to be covered in one article. Mastering the first three I said is already very powerful and considered an entry.
Knowing entanglement theory and price behavior will open the door to a new world of trading. I said.
So the most critical question is, if you learn the K-line indicators I said, can you apply them? Yes, but learning it crookedly and over-relying on it will hinder your cognition and increase your greed.
This is the biggest difference between ordinary new leeks and professional traders.
For example: Bollinger Bands, according to technical indicators,
The first and second positions have already formed an effective breakthrough of the upper rail, and there has not been much increase above, but it has quickly fallen back.
For example, in a special market, the wave of interest rate cuts on that day exploded. If you use a small-level left-side trading to do this order, maybe you won't lose money, but the market you missed is already mentally depleted!!!
Long-term use of channel indicators can indeed improve the winning rate of short waves in range oscillation markets.
However, this kind of winning rate easily makes people blindly confident, giving rise to the greedy thought of heavy positions, which is why many inexperienced traders like to bring fans to liquidate their positions with heavy positions. If they really understand, they won't liquidate!
So in actual combat operations, how should we do the correct K-line and market judgment ideas?
Due to the limited length of the article, I can't say much. Here I will simply talk about the basic logic:
First point: Try to follow the trend to place orders. There are not so many reversals in the world. 3
New newcomers like it. This coin has risen. I missed it. It has risen so much. Is it going to callback? Short it in. ??? Then die
First look at the big level trend and judge a general direction:
For example, the current 9.24 BTC daily line level trend is starting to show a reversal trend (although it is not completely formed yet). The last bottom of the daily line level is already higher than the previous one. As long as it breaks through the 68000~70000 range and stabilizes, it may really enter the next wave of upward trend. This depends on the end of the year. The large level forms a bullish outlook.
Knowing the large level, we are cautious to short with heavy positions, or take long-term shorts. (Note that the big trend is composed of countless small trends. When you choose the market to play short waves, you can't directly copy the big trend unless you have a lot of money and don't mind being trapped)
Then we don't take it for a long time now, what should we do for range contracts.
Take my recent BTC as an example: Doug's BTC operation ideas on the 22nd → Click to view
First of all, the big trend is long, but it is Sunday, and the market liquidity is small, so there is not much fluctuation. If we look at whether there are any major negative or positive news in the market today, we checked and determined that there is none, and then we look at the long-short ratio, which is basically the same. Look at the volume, and there is not much ups and downs. Knowing these four points, we can basically determine that today is a short-wave market.
Then the current position is 63000,
When the Fibonacci average is pulled open, the 30-minute line and the oscillating price range oscillate between 62500~65000. The trend is in the rising and consolidating stage, and the rising trend, so we mainly focus on falling. Then we directly hang more on the 625 strong support of the channel. As long as there is no strong breakout, it is basically waiting for the rebound market! Of course, I who play entanglement theory generally enter the market on the right side, because I, as a professional trader, watch the market all day long!
Recently, as we expected, it continues to rise. See the picture below↓
On the 1-hour main trend, it has just changed, and the indicators are not obvious, but pulling it up also points to 63000
Conclusion: Big trend → small trend → current market trend (upward, downward, range sideways, or high-amplitude oscillation) → find support, pressure positions. Find the opening point, stop loss point, and target point. Calculate the profit and loss ratio.
Find the entry signal and open the cabin. Wait for the result.
This is a transaction.
The trend is the result of the game produced by the market's joint force, supported by factors such as supply and demand, capital flow, and investor psychology. These factors will not be easily changed in a short period of time.
The big trend is composed of small trends, and small trends are subordinate to the big trend. When the trend reverses, the sensitivity of small trends is higher than that of large cycles!
Then about the long-short ratio:
Then one day, I posted a magic order based on the liquidation value, which was particularly accurate. As a result, many fans went to learn it, and some people even posted the same website and used the liquidation value to teach how to place orders. See this magic order → Click to see the post
You will know how magical it is when you look at the K-line chart. Everyone was shouting short that day. Obviously, the trend is rising, the short liquidity above has slowly formed, and the price is closer to the short liquidity. The aggregate long-short ratio has been unbalanced. Still falling? Do you want to give your short orders more than 600 million to earn??
As soon as this post came out, the next day a group of fans promoted people to learn, I really admire it.
Then it comes to what was said at the beginning of the article, any method is useful, but no routine can always be applied because the market is changing.
My liquidity judgment is combined with the long-short ratio. It's not just looking at this.
It is not to say that if there is a lot of short liquidity, it will definitely rise, and if there is a lot of long liquidity, it will definitely fall
Any market performance is a reflection of the emotional aspect at that time.
Liquidity, if it is not severely imbalanced, generally follows the trend. For example, if it rises, it will give priority to clearing shorts. It should be combined with the indicators we learned earlier to judge.
All we can do is increase the winning rate, ensure profitability, and profit cyclically. Waiting for the market, not being eliminated by the market is earning!
Then here comes the point! Can we turn around by looking at altcoins?
Does the above content apply to altcoins???
After all, our small retail investors with thousands of U and tens of thousands of U want to turn around in the bull market, and we still have to look at the altcoin market! Bitcoin is now almost 70,000, and small funds can't earn much. Altcoins can give you a multiple increase!
But
This is a very speechless point on the square. Many people analyze various small altcoins with various indicators.
Let's get straight to the conclusion: Do you think that the K-line indicators you are looking at for a coin with a market value of only a few million or tens of millions that can be pulled with a needle with a casual few hundred thousand U or one million U will be completely accurate?
BTC is a building, ETH, BNB, SOL and other relatively strong altcoins are high-rise buildings next to the building, and other small altcoins are scattered stones.
They all have to move when BTC moves, and Ethereum has to fall when BTC plummets, let alone other things.
So small altcoins:
More is to look at the project party's trends,
1. See if Bitcoin is falling or rising.
2. Are there any positive benefits? Are you doing things? Are there any major benefits in the surrounding ecology?
3. Look at the volume, whether there is a giant whale shipping or something, and whether the project party is secretly shipping.
3. Look at the emotional greed and fear value. Generally, after an altcoin is hyped and skyrockets, a large amount of shipments will occur due to fear. Of course, the same is true at the beginning of a skyrocketing, there will be a phenomenon of greedy chasing.
4. Look at the holdings. Is this coin mostly in the hands of giant whales, or retail investors, or giant whales? If it is retail investors, they are greedy to go long and panic to run. If it is in the hands of giant whales, just pay attention to its movements. If it is in the hands of the dealer, just take it easily when the bull comes. Don't touch it if there is no bull market
Indicators are more suitable for analyzing main altcoins, such as stable ones, otherwise it will be a needle at any time.
Also, indicators are more for looking at entry signals for altcoins.
For example, if you are bullish on Bitcoin today, but you think the increase in Bitcoin is limited and you want to trade altcoins, then you can use indicators, such as macd, to see which coin is rising.
If you look at the net inflow of spot for this altcoin. Coming
For example, Doug and cati's 8x short orders a few days ago were followed by many fans.
On the day of the market volatility, based on the fundamentals of this altcoin, we can completely short it, right!
Then pay more attention to altcoins and hot sectors. Pay attention to market hotspots, and hotspots are the points where funds flow.
For example, ai: ai, fet
For example, RWA that BlackRock is doing: om
For example, the popular meme this year. floki, neiro, doge
And some stronger husband chains. difi: uni
And the return of bnb Zhao Changpeng.
sol has major trends recently!
These are all worth paying attention to. Basically, every time the market comes, these sectors rise first, and then it depends on whether you can escape the top.
Then the primary market became very popular, and I posted: (TERMINUS is too awesome. It rose a million times in two days!!!)
Why are there so many 100x coins in the market that ordinary people can't buy? Because once they are listed on the exchange, there is no room for it. Check the underlying logic yourself. I can't say it clearly. 100x coins are all on the chain. The chain must come before the exchange. Therefore, friends who enter the circle later suffer a lot in terms of cognition!
After this post was published, many fans came to ask how to operate and wanted to learn. Okay, I will release a tutorial. I can't say too much on the square if you are interested. You can find me on all platforms.
In fact, the primary market is the real decentralized market.
You don't have to play, but you must understand. Like many good projects and good coins in the past, they all started in the primary market.
Local dogs were very popular in 21 years, and many, many people became millionaires. Of course, due to greed, following the trend and lack of awareness, many people lost back. Therefore, local dogs are synonymous with wealth creation, but its reputation is not good in the eyes of the public who did not catch up with the trend.
But the biggest opportunity for ordinary people to turn around in a bull market is gambling.
You don't usually play, but when the local dog market appears, take a few hundred or a thousand U to play with, maybe tomorrow, you will directly say, Grandpa Dao, I have succeeded!!
Including myself, although I am now a second-level market order-taking blogger, many of my early friends in the currency circle and I really made the first bucket of gold in the primary market.
Of course, I don't have financial freedom, so I have been a professional trader, and I also help people in need while doing my own orders.
Like ordi, thousands of times, pepe, bome, and the recently listed Binance which is still soaring neiro.
And TERMINUS, a concept coin of Musk's Mars City that may be listed on Binance in the future and has increased by one million times in two days. (Of course, it should be around a thousand times when ordinary people can buy it, but it's also amazing. If Musk's Mars City is really built, it may still have great potential in the future! This is also the reason why it's so popular)
I also bought some myself. Of course, don't learn from me to buy so much. Although I am not a rich man, my position is larger than most people, and I have hundreds of thousands. I am considered the head strength of retail investors.
It is not recommended to learn local dogs by yourself and operate by yourself. You can find a trusted teacher to pay for knowledge, or you can find me. My information is public and I don't charge.
So, Doug generally plays some potential projects and local dogs in the primary market when the bull market comes. Just play a few hundred U, and it is normal for many coins to rise dozens of times in the primary market.
Of course, look at the market. Like last November to March this year, it was a bull market. From May to now, it is actually a bear or monkey market. It can also be called a bull market bear/
So it is said that there is a bear market for four years and a bull market for one year. This one year of bull market is mixed with a half-year bear market. The real one is almost in those few days. If you don't take out the Italian cannon, how can you turn around!!
Don't tell me that you are playing in the currency circle just to turn your 10,000 into 20,000 in a year in the bull market?? I can easily achieve this goal with you playing contracts.
Finally, spot.
Ambush in a bear market, earn and get out in a bull market. Now it's just waiting for the market. What spot to do if there is no market.
For example, if btc is long 5000 points, floki will increase by one time. btc falls 5000 points and floki falls directly by two or three times. When there is no market, Bitcoin can come back, but it is too difficult for the altcoin to rise back. Currently, funds are concentrated on Bitcoin in this bull market.
That is to say, wait until the market arrives, don't operate randomly. The market value of a coin listed on the exchange is difficult to increase without major benefits.
In the early stage of this bull market, the single sector broke out, and the sector rotation was the same as before. During that time, we earned nine out of ten spot orders. I am not bragging. I posted a very popular post at that time. The post is here → Click to see the post
But I lost hundreds of thousands in May. Although I am still profitable overall, I dare not move. You fans who followed me lost a lot during that time. Strictly speaking, there were not many people in the entire market who made money.
So I have been playing short-wave contracts these months, waiting for the spot market to look around November!!
Of course, in a big market, you can also try rolling positions and compounding profits with contracts. I will lead fans to operate a few times when the market comes. Whether it succeeds depends on the luck of all of us. A basic tutorial on rolling positions and compounding profits has also been published → Click to see the post
Finally, there are many details that I haven't said, and there are also too many that I didn't remember, and some details of the K-line can't be fully written,
Remember, no matter what kind of transaction you do, spot contract, primary market, it is all based on the market. Small retail investors should not go against the market.
Then, whether you do it yourself or follow the teacher, you need to have a basic thinking logic so that you are not confused and not cut!
Finally, if this article is useful to you, please pay attention, like, and forward it to more people who need to see it. This is the greatest support for me, thank you, thank you!
Friends who want to spray, stop it. I am a rookie.
Then, for more detailed learning and exchange, click on the avatar to follow!!1
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