Last night, the US non-farm payrolls data was revised down from 114,000 to 89,000 last month, and 142,000 this month, which means that its increase is still very high, 70%, but slightly lower than expected, the expected number is 165,000, slightly lower than expected, what does this mean?

First, it shows that US employment is slowing down, because it is slightly less than expected, but it has increased by 70% month-on-month compared with last month, which shows that the job market is still very healthy. Yesterday, Dai Li, a voting member of the Federal Reserve, said a very important thing. He said that the US job market is healthy now, and the health of the US job market must be maintained and maintained.

Who is this sentence referring to? The US Bureau of Labor Statistics. If it does not maintain a healthy state, the Federal Reserve will lose its job, and your Bureau of Labor Statistics will also lose its job. In the past, there were four times when the job market was not good, and the people on the stage in the election year lost the election. So if the job market is not good this year, the next Xiaohaha team will definitely not be able to survive the election.

This is the best data that the Bureau of Labor Statistics can fake, no, statistics can make.

I had predicted that it would be more than 114,000, but lower than 165,000, around 150,000, and the result was 142,000. Second, I told you that the unemployment rate must drop to 4.2. Why? Because last month's 4.3 triggered Sam's Law, and it must drop this month. Is it accurate?

This number represents a very clear path ahead. Ladies and gentlemen, why is this prediction so accurate? Because this prediction is a fast lane drawn by the Federal Reserve for you. Because if the left side of this data is too small, it is a slow lane, and the US economy will be in recession. If the right side is too fast, the data is very fake, and the market will be very worried about US inflation.

Therefore, only the middle path is the most accurate. The Federal Reserve has drawn a 25 basis point interest rate cut, and the US economy will not fall into recession. This interest rate cut runway for soft landing, the Federal Reserve first set the target accurately, and then let the plane land softly and rush down this runway. #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ #以太坊基金会 $BTC $ETH