After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris finally sat down for her first Q&A since President Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket's election odds, former President Donald Trump currently has a modest 1 percentage point lead. Trump currently has a 50% chance of winning, while Harris trails with a 49% chance.
Polymarket still gives Trump the edge after Harris' first interview in 40 days
Not long ago, Kamala Harris sat down for her first press conference with running mate Tim Walz. The next day, former President Donald Trump still led Harris, according to oddsmakers Polymarket. The prediction market's election bet, called "Winner of the 2024 Presidential Election," is currently worth a whopping $766 million through August 30, 2024.
Polymarket's latest odds put Trump at a 50% chance of winning, with Harris close behind at 49%. On top of that, Polymarket's bettors predict Trump will win four of the six key swing states, including Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Odds on other betting platforms paint a similar picture, with the race still very close.
For example, the odds on covers.com show Trump with a 52.3% chance, matching Harris' exact odds. Similarly, betohio.com reports the former president with a 53% chance, with Harris at the same 53% chance. Predictit.org stands out as an outlier, showing Harris leading with a 55% chance, while Trump trails with a 48% chance.
With the 2024 election approaching, the odds reflect a highly competitive race between Trump and Harris, with neither candidate holding a clear advantage except on predictit.org. As prediction and betting markets fluctuate and voters weigh their options, the final outcome remains uncertain, leaving room for surprises in what is shaping up to be one of the most closely contested elections in recent memory.
What do you think about the odds for the 2024 election? Share your thoughts and opinions on this topic in the comments section below.
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