#今日市场观点
From a street vendor to a Bitcoin tycoon: The simplest business logic reveals the dealer's trading methods
A fan asked me, how do you know so much about dog village? ?
In fact, in the financial market, especially in the Bitcoin market, the market makers’ trading methods seem complicated and unpredictable, but in fact they can be explained by the simplest business logic.
Just like the strategies that we see in daily life that various businessmen adopt to make profits, the methods used by bankers in the market are nothing more than "buy low and sell high", "package products", "sell and brag", etc. Through a common case of product procurement and sales strategy in life, we can unveil the mystery of banker operations and make it all simple and easy to understand.
1. Business logic in life: the basic principle of buying low and selling high
Whether you are a street vendor or a Bitcoin tycoon, "buy low and sell high" is always the most basic business logic. Here is a simple example:
1.1 Real life example: Fruit vendor’s purchasing and sales strategy
Suppose you are a fruit vendor. Whenever the fruit harvest season comes, you go to the wholesale market to buy cheap fruits in large quantities. You know that other sellers in the market have not yet purchased in large quantities, so the price is low and you can buy a large amount of fruits at a very low cost.
Then, you return to your stall and start selling the fruits step by step. In order to make the fruits sell faster and more expensive, you will do some simple "packaging": polish the fruits, put them in exquisite small baskets, and label them with labels such as "freshly picked today". These "packaging" make ordinary fruits look more valuable and attract more customers.
When the price of fruits in the market gradually rises due to the increase in demand, your fruits have already been sold at a high price, and the profits will naturally roll in. If you find that there are other fruit vendors in the market competing with you, you will consider discounts, promotions, or creating an atmosphere of "hot goods" so that customers feel that if they don't buy it quickly, they will miss the chance. All of this is to make the fruits in your hands sell at a higher price.
1.2 The core of business logic
In this simple example, the core business logic is: buy at a low price, sell at a high price, enhance the value of the product through packaging and marketing, attract more buyers. At the same time, control the market rhythm to prevent competitors from grabbing your market share.
2. The correspondence between the operation of Bitcoin market makers and business logic
The way the banker operates in the Bitcoin market is actually similar to this simple business logic. Let’s compare them one by one and see how the banker “does business” in the market.
2.1 Buy low and sell high: collecting and selling chips
The first thing that bankers do in the market is to "buy low and sell high". They will quietly collect a large number of Bitcoins when market sentiment is low and prices are low, just like fruit vendors buy a large number of cheap fruits during the harvest season. Bankers know that the market price will rise one day, and they just need to wait patiently.
When the dealer has accumulated enough chips and the market starts to pick up, they will gradually push up the price. In this process, the dealer will not sell all the chips at once, but will gradually sell the bitcoins in his hands by continuously raising the price. This is just like a fruit vendor who sells fruits at a higher price through packaging and marketing.
2.2 Packaging and self-promotion: Manipulation of market sentiment
In order to make investors willing to buy Bitcoin at a higher price, the dealers will "package" and "boast". They will release good news through various channels to create market optimism. For example, a large company announces that it will accept Bitcoin payments, or a well-known investor is optimistic about the prospects of Bitcoin.
These news will make ordinary investors feel that the prospects of Bitcoin are bright, and they will rush in to buy. At this time, the dealer is ready to gradually sell off the chips in his hands. Just like fruit vendors polish fruits and put a label of "freshly picked today", the dealer increases the market value of Bitcoin through "packaging".
2.3 Controlling the market rhythm: shock washing and clearing floating chips
The market makers will not let the market price rise linearly all the time, because this will attract too many retail investors to enter the market and weaken their control. In order to maintain the rhythm of the market, the market makers will conduct "shock and wash". When the price rises to a certain level, they will suddenly sell some Bitcoins, causing a short-term price correction and scaring away some investors with weak will.
This is like a fruit vendor who, when he finds that there are too many competitors, lowers prices to clear out inventory and avoids the fruit not being sold due to high market prices. In this way, the dealer can not only clear the floating chips in the market, but also make room for the next round of pull-ups.
3. Analysis of banker’s intention and market strategy
By understanding the "business logic" of the banker, we can see more clearly their intentions in the market. This is not just for short-term profits, but to control the rhythm of the market in the long term and achieve maximum benefits.
3.1 The long-term goals of the banker
The goal of the banker is not only to make a profit through one or two operations, but to control the market rhythm, gradually accumulate chips, and make continuous profits by taking advantage of market volatility. They will not rush for success, but will patiently wait for market opportunities, and gradually maximize profits by buying low and selling high.
3.2 Implications for Investors
For ordinary investors, it is crucial to understand the dealer's trading methods and market intentions. In the market, retail investors often panic because they do not understand the dealer's operations, which leads to buying at high points and selling at low points. If investors can understand the dealer's "business logic", they can stay calm when the market falls back and be cautious when market sentiment is high, thereby better protecting their investments.
The Bitcoin market may seem complicated, but if we interpret it using simple business logic, we will find that the dealer’s operating methods are no different from the business strategies in daily life.
Follow me, by understanding these basic business logics, we can better grasp the pulse of the market and make wise investment decisions.
