If the generalized cpi is lower than 0.6 month-on-month

For example 0.4, 0.5

With the core ratio of 0.2% month-on-month, the three-month annualized rate is 2.4%

The noise about the Fed raising interest rates in November will disappear.

And we're heading towards the official end of the rate hike cycle

And there is no chance that the generalized chain ratio is lower than 0.6

The current forecast of 0.6 is because oil prices increased a lot in August but are not included in the July month-on-month comparison.

Therefore, the oil price increase and inflation will be revised upward a lot in August.

It is believed that the possibility of the broad policy setting <span lies in the possibility that the second-hand car and housing inflation rates will decline more than expected.

Then after the slowdown of these two offsets the increase in oil prices, the probability of the broad chain ratio <span can be expected

We only discuss objective facts

Use hypothetical perspectives instead of making up story lines

The difference between the two is that the hypothetical angle will leave a way for you to make mistakes.

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