Price Action: Consolidation within a defined range • Resistance: $144–$146 • Support: $140–$141
Strategic View: A brief move toward $138 should be seen as a potential liquidity reset, not a breakdown. In sideways conditions, price often dips below obvious support to flush excess leverage before the next directional move.
If SOL stabilizes after such a sweep, it typically sets the stage for the next expansion phase.
🚨 Market Analysis: Assessing the XRP “Flippening” Case
Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick has presented a long-term scenario in which XRP could reach $12.50 by 2028, raising the possibility of a temporary market-cap flip with Ethereum during the 2026 cycle.
The numbers behind the thesis: • ETH market cap (current): ~$400B • XRP at $12.50: ~$700B market cap (based on current circulating supply)
What would need to happen: 1. XRP accelerates into a high-beta growth phase, driven by institutional and liquidity-focused use cases. 2. ETH continues to grow, but at a slower relative pace, leading to a temporary dominance shift.
This framework fits Kendrick’s broader outlook for 2026 as a phase of selective risk-on rotation, where capital concentrates in assets with perceived utility rather than moving uniformly across the market.
Movement to anonymous wallet always raises eyebrows.
Binance News
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Significant Transfer of SUN Tokens from BitTorrent to Anonymous Address
According to ChainCatcher, data from Arkham indicates that at 04:09, a total of 142 million SUN tokens were transferred from BitTorrent to an anonymous address starting with TRXhMUFk.
Dollar Index Strengthens as Euro and Pound Decline
According to ChainCatcher, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) saw a slight increase of 0.1% at the start of the trading session. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR/USD) and the British Pound (GBP/USD) both experienced a decline of approximately 0.2%. The Swiss Franc strengthened, leading to a 0.39% drop in the USD/CHF exchange rate.
Federal Reserve's January Rate Decision Shows High Probability of No Change
According to ChainCatcher, CME's "FedWatch" tool indicates a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January, with a 5% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By March, the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut stands at 20.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 78.4%. The chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.9%.
$XAU {future}(XAUUSDT) taught me the hard way—one tiny slip and my $79,500 account? Gone. Zero. Lesson learned the expensive way. Who else has felt this pain?
- Global liquidity is printing new all-time highs $DUSK - This has only happened a few times in history $FRAX - Every single time → ETH/BTC exploded higher
Liquidity expansion doesn’t go to safety first. It flows down the risk curve.
🇺🇸 Macro View: CLARITY Act Delay vs. Market Resilience
The Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act has been postponed in the Senate, adding short-term regulatory uncertainty.
Market snapshot: • BTC: Holding the ~$95,000 range • ETH: Firm above $3,300, supported by institutional flows • XRP: Consolidating near $2.05
Interpretation: While the market had partially priced in regulatory progress, the absence of a sharp sell-off signals solid underlying demand. The CLARITY Act—designed to define BTC and ETH as digital commodities under CFTC oversight—remains a key catalyst for the next expansion phase once momentum returns.
Consensus data from Paul Bennet’s 2026 Crypto Powerlist cuts through retail noise and highlights where capital allocation is becoming more deliberate.
Key insights: 1. XRP: Institutional engagement is moving beyond testing into active integration. 2. Monero (XMR): New highs (>$790) despite delistings underscore that real utility can outweigh distribution constraints. 3. WhiteBIT Coin (WBT): Inclusion in major S&P crypto indices signals growing institutional acceptance of exchange tokens as a mature asset class.
Bottom line: This phase of the market is prioritizing infrastructure and functionality over short-term narratives.
🤝 Technical Analysis: SOL at a Key Inflection Point
Solana ($SOL) is showing a clean convergence of bullish signals:
• Volume: Steady bid-side support without blow-off spikes — a sign of conviction, not speculation. • MACD: Bullish crossover remains intact, with widening separation pointing to building momentum. • Structure: Price is holding above key moving averages while compressing just below the $145 resistance.
Interpretation: This setup typically precedes expansion after accumulation.
Levels to watch: ➡️ Breakout: Above $145 → upside opens toward $160+ ⚠️ Support: Loss of $135 weakens the structure
⚠️ Fundamental Analysis: Ripple Adoption vs. XRP Value Capture
A common misconception is equating Ripple’s business expansion with direct demand for XRP.
Key distinction: • Financial institutions can use Ripple’s infrastructure for messaging and settlement without interacting with XRP. • Only On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) requires the token and creates actual buy-side demand.
Bottom line: Growth at the company level does not automatically translate into value for XRP holders unless ODL usage scales meaningfully.
Important distinction: no rollback, just narrative noise. Structure bill still alive.
Tienad
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Bikovski
💥 BREAKING 💥
- Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong denies reports that the White House is pulling support $FRAX - Confirms strong backing for the Crypto Market Structure Bill $STO
Quote: - “The administration has been SUPER constructive.”
This is not a setback. $DUSK This is confirmation.
Regulatory clarity is still coming. And the market is underestimating it 📈
Do you think this is distribution or just liquidity provisioning for the unlock?
Vinh Nguyễn - Degen Insight
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🚨 BREAKING: A wallet linked to the Trump Token team has deposited 381,000 $TRUMP (worth approximately $2 million) into Binance today, January 18, 2026. $MELANIA
This transaction coincides with a massive 50 million token unlock scheduled for today, representing nearly 12% of the total supply. Analysts are closely monitoring these movements as the market braces for a potential "supply shock."
The Jan 18 Supply Shock & Team Movement
- The Transaction: Add re ss 4a7H.. moved 381,000 TRUMP to Binance. This follows a previous deposit of 400,000 tokens on January 6.
- The Main Event: Today’s unlock releases tokens valued at roughly $274 million to founders and linked entities (CIC Digital).
- Liquidity vs. Sell-Off: While large exchange deposits often signal intent to sell, team wallets frequently provide liquidity to exchanges to stabilize price action during high-volatility events like a major unlock.
8 months consistency is hard to ignore, but all it takes is one regime shift to invalidate it.
Wendyy_
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$BTC WARNING: Bitcoin’s JANUARY 28TH PIVOT Has a NASTY Track Record 🚨
This isn’t a random date — it’s a repeat offender.
For 8 straight months, Bitcoin has reacted negatively around this recurring pivot window, with an average pullback of 5–6%, sometimes stretching to 8%+. The pattern has been so consistent that it’s hard to ignore.
After the 14th pivot, BTC historically rolls over — and guess what? We’re already ~4% off the highs, perfectly in line with past behavior.
Now the focus shifts to the next danger zone: January 28th.
If this rhythm holds, BTC may not be done correcting just yet. This isn’t prediction — it’s pattern recognition, and it’s been tradable for months. Until the market invalidates it, the setup stays active.
This is where patience matters. And where overconfidence usually gets punished.
Does January 28th deliver another textbook pullback… or finally break the cycle?
⛽ Fundamental Analysis: Ethereum’s Scaling Breakthrough
Ethereum is displaying a key structural shift in its on-chain data:
• Network activity: All-time highs • Gas fees: Below $0.01
Why this matters: This is what effective scaling looks like. The network is absorbing record demand while keeping transaction costs minimal, a dynamic that historically wasn’t possible on Ethereum.
With L2s and recent upgrades doing the heavy lifting, the long-standing link between higher usage and higher fees has been broken. That significantly improves Ethereum’s long-term usability and economic resilience.
Regardless of who’s in power, crypto integration looks inevitable.
Rikki Helgason gcV1
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Trump's Vision: Transforming USA into the Global Crypto Capital"
$BTC $ETH $XRP Trump Family Expansion: Trump Media is reportedly launching 5 new Crypto ETFs, signaling a massive push to integrate digital assets into mainstream US finance. Strategic Reserve: The US Treasury is accelerating plans to build an official Bitcoin and Ethereum reserve, treating crypto as a national strategic asset. Senate Delay: A major crypto regulation bill was postponed in the Senate after feedback from Coinbase, causing slight volatility in the market. Market Stability: Despite the regulatory delay, Bitcoin remains strong near the $95,000 mark as investor confidence in the US remains high. Institutional Growth: More US-based companies are adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, following the lead of firms like Steak 'n Shake. {spot}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) {future}(XRPUSDT) #MarketRebound #BTC100kNext? #StrategyBTCPurchase
95K acting like a magnet. Break or bounce decides everything.
INSIGHTER Yi Xi
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$BTC /USDT Calm Before the Next Big Move 👀📊 Bitcoin is currently trading around 95,054 and moving in a tight range. Price is slightly below the SAR level (95,421), which shows short-term pressure, but the higher-timeframe structure is still holding strong. This kind of slow movement usually comes before a volatility expansion, so patience is key here. Market View BTC is consolidating between strong intraday support and nearby resistance. Buyers are defending the 94K zone well, while sellers are active near 96K+. As long as Bitcoin holds above the major support area, the overall trend remains healthy. Trade Idea (Short-Term Setup) Buy Zone 94,200 – 94,800 Stop Loss 93,500 Targets Target 1: 96,000 Target 2: 97,900 Target 3: 98,400 If price breaks and holds above 96K with volume, momentum can accelerate quickly toward the upper targets. On the other hand, a clean breakdown below 93,500 may lead to a deeper pullback toward 91K support. Final Thoughts This is not a chasing market. Let the price come to your zone, manage risk properly and stay disciplined. Bitcoin often rewards patience more than aggression. Trade smart, not emotional