CRYPTO QUANT | Fundamental & Technical Master | Help Other with Organic & Genuine INFO |( Not financial Advice #DYOR too ) | Username on X : @johar95567
MOST IMPORTANT UPDATE 📊 on $BTC ALT season is dead ❌ No ALT season in 2026
TREND IDENTIFICATION 🔍 On Higher time frame $BTC is heavily bearish 🔴📉 We Drop from 126k To 82k -40% isn't just simple correction its clean reversal On 1D time frame BTC takes just 3 days to drop from 95k to 82k but it takes 70 days to reclaim 95k You really think momentum is strong? If it's pump was Reversal so there was aggressive buying On HTF but HIGHER time frame showing elevator down Slow stair up elevator DOWN you know my this concept almost work $ZEC was clean example of that how I told you that it going to dump from 700$ to 350$ and it happens
WHAT : CHART PATTERN / STRUCTURE / INDICATORS/ ARE SAYING❓ Structure is bearish it's just normal Retracement of FIBS, if we see pattern so there is clean head and shoulder pattern and if we see indicators EMA 50 & 200 there BTC break 50 ema and now going to Touch again EMA50 and then Dump again EMA 50 is at 97k to 103k , EMA 200 is at 68000$ after retesting EMA50 EMA 200 will be our target 🎯 SUPPLY & DEMAND I already shows all proofs that how big outflows happened by BLACK ROCK AND INSTITUTIONS IN BTC ETF 97k to 103k is supper supply zone 🔴 there are 3 rejection which are untouched and untouched supplies are stronger
FUNDAMENTALS 1 liquidity crises 2 no Rate cuts expected 3 wars 4 stock market at ATH and in every bear market Crypto start dumping 2 to 3 months before stock market 5) Qunatitive Easning never happen when Stock market would be at ATH we need necessary correction in Stock market and when stock market dump Crypto will be badly dump
Complete Technicals Analysis on $ZEC with pure Honesty • TREND IDENTIFICATION First of all Understand if coins start Dumping so it's doesn't means It will dumping 📉 Forever , it retrace Trap Retailer Make liquidity for next leg up in this case finding Trend And structure on HTF is so important On 1Day time frame ZEC is pure Bearish 🔴 and it's Retracement which Every coin do at least at 0.5 FIB level zone On 4H it's still Bearish and have MSS , Market structure shift at 550$ which is supply zone closing And near MSS line there is Magical FIB where market always Deviate (90%) SUPPLY ZONE & Experience 525$ to 550$ Is clean SUPPLY Zone which is Untouched in previous 1H Supply zone price stuck around 20 days and Reject 3 time If you see In charts Market need just 10 days to fall from 640$ to make bottom of 320$ and need 28 days to reclaim Price from 320$ to 500$ Everyone knows in excess Selling price make FVG and Supply zone And From 525$ to 600$ there are already so many FVGs whole Market is now Bullish everyone making LONG and waiting for retesting and LONG and thinking we are back to 700$ which is not GOOD and soon Market trap them badly Its not REVERSAL !
Because in reversal market Vigorously Pumpu after making Bottom and in our case market reclaims 500$ in 28 days Market moving in Elevator down slow stair up elevator Down which is one of strongest And mine best strategy and every time This strategy work
FAKEOUT Or BREAKOUT ?
So honestly speaking Breakout is full real because if you see Activity on Buying Volume is up and better performing than CVD futures Breakout is valid but Charts are not so GOOD
Same analysis for $ZEN $DASH $ZK and click on Golden tokens for trading or below bars for Future trading
After 10 days we have USA FOMC meeting 🇺🇸 and there are no chances of rate cuts according experts.
We know how important FOMC meeting is because it gives direction of stock & CRYPTO market whether upcoming months are bullish or bearish ? Probabilities According poly market this time chances of rate cuts are just 4% while no change in rate probability is 96%
Expected results : if there is Rate cuts price = bullish if no change price remains neutral if rate increase price = bearish Reason Because if Rate cuts happened Interest on Loan reduce investor take Loans easily and take out money froms banks and put in Stock and crypto market expected better results
Current Situation This time chances of rate cuts are very low despite TRUMP wanted rate cuts this is following reason
In USA there Inflation rise since Donald TRUMP impose tariffs and in 2026 CPI remains expected no reduce so if Rate cuts happen this cause more inflation and FED didn't want inflation Jerome Powell vs TRUMP 2. Recently federal prosecutor open criminal charges on Powell due to which Bank of America said there would be delay in rate cuts , while Powell thinks this case was open by TRUMP, bessent said this make all mess and hurts financial system
Hope this article help you in you trading journey and you learn something new from
Guys Very Detailed Post I write on 4 year cycle that whether Concept of 4year cycle is valid or not ❌ $BTC $ETH $XRP
RSI Checker
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If 4Year Cycle is valid so $BTC is going to 40,000$ Everyone knows that But question is that Whether 4 year cycle is valid or not ❓
Here is my small Research on it :
If we start from 25 Novmber 2013 first 4 year cycle start in which first 400 days BTC dump 85% and make its bottom and make TOP in remaining days
First 4 year cycle Total days : 1480 start from: 25 November 2025 End in: 11 December 2017 Bottom: 184$ Top: 19700$
--------------------------------------------
Second 4 year cycle starts from 11 Monday 2017 in which first 364 days market dumps 84% and make its bottom and remaining days it pumps and make its TOP
Second 4 year cycle total days : 1428 start from :11 December 2017 end in: 8 November 2021 TOP: 69000$ BOTTOM: 3150$ -------------------------------------------- Now focus on Numbers !
suppose 3rd 4 year cycle starts , from 8 November 2021 in which first 371 days market bottom and dumps 78% and remaining days it pumps and make TOP
Third 4 year cycle total days: 1431 days start from 8 November: 2021 end in 10th October: 2025 TOP :126300$ BOTTOM: 15600$
-------------------------------------------- MY OPINION :
$BTC is still in 4year cycle because why exactly BTC dumping from range of 1420 days ? why BTC make its bottom in 370 days which are matching numbers of previous 4 year cycle
Its not coincidence BTC is in 4year cycle must share your thoughts {future}(BTCUSDT)
If 4Year Cycle is valid so $BTC is going to 40,000$ Everyone knows that But question is that Whether 4 year cycle is valid or not ❓
Here is my small Research on it :
If we start from 25 Novmber 2013 first 4 year cycle start in which first 400 days BTC dump 85% and make its bottom and make TOP in remaining days
First 4 year cycle Total days : 1480 start from: 25 November 2025 End in: 11 December 2017 Bottom: 184$ Top: 19700$
--------------------------------------------
Second 4 year cycle starts from 11 Monday 2017 in which first 364 days market dumps 84% and make its bottom and remaining days it pumps and make its TOP
Second 4 year cycle total days : 1428 start from :11 December 2017 end in: 8 November 2021 TOP: 69000$ BOTTOM: 3150$ -------------------------------------------- Now focus on Numbers !
suppose 3rd 4 year cycle starts , from 8 November 2021 in which first 371 days market bottom and dumps 78% and remaining days it pumps and make TOP
Third 4 year cycle total days: 1431 days start from 8 November: 2021 end in 10th October: 2025 TOP :126300$ BOTTOM: 15600$
-------------------------------------------- MY OPINION :
$BTC is still in 4year cycle because why exactly BTC dumping from range of 1420 days ? why BTC make its bottom in 370 days which are matching numbers of previous 4 year cycle
Its not coincidence BTC is in 4year cycle must share your thoughts
CRYPTO RUG PULL 🔴, HOW TO SPOT THEM BEFORE YOU LOSE YOU MONEY ❓
In 2025 there are many Rugpulls Like $OM in which 6B$ wipped in instant, 98% of $SOL PUMP BASED Meme token Rug very few Survive
RUG PULL? Rug pull is a type of CRYPTO scam in which developer hold large supply of specific Tokens, when investor gain trust and Good money inflows start happening they Sell all there holding leaving Worthless coins as Values of coins drop 90% to 95% Example OM fall from 6$ to 0.3$ and CMP 0.07$
Some how it look like this ⬆⬆⬆ How To identify Tokens having potential to RUG PULL? Note : This process you can done through Binance app STEP1 : Go in the info of spot $ARKM coin through Binance app and there is written official website click there Then like This page open ⬇⬇
Step 2 Search Token name, or better to paste contract address of that token to get information of top Holders of coin If Top Holder accumulate more than 40% of supply leave that token because it have potential to Rugpull because single Wallet have 40% of supply and they can sell 40% supply which result is that Token immediately dump 40% If Top holders accumulate above 70% extreme risk of Rug pull Note : Make sure that wallet address is unverified in below example I already highlight unverified address
Hope this help you in your trading or CRYPTO journey some how.
Walrus is one of The Token Having Dual Nature, FUNDAMENTAL USE & MEME
ODUCTION TO WALRUS : $WAL is decentralized storage protocol built on $SUI BLOCKCHAIN and also have Animal Meme style like $FLOKI PEPE DOGE
HOW IT WORK Files are broken in smaller Chunks called silver and store on different Node , Even Nodes gone offline data can be fully recovered and you can free storage as rent and earn income .
Meme Nature : in addition to its serious storage case use , Walrus embrace a fun based meme inspired-identity , named after animal Walrus (Seal) tocommunity and engage community and connect project with Meme enthusiasts investors .
Why it matter?
By combining All Decentralized Storage, Importance of Data in modern world walrus use case, meme theme $wal will be future Gem 💎 and 140M Fund already raise by Investors in this project .
This is solid proof that $PENGU 📈🚀 will outperform $DOGE and has the brightest future among all meme coins 📊
•) When the DOGE hype happened, I mentioned it was just temporary hype with no long-term impact.Elon Musk now shows little to no interest in meme coins.
Why PENGU stands out:
1) PENGU is far more attractive in terms of adoption and visibility.
2 NVIDIA has used the PENGU theme.
3 NASDAQ has featured $PENGU -themed initiatives and also invite Pudypengiun .
4 PENGU has real fundamentals, including use in NFTs.
•) Because of these factors, PENGU delivered a 14x rally in 2025, while $DOGE remains stagnant.
On $LTC 1D time frame you can see Head and Shoulder Pattern Work Perfectly and Dumps
on 1W time frame $BTC is making 1W Head and Shoulder pattern which aligns my Long term Thesis That this isn't Crypto market Bottom we are going more deeper this is just retracement
Plan working 100% from 8th October to 16Janaury that We are in Bear market ! 🔴
If you are $XMR $DASH $ZEC and Holder of privacy tokens so this News if for you 📰
• PRIVACY TOKENS USE CASE : Privacy tokens Use case is that They hide or you can say encrypt on chain transactions , have Zero knowledge proofs of Senders Due to This These tokens face lots of Sactions by AML (anti money laundering) CURRENT SACTIONS BY AMLR According @CoinDesk Report on 12th January : Any Privacy tokens are illegal by DIFC Dubai International Financial Centre because of Privacy tokens use case BAN BY EUROPEAN UNION : On 10 July 2027 Effective Ban of privacy Tokens shall applied because Privacy tokens use variety of methods to enhance user anonymity leading Money Laundering
PAST EXAMPLE Of TORNADO CASH : In January 2021 fFCC ordered appeal to OFAC to remove TORN duento privacy token and in 2022 OFAC IMPOSED Sactions on TORN. Between 2021 to 2022 from Auguts TORN give extreme bull Run from 26$ to 95$ rally it give in Q4 all data is available on Coin market cap And then made it's ATL IN 2023 AT 1.3$ and still CMP is 11$