Your conviction for $5 hinges on a massive supply shock. Indeed, tomorrow, January 22, 2026, $RIVER faces a $74.1 Million cliff unlock (approx. 2.75M tokens). Historically, unlocks of this magnitude (8% of circulating supply) create intense sell pressure. If the "Smart Money" has finished pumping the price for exit liquidity today, your $5 macro target is looking for a full 90% correction.
Current Status: Extreme Bullish Momentum (New ATH) The Danger: You are shorting a "price discovery" phase. The Opportunity: Tomorrow's unlock is a major bearish catalyst. Sentiment: High-Risk Contrarian Bear 🩸📉
$RIVER Turned $1K Into $52K In 41 Days But Here’s Why I’m Not Buying
#RIVER Pumped 5,221% In 41 Days. From $1.616 (Dec 17) → $86 (Yesterday)
What Caused This Pump? 🔹 Arthur Hayes + Justin Sun ($8M) Backed It 🔹 $12M Funding Round With Big Investors 🔹 Sui Network Partnership 🔹 Listed On Binance, OKX, Bybit, Coinone 🔹 Only 20% Tokens In Circulation 🔹 One Whale Bought 50% Supply At $4
⚠ My Warning: 👉 Don’t Try To Catch This Knife Now 👉 Strong Support Is At $8–$12 - High Chance Price Revisits $10–$15 👉 Fresh Longs At ATH = Very Risky
Key Risks: 🔴 Whale Controls 50% Supply: Dump Risk Anytime 🔴 Pump Driven By Leverage, Not Organic Demand 🔴 80% Tokens Still Locked
Conclusion: Wait For A Proper Pullback Don’t Become Exit Liquidity DYOR
My Take: Good Project, Very Risky Price Right Now Wait For Cooldown Or Proper Structure FOMO Is Not A Strategy
Acurast ($ACU) just hit a brick wall at $0.31. While everyone was talking about "smartphone compute," the smart money was hitting the "sell" button. Here’s why I’m shorting the bounce:
Momentum Overload: We went from $0.06 to $0.31 in a week. The RSI hit 94—that is pure "exhaustion" territory. 📈
Failing the Reclaim: Every tiny bounce is getting sold into immediately. The bulls couldn't even hold the $0.25 handle, turning it from support into a heavy ceiling.
Supply Shock: New exchange listings are great, but they also provide an "exit door" for early $0.09 investors. The distribution phase is officially on.
Execution Levels:
Entry Zone: 0.248 – 0.260 (The "Sell the Rip" Zone)
Stop-Loss: 0.266 (Tight safety above the intraday pivot)
Execution Levels: Entry Zone: 0.0675 – 0.0682 (Strong Demand Floor) Stop Loss: 0.0660 (Safety below the December all-time lows) Target 1: 0.0700 (Psychological Barrier / 50-hour EMA) Target 2: 0.0725 (Previous Range High / 100-hour SMA) Target 3: 0.0750 (Pre-correction Pivot / Major Resistance)
The 1H chart shows a "Falling Wedge" breakout attempt, with the $0.0675 floor acting as a strong defensive line for whales. The Entry: Your zone of 0.0675 – 0.0682 is a high-conviction "Value Area." By entering here, you are positioning yourself at the bottom of the current range, just before the anticipated February Bridge Launch to Ethereum.
The Catalyst: Ethereum Migration (Feb 2026). The upcoming public bridge for $NIL to Ethereum is the primary macro driver. Historically, tokens moving to the Ethereum ecosystem see a massive expansion in liquidity and developer adoption. $NIL is currently being re-rated as a core "Privacy-as-a-Service" (PaaS) layer for Ethereum L2s.
Execution Levels: Entry Zone: 0.0518 – 0.0525 (Breakout Support Zone) Stop Loss: 0.0498 (Safety below the recent $0.050 psychological floor) Target 1: 0.0540 (Immediate Resistance / January 20 High) — [HIT] Target 2: 0.0560 (Next Structural Pivot) Target 3: 0.0585 (Major Supply Zone / Gap Fill to early January levels)
The 1H chart shows a series of impulsive green candles with rising volume, indicating that the move is backed by real capital inflows. The Reclaim: Your entry at 0.0518 – 0.0525 is ideally timed for a "retest" entry. While the price is currently hovering slightly higher at $0.055, any dip into your entry zone is a high-conviction buy as it sits right on the 20-period EMA on the hourly chart.
The Catalyst: Institutional Rotation. With Bitcoin ($BTC) and Ethereum ($ETH) facing minor weekend liquidations, capital is rotating into "blue-chip" DAO and Governance tokens like BANK. As Bankless continues to lead the "on-chain education" narrative, its token is being re-rated as a macro bet on crypto adoption.
Execution Levels: Entry Zone: 0.402 – 0.416 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) Stop-Loss: 0.385 (Safety below the recent consolidation shelf) Target 1: 0.432 (Immediate resistance / 20-day EMA) Target 2: 0.455 (0.5 Fibonacci Retracement of the January drop) Target 3: 0.490 (Major Supply Zone / Previous Swing High)
Technical structure has shifted from "Oversold" to "Expansion" as the token prepares for its Q1 Compute Layer launch. The Breakout: Your entry at 0.402 – 0.416 captures the token as it exits a "Falling Wedge" on the 4H chart. By reclaiming the 7-day SMA ($0.416), $ICNT is effectively ending its 26% downtrend from earlier in the week.
The Catalyst: Compute Layer Beta. The primary driver for this impulsive candle is the anticipation of the Q1 2026 Compute Layer Launch, which will enable decentralized GPU/CPU sharing for AI workloads. Market sentiment is shifting as ICNT’s 76,000+ holders front-run the transition from "Decentralized Storage" to "Full-Stack DePIN."
Execution Levels: Entry Zone: 2.18 – 2.25 (Current Support Reclaim) Stop-Loss: 2.05 (Safety below the recent "swing low" and $2.06 floor) Target 1: 2.40 (Immediate Resistance / 30-day SMA) Target 2: 2.60 (Weekly High / Major Supply Zone) Target 3: 2.85 (Macro Resistance / Early January Breakdown Point)
The price is currently testing the 7-day EMA ($2.27). A sustained close above this level confirms the bullish reversal. The Reclaim: Your entry at 2.18 – 2.25 perfectly captures the structural flip of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. As long as the price holds above your $2.05 stop, the "oversold" RSI-14 (which hit 29 earlier this week) has plenty of room to run back toward the neutral 50-60 zone.