Mohamed Manae

Comprehensive Bitcoin Market Analysis:
Positive Signs Amid Investor Caution.
Bitcoin rebounds strongly:
Bitcoin saw a notable rebound from the $66,000 support level, continuing its gradual rise throughout the week.
The strong daily close pushed the price towards the $73,000 level, reflecting a return of positive market momentum.
1️⃣ Spot Market Signals:
✅ Notable_Positive:
The Spot CVD indicator turned positive, indicating a return of strong buying pressure.
✅ Low_Volume:
Despite the positive signals, total trading volume fell to statistical lows, reflecting weak overall market participation.
2️⃣ Derivatives Market:
✅ Increased_Cautious_Engagement:
Derivatives markets saw an increase in Futures Open Interest (OI), with the Futures CVD indicator rising, reflecting increased activity from traders.
✅ Shortyd_Positions:
Negative funding rates persisted, indicating strong short positions.
✅ Options Trading:
The gap between implied and realized volatility narrowed, with a slight increase in the 25-delta skew, reflecting continued downside hedging demand.
3️⃣ ETF ​​Activity:
✅ Increasing Institutional Demand: US Bitcoin ETFs saw strong positive net inflows, reflecting renewed institutional interest.
✅ Slight Decrease in Trading Volume:
However, the overall trading volume for ETFs decreased compared to previous highs.
4️⃣ On-Chain Activity:
✅ Weak Activity:
The number of active addresses fell below the statistical threshold, while transaction volumes improved slightly but remained low.
✅ Fee Stability:
Network fees remained stable, reflecting steady but quiet network usage.
5️⃣Capital Flows and Investor Sentiment:
✅ Gradual_Improvement: Although the Realized Cap Change remains negative, it is approaching neutral, indicating a decrease in outflows.
✅ Profitability_Improvement: Indicators such as Supply in Profit and Realized Profit-to-Loss Ratio have shown slight improvement, reflecting reduced pressure on the market.
🚨Conclusion:
The market is showing signs of stabilization and gradual recovery:
Positive Momentum:
Returning buying pressure in the spot market.
Institutional Support:
Strong inflows into ETFs.
Improved Profitability:
Profitability indicators suggest easing pressure on investors.
However, caution remains:
Weak On-Chain Activity:
Weak public participation.
Downside Hedging:
Continued demand for downside protection in derivatives markets.
💬 Share your opinion:
What is your strategy under these conditions? Do you see Bitcoin on its way to new highs?
Let us know your thoughts in the comments, and don't forget to follow our page for the latest analysis and professional tips.
Click here to win 🚴
Join my chatroom 🧞
$BTC

#cryptocurrencies
#Bitcoin
#trading
#TechnicalAnalysis
@Bastoman

The reason Bitcoin's price has stabilized despite current conditions is that, while it has indeed fallen by approximately 48% from its peak, liquidity isn't flowing into the market like before, and most people are now more fearful and cautious.
The market currently desperately needs an interest rate cut to continue its upward trend.
If no rate cut occurs at the next meeting, I expect Bitcoin could fall back below $70,000.
Bitcoin has now entered its last downward trend of 2026, almost exactly like what happened in the 2022 bear market.
Bitcoin is expected to drop to between $35,000 and $45,000 during March.
Make sure you're prepared for what's coming.
Bitcoin decouples from US markets
🚨 Data shows Bitcoin has decoupled from stock market movements over the past two months, especially in the last month when US markets declined while Bitcoin remained stable.
Will we start seeing Bitcoin treated as a hedging asset like gold?

Join my chatroom 🧞
Click here to win 🚴
$BTC

#Binance
#Bitcoin❗
@Bastoman