Archaos
This is my Trading Journal. Swiss Sigma tier Thoughts. follow on X @mindblowing_exp
37 Sledite
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Citati
your success as a trader wont be defined by big wins. it will be defined how you manage losses.
MR-YUVI
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Hold Or Close ?? 😭😭
$VVV $1800 loss 😭😭
$FHE $600 loss 😭❌
$INIT $200 loss 😭
$VVV $1800 loss 😭😭
$FHE $600 loss 😭❌
$INIT $200 loss 😭
bro dont talk about the most asymmetrical trading setup in crypto 😂 you are ruining it
X mucaN
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Why $ESP Crashed and Why Coins Dump after getting listed Explained
$INIT — SHORT (Aggressive Fade)
Entry: 0.124–0.129 (ONLY on rejection / lower high)
SL: 0.145 (above wick zone / invalidation)
TP1: 0.118
TP2: 0.112
TP3: 0.105
TP4: 0.096
Runner: 0.082–0.075 (only if 0.095 breaks clean)
Notes: Not a blind short. Need clear fail at supply (0.125–0.130) / wick rejection.
#priceaction
Entry: 0.124–0.129 (ONLY on rejection / lower high)
SL: 0.145 (above wick zone / invalidation)
TP1: 0.118
TP2: 0.112
TP3: 0.105
TP4: 0.096
Runner: 0.082–0.075 (only if 0.095 breaks clean)
Notes: Not a blind short. Need clear fail at supply (0.125–0.130) / wick rejection.
#priceaction
if your liquidation level is your stop loss, then good night to your account. only a matter of time.
$PIPPIN 卧槽 咋空了个最硬的种 有本事把我爆了
how to recover: you should stop trading right now and come back once the losses dont hurt no more and you can approach in neutral condition again. sometimes that takes weeks.
MR-YUVI
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losss 😭😭😭
$TAKE loss $1500
$COAI loss $125
$POWER loss $1100
how to recover it? ?
any Suggestions for next buy
$TAKE loss $1500
$COAI loss $125
$POWER loss $1100
how to recover it? ?
any Suggestions for next buy
i think the real strategy is actually a different one. they assume the banks where they take loans will go bankrupt and their btcs.. were for free.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Debt Breaking Point: $8,000 Holds, But Below?
MicroStrategy claims it can cover its $6 billion debt even if Bitcoin drops 90% to $8,000, where its Bitcoin holdings roughly match liabilities. Below that level, financial stress escalates due to loan covenants, potential forced sales, and insolvency risks.
Debt Coverage at $8,000 BTC
At $8,000 per Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's assets (around $49.3 billion in BTC reserves at current prices) equal its net debt, leaving equity at zero but allowing debt service without liquidation. Staggered convertible note maturities through 2032 provide time for restructuring or refinancing. CEO Phong Le noted this scenario would unfold gradually, enabling options like new equity issuance.
Risks Below $8,000
Drops to $7,000 breach loan-to-value covenants on BTC-collateralized loans, potentially requiring extra collateral or repayments, with LTV exceeding 140%. Cash reserves (about $2.25 billion) and $500 million annual software revenue may not suffice amid illiquid markets, risking forced Bitcoin sales that could worsen price declines. Survival hinges on decline speed, debt structure, and liquidity access.
Insolvency Thresholds
At $6,000 $BTC , assets fall below debt, raising restructuring likelihood via debt-for-equity swaps or maturity extensions; equity holders face wipeout risks. Below $5,000, secured lenders could trigger liquidations, impairing unsecured debt and causing market ripples for ETFs and traders. As a top BTC holder (over 700,000 coins), such events could amplify crypto volatility. #strategy
Debt Coverage at $8,000 BTC
At $8,000 per Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's assets (around $49.3 billion in BTC reserves at current prices) equal its net debt, leaving equity at zero but allowing debt service without liquidation. Staggered convertible note maturities through 2032 provide time for restructuring or refinancing. CEO Phong Le noted this scenario would unfold gradually, enabling options like new equity issuance.
Risks Below $8,000
Drops to $7,000 breach loan-to-value covenants on BTC-collateralized loans, potentially requiring extra collateral or repayments, with LTV exceeding 140%. Cash reserves (about $2.25 billion) and $500 million annual software revenue may not suffice amid illiquid markets, risking forced Bitcoin sales that could worsen price declines. Survival hinges on decline speed, debt structure, and liquidity access.
Insolvency Thresholds
At $6,000 $BTC , assets fall below debt, raising restructuring likelihood via debt-for-equity swaps or maturity extensions; equity holders face wipeout risks. Below $5,000, secured lenders could trigger liquidations, impairing unsecured debt and causing market ripples for ETFs and traders. As a top BTC holder (over 700,000 coins), such events could amplify crypto volatility. #strategy
unfortunately i was a little bit too early.
Stop........ stop........ stop........
Your attention is needed for just 5 minutes.💯💯💯💯💯💯
$POWER
{alpha}(560x9dc44ae5be187eca9e2a67e33f27a4c91cea1223)
bottom fishing as recovery begins.
Plan trade: Long
Entry zone: 0.2173 - 0.2239
Take profit:
🎯TP1: 0.2301
🎯TP2: 0.2372
🎯TP3: 0.2457
Stop loss: 0.2105
$POWER Price is consolidating above 0.173 support. H1 RSI recovers from oversold while EMA10 turns upward. Short-term bearish structure is breaking, signaling a potential retracement towards the EMA50 resistance level.
Click and trade👇
POWERUSDT
Perp
0.21929
+3.38%
Your attention is needed for just 5 minutes.💯💯💯💯💯💯
$POWER
{alpha}(560x9dc44ae5be187eca9e2a67e33f27a4c91cea1223)
bottom fishing as recovery begins.
Plan trade: Long
Entry zone: 0.2173 - 0.2239
Take profit:
🎯TP1: 0.2301
🎯TP2: 0.2372
🎯TP3: 0.2457
Stop loss: 0.2105
$POWER Price is consolidating above 0.173 support. H1 RSI recovers from oversold while EMA10 turns upward. Short-term bearish structure is breaking, signaling a potential retracement towards the EMA50 resistance level.
Click and trade👇
POWERUSDT
Perp
0.21929
+3.38%
you could still lose both of em.
Trading is dangerous 😔
But if you’re willing to take risks, the upside can be limitless 🐳💰
Look at this: I lost $8,000 on a $RIVER long, didn’t close the position, and I’m holding until it reaches $100.
On the other hand, $pippin gave me a $14,000 profit, and I’m holding until $1.
But if you’re willing to take risks, the upside can be limitless 🐳💰
Look at this: I lost $8,000 on a $RIVER long, didn’t close the position, and I’m holding until it reaches $100.
On the other hand, $pippin gave me a $14,000 profit, and I’m holding until $1.
its a gamble, nothing else. not touching this crap.
“
Some people post that $PIPPIN go to $1, while others post that $pippin is in danger now and short it.
But I’m telling you, it will crash — just not now. It will hit at least 0.90 first.
keep long $PIPPIN
Some people post that $PIPPIN go to $1, while others post that $pippin is in danger now and short it.
But I’m telling you, it will crash — just not now. It will hit at least 0.90 first.
keep long $PIPPIN
the simpsons authors were guests on epsteins island, so… those werent predicitions. it was a confession.
"The Simpsons seemed to be able to predict everything.
And right now scenes are being discovered where they are mentioning a new coin called DOGE-1.
If The Simpsons are paying attention to this, then maybe you should too 🚀" #SİMPSON #DOGE #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #PEPE #memecoin🚀🚀🚀 $DOGE $PEPE $
And right now scenes are being discovered where they are mentioning a new coin called DOGE-1.
If The Simpsons are paying attention to this, then maybe you should too 🚀" #SİMPSON #DOGE #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #PEPE #memecoin🚀🚀🚀 $DOGE $PEPE $
uff… my rule doesnt allow higher % loss than 30.
Crypto PM
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MedvedjiFinally i got inner peace because of $ETH 😂
it usually takes a few days longer until a real rally begins on new listings that dropped sharply keep that in mind.
🔥 $ESP /USDT JUST WOKE UP… AFTER A BRUTAL SHAKEOUT 🔥
{spot}(ESPUSDT)
ESP just got slammed -10% in 24H…
Weak hands got wiped. Stops got hunted. Panic did its job.
📉 Low tagged: 0.05163
Now price is climbing back near 0.0546 like it’s testing the waters again.
This is the kind of move that separates:
🧠 smart patience from emotional chasing.
⚡ Key zones to watch:
Support: 0.0516 (line in the sand)
Resistance: 0.058–0.061 (reclaim = momentum shift)
Infrastructure + New listing + volatility = explosive conditions.
Not financial advice… but this is NOT a chart to ignore. 👀
Are we seeing accumulation… or just a dead cat bounce?
👇 Drop your bias: Bull trap or breakout loading?
{spot}(ESPUSDT)
ESP just got slammed -10% in 24H…
Weak hands got wiped. Stops got hunted. Panic did its job.
📉 Low tagged: 0.05163
Now price is climbing back near 0.0546 like it’s testing the waters again.
This is the kind of move that separates:
🧠 smart patience from emotional chasing.
⚡ Key zones to watch:
Support: 0.0516 (line in the sand)
Resistance: 0.058–0.061 (reclaim = momentum shift)
Infrastructure + New listing + volatility = explosive conditions.
Not financial advice… but this is NOT a chart to ignore. 👀
Are we seeing accumulation… or just a dead cat bounce?
👇 Drop your bias: Bull trap or breakout loading?
often get a second leg down. but consider this: what would hurt you more. the potential to make this massive win into a loser. or miss a little bit of extra profit
$POWER up $2,100+! You're eyeing $3,500+, tough call! 😅 Hold or close, what's your gut say?
good luck with that. no sarcasm. but the probability of this happening without revisiting your entry is extremely low.
Someone said I close my $PIPPIN long 🤣🤣🤣 when $PIPPIN price 0.50$ now pippin price 0.73$ still holding 💪
I don't close my trade until $PIPPIN hit 1$ now set up TP 2$ , 1$ hit any time 🔥
I don't close my trade until $PIPPIN hit 1$ now set up TP 2$ , 1$ hit any time 🔥
yeah man the market itself is unforgiving enough. no need to destroy eachother. but personally i wouldnt allow such a big % loss. my rule is -30% maximum.
AI Researcher
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Trust me guys, I really liked this person’s comment. While many of you started panicking and posting hate comments just because of one losing trade, this person won my heart 🙂💞 $PIPPIN
They understand that no one can be 100% accurate in trading. It’s like any other business sometimes you have losses, sometimes you have profits. If you learn to control your emotions, greed, and FOMO, that’s when you start becoming a profitable trader.
But sadly, many of you still struggle with these three things.
Anyway, it doesn’t really affect me everyone has their own life and is free to react however they want.
Love uu Jena 💞
They understand that no one can be 100% accurate in trading. It’s like any other business sometimes you have losses, sometimes you have profits. If you learn to control your emotions, greed, and FOMO, that’s when you start becoming a profitable trader.
But sadly, many of you still struggle with these three things.
Anyway, it doesn’t really affect me everyone has their own life and is free to react however they want.
Love uu Jena 💞
Reforge Institute - Operating Framework
I use the name Reforge Institute for a reason. Its not branding. It’s a constraint.
Most bad trades don’t come from bad ideas.
They come from moments where discipline quietly weakens — after a good day, boredom, or being right too early
When a plan turns into a prayer, structure matters more than conviction
i use this name to create distance between impulse and action.
calling it an institute changes how i show up. it’s the same as wearing a suit. you don’t suddenly become smarter but certain behaviors stop feeling appropriate.
The core idea is simple: the part of the brain that wants action, excitement and stories is not the part that should be making decisions under uncertainty.
This way of thinking is influenced by behavioral psychology (Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow is a good starting point). If a framework prevents even one bad trade, it’s doing its job.
#cryptotrading
#TradingPsychology
#RiskManagement
Most bad trades don’t come from bad ideas.
They come from moments where discipline quietly weakens — after a good day, boredom, or being right too early
When a plan turns into a prayer, structure matters more than conviction
i use this name to create distance between impulse and action.
calling it an institute changes how i show up. it’s the same as wearing a suit. you don’t suddenly become smarter but certain behaviors stop feeling appropriate.
The core idea is simple: the part of the brain that wants action, excitement and stories is not the part that should be making decisions under uncertainty.
This way of thinking is influenced by behavioral psychology (Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow is a good starting point). If a framework prevents even one bad trade, it’s doing its job.
#cryptotrading
#TradingPsychology
#RiskManagement
$AVAX Long (Bounce) — 5x
Entry @ 8.90
SL @ 8.70
TPs (smaller targets):
TP1 9.10
TP2 9.35
TP3 9.65
TP4 10.00 (runner optional)
Plan / Notes:
This is a bounce / mean-reversion play inside a bigger downtrend → take profits fast.
If TP1 hits → reduce risk (move SL to BE or ~8.90).
If price loses 8.70 clean → invalidated, no re-entry unless reclaim.
Invalidation: close below 8.70 / no reclaim after spike.
#AvalancheAVAX
Entry @ 8.90
SL @ 8.70
TPs (smaller targets):
TP1 9.10
TP2 9.35
TP3 9.65
TP4 10.00 (runner optional)
Plan / Notes:
This is a bounce / mean-reversion play inside a bigger downtrend → take profits fast.
If TP1 hits → reduce risk (move SL to BE or ~8.90).
If price loses 8.70 clean → invalidated, no re-entry unless reclaim.
Invalidation: close below 8.70 / no reclaim after spike.
#AvalancheAVAX
maybe. but even if it does, this doesnt mean pippin wont revisit your entry 😉
My $PIPPIN profit dropped from $65k to $47k due to the pullback, but I’m still holding and not selling. I believe $PIPPIN will reach $5 in 2026.
$ALT – Short Update
TP2 hit.
Structure playing out clean so far.
Partial profits secured.
Risk now reduced. Set SL to entry. Never let a winner become a loser.
Watching reaction around current level.
If momentum holds → TP3 remains in play.
If reclaim → I protect aggressively.
No emotions. Just management.
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Reforge Institute
Structure. Discipline. Execution.
#altcoins #CryptoFutures #ShortPosition
TP2 hit.
Structure playing out clean so far.
Partial profits secured.
Risk now reduced. Set SL to entry. Never let a winner become a loser.
Watching reaction around current level.
If momentum holds → TP3 remains in play.
If reclaim → I protect aggressively.
No emotions. Just management.
—
Reforge Institute
Structure. Discipline. Execution.
#altcoins #CryptoFutures #ShortPosition
$ALT SHORT
bounce looks cooked.
expecting fade + continuation lower, ideally a clean bleed back into the prior range.
PLAN
shorting here (0.0082) for a mean reversion move. If we keep accepting above the local top, I’m out
SL: aggressive: 0.00950 defensive: 0.00920
TARGETS
TP1 0.00866
TP2 0.00852
TP3 0.00838
TP4 0.00770 (runner)
Manage: TP1 = de-risk. If it holds above the top → I’m out, no debate.
#CryptoFutures
#altcoins
#ShortPosition
bounce looks cooked.
expecting fade + continuation lower, ideally a clean bleed back into the prior range.
PLAN
shorting here (0.0082) for a mean reversion move. If we keep accepting above the local top, I’m out
SL: aggressive: 0.00950 defensive: 0.00920
TARGETS
TP1 0.00866
TP2 0.00852
TP3 0.00838
TP4 0.00770 (runner)
Manage: TP1 = de-risk. If it holds above the top → I’m out, no debate.
#CryptoFutures
#altcoins
#ShortPosition
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