The four-year cycle has been broken - CZ says 😮
This morning, I’ll be discussing this with the crew. If anyone has thoughts, drop a comment! 👇
For starters, I've noticed one point: the 10-year downturn cycle in traditional markets has shattered 📉, exemplified by the 2008 crash; according to the 10-year theory, it should've been 2018, yet we didn't see a black swan 🦢 until 2020. Additionally, many argue that 2020 wasn't necessarily a downturn since by the end of 2020 and into 2021, we hit ATHs in both crypto and stocks 📈.
Recently, I've heard some traditional economic arguments; they explain that given the current economic data, liquidity will only flow into a few tiny sectors among thousands… and it closely resembles the current state of crypto 💸. They analyze that this situation will persist for several years to come.
So, has the 10-year cycle in stocks been broken yet? 🤔
Back to crypto, the 4-year cycle! 2017 - 2021 - 2025, the result is that we won’t see a bounce until 12/2024, and from then until now, things are still looking grim 😰, with only a few key players like BTC, BNB, TRX… making moves to break ATHs. So if CZ says the 4-year cycle has been disrupted, but he hasn’t specified how much it will extend, it’s similar to the traditional market now; could crypto run like today’s tech stocks by the end of 2026, 2027? 🚀
I’m not talking about short-term traders; for holders like CZ, Saylor, Warren, RayDalio, Elon Musk, Robert… they all share one common observation I've made for a while now: a downturn is imminent ⚠️, it’s just that their concepts of safe-haven assets and their actions differ (you’ll notice this if you observe each person).
... read more in the comments
This morning, I’ll be discussing this with the crew. If anyone has thoughts, drop a comment! 👇
For starters, I've noticed one point: the 10-year downturn cycle in traditional markets has shattered 📉, exemplified by the 2008 crash; according to the 10-year theory, it should've been 2018, yet we didn't see a black swan 🦢 until 2020. Additionally, many argue that 2020 wasn't necessarily a downturn since by the end of 2020 and into 2021, we hit ATHs in both crypto and stocks 📈.
Recently, I've heard some traditional economic arguments; they explain that given the current economic data, liquidity will only flow into a few tiny sectors among thousands… and it closely resembles the current state of crypto 💸. They analyze that this situation will persist for several years to come.
So, has the 10-year cycle in stocks been broken yet? 🤔
Back to crypto, the 4-year cycle! 2017 - 2021 - 2025, the result is that we won’t see a bounce until 12/2024, and from then until now, things are still looking grim 😰, with only a few key players like BTC, BNB, TRX… making moves to break ATHs. So if CZ says the 4-year cycle has been disrupted, but he hasn’t specified how much it will extend, it’s similar to the traditional market now; could crypto run like today’s tech stocks by the end of 2026, 2027? 🚀
I’m not talking about short-term traders; for holders like CZ, Saylor, Warren, RayDalio, Elon Musk, Robert… they all share one common observation I've made for a while now: a downturn is imminent ⚠️, it’s just that their concepts of safe-haven assets and their actions differ (you’ll notice this if you observe each person).
... read more in the comments