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Fantasmas del pasado o una nueva era?
El dilema de los 4 años acecha a un #bitcoin que busca desesperadamente su suelo
Entre la memoria cíclica y la madurez institucional
El mercado cripto se encuentra en una encrucijada psicológica. Mientras el precio de #BTC se desploma un 40% desde su máximo de octubre, la firma de investigación K33 lanza un mensaje de cautela pero con un matiz de esperanza: aunque el fantasma del "ciclo de cuatro años" (2018, 2022) ha vuelto para asustar a los inversores, los fundamentos sugieren que esta vez el abismo no será tan profundo.
El retorno de los "ecos" bajistas: Vetle Lunde, director de investigación de K33, admite que la reciente acción del precio tiene "inquietantes similitudes" con los colapsos de 2018 y 2022. La psicología del mercado está ganando la batalla a los fundamentos en el corto plazo.
"Esta vez es diferente" (de verdad): A diferencia de 2022, el mercado no enfrenta una crisis de desapalancamiento masivo (sin rastros de desastres como #FTX o #Terra Luna). Además, contamos con tipos de interés más flexibles y una adopción institucional regulada que antes no existía. K33 no prevé una caída del 80% como en ciclos pasados.
Señales de capitulación a la vista: El 2 de febrero se registró un volumen de negociación en el percentil 90 (más de 8,000 millones de dólares) y una ola de 1,800 millones de dólares en liquidaciones, indicadores que históricamente suelen preceder a una reversión o a la formación de un suelo.
Niveles críticos de soporte:
$74.000: El soporte psicológico y técnico más importante en este momento.
$69.000: El siguiente nivel si el anterior cede (máximo de 2021).
$58.000: El peor escenario, alineado con la media móvil de 200 semanas.
Para K33, los precios actuales representan niveles de entrada atractivos para quienes miran a largo plazo. La firma sostiene que, con un rendimiento plano en los últimos dos años, no hay una urgencia real de venta para los holders veteranos.
#CryptoNews
$BTC
El dilema de los 4 años acecha a un #bitcoin que busca desesperadamente su suelo
Entre la memoria cíclica y la madurez institucional
El mercado cripto se encuentra en una encrucijada psicológica. Mientras el precio de #BTC se desploma un 40% desde su máximo de octubre, la firma de investigación K33 lanza un mensaje de cautela pero con un matiz de esperanza: aunque el fantasma del "ciclo de cuatro años" (2018, 2022) ha vuelto para asustar a los inversores, los fundamentos sugieren que esta vez el abismo no será tan profundo.
El retorno de los "ecos" bajistas: Vetle Lunde, director de investigación de K33, admite que la reciente acción del precio tiene "inquietantes similitudes" con los colapsos de 2018 y 2022. La psicología del mercado está ganando la batalla a los fundamentos en el corto plazo.
"Esta vez es diferente" (de verdad): A diferencia de 2022, el mercado no enfrenta una crisis de desapalancamiento masivo (sin rastros de desastres como #FTX o #Terra Luna). Además, contamos con tipos de interés más flexibles y una adopción institucional regulada que antes no existía. K33 no prevé una caída del 80% como en ciclos pasados.
Señales de capitulación a la vista: El 2 de febrero se registró un volumen de negociación en el percentil 90 (más de 8,000 millones de dólares) y una ola de 1,800 millones de dólares en liquidaciones, indicadores que históricamente suelen preceder a una reversión o a la formación de un suelo.
Niveles críticos de soporte:
$74.000: El soporte psicológico y técnico más importante en este momento.
$69.000: El siguiente nivel si el anterior cede (máximo de 2021).
$58.000: El peor escenario, alineado con la media móvil de 200 semanas.
Para K33, los precios actuales representan niveles de entrada atractivos para quienes miran a largo plazo. La firma sostiene que, con un rendimiento plano en los últimos dos años, no hay una urgencia real de venta para los holders veteranos.
#CryptoNews
$BTC
El_Rengo_73:
El btc se va a 42k
🚨 THE FED NARRATIVE HAS CHANGED — HERE’S WHAT TO DO NEXT 🚨
the game has shifted. With Kevin Warsh stepping in as the new Fed Chair, the tone is noticeably more crypto-friendly. Policy changes won’t happen overnight, but the direction is clear — and markets move on direction, not headlines.
the $10 trillion that exited markets didn’t vanish into thin air. Capital never disappears. It rotates. And sooner or later, it flows back into risk assets.
so what’s the smart move now?
❌ don’t act emotionally.
❌ don’t deploy all your capital at once.
✅ buy in parts. Build smart.
1️⃣ $BTC & $ETH — Your foundation
2️⃣ top Alts — BNB, SOL, XRP, LINK
3️⃣ safety hedge — $PAXG & KAG (Gold & silver exposure)
yes, markets may stay red. Volatility may increase just to shake out weak hands. Bitcoin could dip below $60K, and SOL below $55. that’s not fear — that’s opportunity.
if you’re holding cash, stay calm and DCA patiently. Improve your averages instead of chasing pumps.
this is the phase where conviction is built — and rewards come later.
buy, hold, and give it time.
⚠️ always do your own research. Remember luna and FTX.
I’m not a financial advisor — just sharing perspective.
Patience now. Payoff later. 💎📈#FTX #DCAStrategy #FedChair #TrumpEndsShutdown #TrumpProCrypto
the game has shifted. With Kevin Warsh stepping in as the new Fed Chair, the tone is noticeably more crypto-friendly. Policy changes won’t happen overnight, but the direction is clear — and markets move on direction, not headlines.
the $10 trillion that exited markets didn’t vanish into thin air. Capital never disappears. It rotates. And sooner or later, it flows back into risk assets.
so what’s the smart move now?
❌ don’t act emotionally.
❌ don’t deploy all your capital at once.
✅ buy in parts. Build smart.
1️⃣ $BTC & $ETH — Your foundation
2️⃣ top Alts — BNB, SOL, XRP, LINK
3️⃣ safety hedge — $PAXG & KAG (Gold & silver exposure)
yes, markets may stay red. Volatility may increase just to shake out weak hands. Bitcoin could dip below $60K, and SOL below $55. that’s not fear — that’s opportunity.
if you’re holding cash, stay calm and DCA patiently. Improve your averages instead of chasing pumps.
this is the phase where conviction is built — and rewards come later.
buy, hold, and give it time.
⚠️ always do your own research. Remember luna and FTX.
I’m not a financial advisor — just sharing perspective.
Patience now. Payoff later. 💎📈#FTX #DCAStrategy #FedChair #TrumpEndsShutdown #TrumpProCrypto
🚨 PROBABILIDADES EN AUMENTO $CHESS
Las probabilidades de que Donald Trump indulte a Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) este año saltan del 5% al 21%.
No es un rumor.
Es un cambio real en expectativas del mercado político–legal.$ARC
📊 Qué significa este movimiento: • El tema FTX vuelve al radar político
• El indulto ya no se considera “imposible”
• El mercado empieza a descontar escenarios alternativos
• Aumenta la incertidumbre regulatoria en cripto $OG
Importante:
En mercados, los cambios de probabilidad importan más que las certezas.
#BreakingNews #CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Politics
Las probabilidades de que Donald Trump indulte a Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) este año saltan del 5% al 21%.
No es un rumor.
Es un cambio real en expectativas del mercado político–legal.$ARC
📊 Qué significa este movimiento: • El tema FTX vuelve al radar político
• El indulto ya no se considera “imposible”
• El mercado empieza a descontar escenarios alternativos
• Aumenta la incertidumbre regulatoria en cripto $OG
Importante:
En mercados, los cambios de probabilidad importan más que las certezas.
#BreakingNews #CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Politics
🚨 BREAKING – CASO FTX
Usuários da FTX chegaram a um acordo proposto com o escritório Fenwick & West no processo relacionado a fraude.
O movimento pode acelerar indenizações e destravar mais um capítulo do colapso da FTX.
#FTX #Lawsuit #Markets #Blockchainl
$FTT
Usuários da FTX chegaram a um acordo proposto com o escritório Fenwick & West no processo relacionado a fraude.
O movimento pode acelerar indenizações e destravar mais um capítulo do colapso da FTX.
#FTX #Lawsuit #Markets #Blockchainl
$FTT
#BTC #ETH #FUNDINGRATE #EXCHANGE #BINANCE #FTX
TAXAS DE FINANCIAMENTO PARA SWAP PERPÉTUO
🔸️ Todas as tarifas cotadas são de 8 horas; As taxas #FTX e #dYdX são multiplicadas por 8, pois são cotadas em taxas horárias. Taxas de financiamento positivas sugerem que os especuladores estão otimistas e que os operadores de compra pagam financiamento para os operadores de venda a descoberto. As taxas de financiamento negativas sugerem que os especuladores estão pessimistas e os traders de vendas a descoberto pagam financiamento para os traders de compra.
🔸️PS:
📉As taxas de financiamento (0,01%) são de cor preta, é neutra. As taxas de financiamento (abaixo de 0,01%) são de cor verde, é otimista.
📈As taxas de financiamento (acima de 0,01%) são de cor vermelha, é de baixa. Quanto mais forte o sentimento de baixa ou alta, mais escura a cor.
$BTC
TAXAS DE FINANCIAMENTO PARA SWAP PERPÉTUO
🔸️ Todas as tarifas cotadas são de 8 horas; As taxas #FTX e #dYdX são multiplicadas por 8, pois são cotadas em taxas horárias. Taxas de financiamento positivas sugerem que os especuladores estão otimistas e que os operadores de compra pagam financiamento para os operadores de venda a descoberto. As taxas de financiamento negativas sugerem que os especuladores estão pessimistas e os traders de vendas a descoberto pagam financiamento para os traders de compra.
🔸️PS:
📉As taxas de financiamento (0,01%) são de cor preta, é neutra. As taxas de financiamento (abaixo de 0,01%) são de cor verde, é otimista.
📈As taxas de financiamento (acima de 0,01%) são de cor vermelha, é de baixa. Quanto mais forte o sentimento de baixa ou alta, mais escura a cor.
$BTC
BREAKING: Odds Trump pardons SBF this year surge from 5% to 21% on Kalshi
Will $FTT come back to the prime era?
#FTX #TrendingTopic
Will $FTT come back to the prime era?
#FTX #TrendingTopic
🚨 SBF PARDON ODDS SKYROCKET! 🚨
The narrative has shifted HARD on $SBF. Odds just jumped from 5% to a massive 21% on Kalshi. This changes EVERYTHING for the $FTX ecosystem.
Will $FTT see a massive resurgence now? The market is waking up to this possibility. Prepare for volatility.
#CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Altseason 📈
The narrative has shifted HARD on $SBF. Odds just jumped from 5% to a massive 21% on Kalshi. This changes EVERYTHING for the $FTX ecosystem.
Will $FTT see a massive resurgence now? The market is waking up to this possibility. Prepare for volatility.
#CryptoNews #FTX #SBF #Altseason 📈
FTX SETTLEMENT CONFIRMED $FENWICKA MAJOR WIN FOR FTX USERS. The legal battle with Fenwick & West is OVER. A settlement is coming. Formal agreement submission scheduled for February 27th. Court approval pending. The terms remain undisclosed. This lawsuit alleged key assistance in FTX's fraudulent structure. Justice is being served. Don't miss this pivotal moment.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Settlement ⚖️
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Settlement ⚖️
UPDATE: $ZK
The next FTX distribution is expected on March 31, according to Sunil.
Market impact may extend across related assets like $FRAX and $ARDR . 👀
Stay alert — volatility could pick up. 🚀
#CryptoNews #FTX #ZK #frax #CryptoVirk
The next FTX distribution is expected on March 31, according to Sunil.
Market impact may extend across related assets like $FRAX and $ARDR . 👀
Stay alert — volatility could pick up. 🚀
#CryptoNews #FTX #ZK #frax #CryptoVirk
🚨 BREAKING UPDATE: $ZK 🚨
Per Sunil, the next FTX distribution is expected on March 31st 👀
Stay alert — volatility could spike around this date.
Also keep an eye on $FRAX & $ARDR 👁️📊
#CryptoUpdate #FTX #ZK #Altcoins
Per Sunil, the next FTX distribution is expected on March 31st 👀
Stay alert — volatility could spike around this date.
Also keep an eye on $FRAX & $ARDR 👁️📊
#CryptoUpdate #FTX #ZK #Altcoins
BTC
Imetje
Skupni dobiček/izguba
+2.40%
Feed-Creator-85a2f69aa:
还能涨不，不涨我就做空，涨我就做多。站上0.03做多，跌破0.027做空
🚨 FTX DISTRIBUTION WINDOW IMMINENT! 🚨
The next wave of $FTX asset distribution is locked in.
Mark your calendars now. This is the critical date for liquidity movement.
Follow immediately for real-time market intelligence updates. Don't get left behind.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Distribution #MarketUpdate 📈
The next wave of $FTX asset distribution is locked in.
Mark your calendars now. This is the critical date for liquidity movement.
Follow immediately for real-time market intelligence updates. Don't get left behind.
#FTX #CryptoNews #Distribution #MarketUpdate 📈
🚨 FTX DISTRIBUTION WINDOW SLAMMING SHUT 🚨
Sunil confirms the next major FTX distribution event is locked in.
Mark your calendars: March 31st is the date. This moves significant capital. Pay attention to market reaction.
Follow now for daily market intelligence you cannot afford to miss.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #Distribution 📈
Sunil confirms the next major FTX distribution event is locked in.
Mark your calendars: March 31st is the date. This moves significant capital. Pay attention to market reaction.
Follow now for daily market intelligence you cannot afford to miss.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #Distribution 📈
FTX DISTRIBUTION IMMINENT. Prepare for SHOCKWAVES.
Sunil confirms the next FTX distribution is locked for March 31. This is NOT a drill. The market will react. Get ready. Position yourself now. This is your last chance to prepare for the fallout.
DYOR.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate 💥
Sunil confirms the next FTX distribution is locked for March 31. This is NOT a drill. The market will react. Get ready. Position yourself now. This is your last chance to prepare for the fallout.
DYOR.
#FTX #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate 💥
FTX Creditor Representative: Next Round of Fund Distribution Expected to Take Place on March 31
#FTX $FTX#Write2Earn
FTX Creditor Rep: Next Distribution Eyed for March 31; Disputed Reserve Down $2.2B FTX creditor representative Sunil said in a Feb. 1 post on X that the exchange’s next round of fund distributions is expected on March 31. Total reconciled claims currently stand at approximately $9.6 billion, broken down as: - ~$7.8 billion for claims under $50,000; - ~$78 billion for claims over $50,000; - ~$1 billion for non-client claims. Sunil also noted the disputed reserve fund has shrunk by roughly $2.2 billion. If an additional ~$2 billion is distributed later, claims over $50,000 could receive an extra ~$1.7 billion in compensation. Overall, FTX’s creditor recovery process continues to advance, with future distribution pace tied to resolving disputed claims and asset realization progress.
FTX Creditor Rep: Next Distribution Eyed for March 31; Disputed Reserve Down $2.2B FTX creditor representative Sunil said in a Feb. 1 post on X that the exchange’s next round of fund distributions is expected on March 31. Total reconciled claims currently stand at approximately $9.6 billion, broken down as: - ~$7.8 billion for claims under $50,000; - ~$78 billion for claims over $50,000; - ~$1 billion for non-client claims. Sunil also noted the disputed reserve fund has shrunk by roughly $2.2 billion. If an additional ~$2 billion is distributed later, claims over $50,000 could receive an extra ~$1.7 billion in compensation. Overall, FTX’s creditor recovery process continues to advance, with future distribution pace tied to resolving disputed claims and asset realization progress.
🔥 SBF PRAISES TRUMP — IS A PARDON PLAY UNDERWAY? 👀⚖️
This just got interesting.
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, once one of crypto’s biggest political donors on the other side of the aisle, is now publicly praising President Donald Trump, saying Trump would be “good for crypto.”
⏰ Timing matters: • Comes days after Caroline Ellison — the star witness who testified against SBF — was released from custody
• SBF remains convicted and facing a long sentence
• Trump is the only modern U.S. president with a history of high-profile crypto-friendly pardons & commutations
🧩 Why markets are connecting dots • Public praise ≠ coincidence in political strategy
• Pardons are executive power — not courts
• Trump has shown willingness to defy institutions and rewrite narratives
💭 Speculation heating up Is this: • A genuine political shift?
• Reputation rehab?
• Or a calculated signal aimed straight at a potential Trump pardon?
📌 Reality check There is no confirmation of a pardon request — yet.
But in politics and markets, signals often come before actions.
⚠️ One thing is clear:
SBF is no longer fighting the system — he may be trying to align with the man who can override it.
$BTC
$ETH
#SBF #FTX #Trump #CryptoPolitics #PardonWatch
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, once one of crypto’s biggest political donors on the other side of the aisle, is now publicly praising President Donald Trump, saying Trump would be “good for crypto.”
⏰ Timing matters: • Comes days after Caroline Ellison — the star witness who testified against SBF — was released from custody
• SBF remains convicted and facing a long sentence
• Trump is the only modern U.S. president with a history of high-profile crypto-friendly pardons & commutations
🧩 Why markets are connecting dots • Public praise ≠ coincidence in political strategy
• Pardons are executive power — not courts
• Trump has shown willingness to defy institutions and rewrite narratives
💭 Speculation heating up Is this: • A genuine political shift?
• Reputation rehab?
• Or a calculated signal aimed straight at a potential Trump pardon?
📌 Reality check There is no confirmation of a pardon request — yet.
But in politics and markets, signals often come before actions.
⚠️ One thing is clear:
SBF is no longer fighting the system — he may be trying to align with the man who can override it.
$BTC
$ETH
#SBF #FTX #Trump #CryptoPolitics #PardonWatch
Follow RJCryptoX for real-time alerts.
FTX DISTRIBUTION IMMINENT! MARCH 31 DEADLINE LOOMS $FTXMassive recovery incoming. The next FTX payout is LOCKED for March 31. Reconciled claims hit $9.6 billion. Over $7.8 billion is earmarked for smaller claims. Larger claims over $50k are set to receive a significant boost. The disputed reserve fund has shrunk by $2.2 billion. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock an additional $1.7 billion for larger claimants. This recovery is accelerating. Don't miss out on what's coming.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #Distribution #FUD 🚀
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #Distribution #FUD 🚀
FTX RECOVERY EXPLOSION CONFIRMED
FTX creditors are getting paid. March 31st is the date. Billions are moving. Claims under $50k get $7.8 billion. Larger claims see $78 billion injected. Disputed funds are shrinking fast. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock $1.7 billion more for big holders. The FTX recovery is accelerating. Don't miss this massive shift.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #MarketUpdate 🚀
FTX creditors are getting paid. March 31st is the date. Billions are moving. Claims under $50k get $7.8 billion. Larger claims see $78 billion injected. Disputed funds are shrinking fast. Another $2Z billion distribution could unlock $1.7 billion more for big holders. The FTX recovery is accelerating. Don't miss this massive shift.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#FTX #CryptoRecovery #MarketUpdate 🚀
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