BREAKING: $1.2 trillion added to U.S. stocks after reports of U.S. allowing Iranian tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz to stabilize global oil supply.
The move is being seen as a signal of de-escalation and Oil prices are dumping after this.
Crypto investment products from asset managers including BlackRock, Fidelity, and Bitwise saw $1.06B in inflows last week, extending a three-week streak, per CoinShares.
US funds accounted for about 96% of total global inflows.
BREAKING: Oil is down 6% in the last 4 hours as U.S. permits Iranian oil tankers to pass the Strait of Hormuz.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed the U.S. is allowing Iranian ships to pass to keep the world well supplied with oil.
At the same time, President Trump has demanded that seven countries, including China and several European allies, send warships to help police the waterway.
Trump warned that allies who rely on the Strait must help protect it, stating that the future of NATO depends on their cooperation.
🚨 PENTAGON'S $11.3B IRAN CONFLICT BILL SHOCKS MARKETS
A closed-door briefing just dropped a bombshell: the Pentagon burned through $11.3 billion in just six days of military action against Iran, with costs possibly climbing to $50 billion.
History shows that tensions in oil-critical zones like the Strait of Hormuz often push investors toward alternative assets like $BTC & $ETH during Middle East crises. The market is underestimating this seismic shift.
🚨Global Markets Shock Today: $302,500,000 in short positions were liquidated in 24 hours!
Traders who bet on a market downturn were dealt a severe blow by the sudden surge, resulting in the liquidation of hundreds of millions of dollars in short positions in just one day.
That’s how outflows from US financial stock funds are BREAKING RECORDS.
And if you think it won’t affect any asset you hold
YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG!
Financials are not just “another sector.”
Financials are the BASE of the whole market.
When money starts leaving banks, brokers, lenders, and insurers this hard, the market is usually telling you that funding stress is getting worse under the surface.
In the week ending March 11, US equity funds lost $7.77 BILLION, while global financial sector funds alone lost $2.31 BILLION.
At the same time, bond funds still took in $5.72 BILLION and money market funds took in $6.93 BILLION.
Read that again.
Money is leaving stocks. Money is leaving financials. Money is going into bonds and cash.
That one fact explains a lot.
Because if oil was overreacting and this was just a fake war scare, you would not see money leaving the financial sector like this.
You would see dip buying.
Instead, you are seeing a DEFENSIVE rotation.
And that matters because financials usually crack BEFORE the rest of the market fully understands what’s happening.
MarketWatch says XLF is already down 13.3% from its January 6 high, and its correlation with the S&P 500 has fallen from 0.97 to 0.74 this year.
That’s a very clear sign that the sector is losing support while the broader market still tries to pretend everything is normal.
Now do the math.
The US stock market is worth about $69 TRILLION.
That means:
- 1% of the whole market = $690 BILLION - 5% of the whole market = $3.45 TRILLION - 10% of the whole market = $6.9 TRILLION
So when financials, which are the core of the system, start seeing record outflows while oil is already pricing a much bigger shock, the downside can get VERY big, VERY fast.
And here’s why this fits the oil story perfectly.
Higher oil means higher inflation pressure. Higher inflation pressure means heavier yields. Heavier yields mean tighter funding. And tighter funding is EXACTLY what hurts financials first.
We are currently in a minor upward trend, but this rise is still moving within a major downtrend.
Bitcoin might currently make a quick retest of the 68K area on lower timeframes, after which it will continue its natural trajectory towards the medium-term targets at 77K-80K and above 📈
We have actually been fluctuating within these levels for about 37 days, so the current movement is not unusual, but rather a natural part of this trend.
The stop-loss and risk of a crash are clear:
Breaking 63K ❌
Important note: The price has the potential to hold in this area for another month, but with a slow, creeping upward movement, as we are seeing now, until it reaches the medium-term targets.
As soon as I see this upward movement starting to tire or weaken… I will warn you immediately ⚠️
Despite this minor upward movement, we must be clear: The bear market is not over yet, guys.
But at the same time, I think we are getting very close From its end
After this minor upward move, I expect the price to resume its decline, but the next downward wave – in my opinion – will be the last downward wave in this trend.
After that, the following will truly begin:
The formation of the bottom Then the accumulation phase Then later the start of the real upward move and the bull run 🟠🔥
BlackRock has bought $1,116,100,000 in $BTC since the US-Iran war started.
Institutions are buying Bitcoin during the highest times of uncertainty.
The institutions that publicly warn about geopolitical risk in their quarterly letters are quietly deploying nine figures into the one asset that has no central bank, no headquarters and no phone number for a government to call. That's not a contradiction - that's the most honest risk assessment they've ever made.
It came lower than expected which shows inflation is cooling.
Still above the Fed’s target, and while the labor market is softening it remains strong. Oil is now more than $25 higher than during the period measured in this report.
If oil stays around $100 for three months, our econometric models suggest U.S. CPI will move back above 3%.