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Key TakeawaysXRP price drops 1% today, extending a 7-day decline of 11.2%ETF disappointment persists despite $270M cumulative inflowsHolder profitability falls to 58.5%, raising selling pressure risksETF Inflows Strong but Provide No Boost to XRP ItselfSpot ETF inflows continue but have failed to boost the XRP’s price. Canary’s XRPC ETF added $25.4 million on Nov. 18, while new funds such as Franklin Templeton’s EZRP saw muted market reaction. Despite $270 million AUM, institutional interest appears insufficient to reverse XRP’s multi-week decline.XRP’s 40% drop from its July all-time high of $3.65 reflects a classic “sell-the-news” reaction, suggesting the ETF approval was largely priced in. Sustained inflows into XRPC remain the key metric to monitor, as they may eventually provide a stabilizing force. Profitability CrisisOnly 58.5% of XRP holders remain in profit, its weakest positioning since November 2024. Roughly 26.5 billion XRP purchased near local peaks remains underwater, increasing panic-selling pressure during market dips.Supporting this trend, exchange inflows surged to 1.4 billion XRP this week, according to Glassnode, indicating heightened distribution rather than accumulation. Elevated unprofitable supply historically correlates with accelerated downside unless new catalysts emerge. Technical DowntrendXRP has breached the important $2.20 support, a key Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level. With price action now below all major moving averages:Source: TradingViewThe broader trend signals persistent downward momentum.Momentum indicators reinforce this structure. The RSI at 41.48 offers no oversold relief, while the MACD remains bearish. Market attention is now on $2.10, the July 2025 low. A close below this level could expose $2.00, last defended during the SEC resolution rally, and potentially intensify forced selling. XRP Outlook: What to WatchXRP faces pressure from fading ETF catalysts, deteriorating holder profitability, and a sustained technical breakdown. Although oversold conditions could generate a short-term rebound, the path of least resistance remains downward until ETF flows stabilize or Ripple introduces new utility drivers. The key level to watch is $2.10—a break lower may accelerate liquidations toward $2.00.