🚨 Macro Focus: Fed, Geopolitics & Market Sentiment$BTC
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al Reserve: Expected to end tapering from December, signaling a shift toward easing — a medium- to long-term bullish factor for risk assets and crypto. 🏦📈
2️⃣ Global Leaders’ Meeting: Two key world leaders are set to meet and shake hands tomorrow, improving geopolitical sentiment and boosting market confidence — short- to medium-term support for risk appetite. 🤝🌍
⚠️ Short-term risk:
Chair Powell has said, “A December rate cut is not a done deal.”
This has created temporary uncertainty and reduced market rate-cut expectations to around 70%, versus a fundamental probability closer to 90% in my view.
💬 Summary:
The current short-term weakness and hesitation are likely temporary. Once markets digest Powell’s cautious tone, value should quickly return as traders refocus on the bigger picture — a likely December rate cut and the end of tapering.
📊 Crypto Angle:
Medium- to long-term bullish on BTC and major altcoins as liquidity returns.
Short-term consolidation expected as traders wait for confirmation from the Fed and the geopolitical outcome.
🔍 Quick Market Analysis (as of now)
FactorEffectMarket BiasFed Tapering Ends (Dec)Boosts liquidity, positive for BTC/ETH🔼 BullishLeaders’ MeetingReduces global risk aversion🔼 BullishPowell’s “Not a Done Deal”Short-term caution, may weigh on sentiment🔽 Bearish (temporary)Overall OutlookHigher probability of Dec rate cut (≈ 90%)⚖️ Bullish Medium-Term
➡️ Short-term: Sideways / Mild correction (market digesting Powell’s comments).
➡️ Medium-term: Bullish — rate cut expectations and easing liquidity could lift BTC toward new highs.
➡️ Long-term: Macro trend still favors risk assets — especially as global liquidity improves.#MarketPullback #FranceBTCReserveBill #AltcoinETFsLaunch 