bitcoin

That was the last indicator standing and now it is as clear as it can get. With last month's candle close, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has confirmed that it has already started a new Bear Cycle.
The reason is simple and it is one of the most basic trading indicators out there. The 1M MACD was already on a Bearish Cross since October, and November's closing widened the gap to such extent that it is not recoverable anymore.
This has happened every time during a BTC Bear Cycle and in two of the past three cases, it took place while already on the Bear Cycle. History has shown that there is no coming back from this and BTC should start looking for the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1M MA100 (green trend-line) Zone. If all the Bear Cycle indicators we've shown on analyses since September were early signs, the MACD is conclusive and as mentioned, has confirmed it.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!
#BTC $BTC #bitcoin #BTCUSDT #BTCUSD #signals

Lundi marque un tournant historique : le groupe Banque Populaire-Caisse d’Épargne ouvre l’achat de cryptomonnaies à des millions de Français. Une victoire pour l’adoption ? Peut-être. Mais derrière l’effet d’annonce se cache une réalité mathématique implacable : entre frais élevés et absence de rendement, l’offre bancaire risque de transformer l’or numérique en plomb pour votre épargne.
C’était inimaginable il y a encore deux ans. Dès ce lundi, ouvrir son application Banque Populaire ou Caisse d’Épargne permettra d’acheter du Bitcoin, de l’Ethereum ou du Solana aussi simplement qu’on effectue un virement. Le déploiement commence par quatre caisses régionales, ciblant immédiatement deux millions de clients, avec une généralisation prévue d’ici 2026.
Le signal est puissant : la crypto n’est plus un actif marginal, c’est un standard financier. Mais attention : si la banque vous ouvre la porte, elle vous fait payer l’entrée au prix fort.
L’addition salée : Comment partir avec un handicap de -3 %
L’offre, opérée via la filiale Hexarq, impose une structure de coûts qui ferait pâlir n’importe quel investisseur averti :
1,5 % de frais à l’achat.1,5 % de frais à la revente.Un abonnement mensuel de 2,99 € juste pour accéder au service.
Faisons le calcul. Si vous investissez 1 000 €, vous perdez immédiatement 15 € en frais. Ajoutez l’abonnement annuel (environ 36 €), et votre capital est amputé de plus de 5 % la première année, sans même que le marché n’ait bougé.
Pire encore : vous n’êtes pas propriétaire de vos clés privées. Vous avez une créance sur la banque, qui détient les cryptos pour vous. C’est l’antithèse de la philosophie crypto : vous payez cher pour une « fausse » propriété.
Le piège de l’épargne « morte » (et taxée)
L’autre danger est fiscal. La France prépare un amendement pour taxer la « richesse improductive », c’est-à-dire les actifs qui dorment.
En achetant du Bitcoin via votre banque, vous faites exactement cela : vous stockez un actif volatil qui ne génère aucun intérêt. Vous espérez juste qu’il monte. C’est de la spéculation pure, avec une épée de Damoclès fiscale au-dessus de la tête.
C’est ici que le fossé se creuse entre le grand public (qui va payer ces frais bancaires) et les investisseurs intelligents.
La « Troisième Voie » : Ne payez pas la banque, devenez la banque
Pendant que le grand public se réjouit de pouvoir acheter du Bitcoin avec des frais, une minorité d’investisseurs utilise la Finance Décentralisée (DeFi) pour faire exactement l’inverse : générer du rendement.
Au lieu de laisser dormir des liquidités, il est possible d’utiliser ces mêmes actifs (notamment les stablecoins comme l’USDC, disponible dans l’offre BPCE) pour fournir de la liquidité aux marchés.
Ce n’est pas de la spéculation, c’est de l’architecture financière.
La Banque vous prend 1,5 % pour vous laisser regarder vos cryptos.Les stratégies de rendement (Yield) visent 15 à 25 % par an pour faire travailler votre capital.
Cette approche, popularisée par des cercles privés comme le Club 25%, permet de sécuriser son patrimoine en visant des revenus réguliers, sans stress et sans dépendre d’un conseiller bancaire. L’objectif est simple : construire une stratégie « Bon Père de Famille » capable de battre l’inflation et les frais bancaires, en y consacrant à peine une heure par mois.
Serez-vous le client ou le bénéficiaire ?
L’arrivée de la BPCE valide définitivement le secteur crypto. Mais elle pose un dilemme à chaque épargnant :
Rester un client passif qui paie des abonnements et des commissions pour posséder du Bitcoin « papier ».Devenir un investisseur actif qui maîtrise son patrimoine, détient ses propres clés (« Bankless ») et vise des rendements à deux chiffres.
La banque a choisi son camp : elle veut gagner de l’argent sur votre dos.
#bitcoin #Ethereum #solana

As the FOMC rate cut decision time cones near many of the traders have already locked there postions as a 90% chance of rate cut is expected which already triggered a pump causing#Market_Update
$BTC and $SOL and $ETH to pass a massive resistance but eventually fall down due to a major institution dumping btc into the exchange triggering a major sell off
The best time to buy in spot because hight volatility is expected before a bull Run starts #bullish
I'm personally buying sol btc eth and xrp on spot and will wait for a clear signal to open a futures trade I would suggest to buy now as it's better!! Then regreting latter but always DYOR and look on 8h chart which is helpful in long term moves #bitcoin

BTC is stuck below $94,000, with support at $86,000–$88,000 and $84,000 as the near-term danger zone. All focus now shifts to the FOMC. One cut could spark a surge… one misstep could send BTC tumbling. This week could rewrite 2026 before it begins.
Context in a Nutshell
Bitcoin is trading on the edge, stuck below $94,000, while support around $86,000–$88,000 is under pressure as markets brace for the upcoming FOMC decision. Rate‑cut expectations have revived hopes, but BTC's recent inability to rally suggests this rebound may lack conviction.
What You Should Know
$BTC is trading in a tight range heading into the FOMC decision: price recently bumped into resistance around $93,000–$94,000 but has repeatedly failed to break above it.Support sits in the $86,000–$88,000 range; a breach below could trigger a fallback to $84,000 or lower.Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting, a major macro catalyst that many traders hope could fuel the next leg up.But Bitcoin's performance around prior FOMC events this year warns against over‑optimism: only one out of seven sessions produced a 15 %+ gain for BTC; historically, the rest ended in losses or weak moves.
Why Does This Matter?
Macro moves from the Fed still cast the longest shadow over crypto. If the rate cut fuels risk‑on sentiment, BTC could break out, but given weak spot demand and institutional caution, a slip below support might trigger a sharper downturn. What happens next could shape crypto's year‑end narrative.
In the next 48 hours, Bitcoin may no longer be just a coin; it could become a macro bet. Buckle up: the Fed's call may decide whether BTC climbs or falls into 2026.
#bitcoin #crypto #fomc

$BTC momentarily reclaimed $94,000 during the US trading session on December 9, but under the hood, liquidity is weak. With the Fed's rate decision looming, this could be a bounce… or a bomb waiting to drop. Eyes on the next 48 hours.
Context in a Nutshell
After tumbling to the mid-$80,000s, Bitcoin clawed its way back to $94,000 as traders brace for the Fed's rate-cut announcement. The comeback underscores renewed optimism: macro liquidity is surging, risk appetite is reviving, and BTC is once again in the spotlight. But beneath the bounce lies a warning: volume and liquidity remain weak, hinting this surge may be more fragile than bullish.
What You Should Know
Bitcoin briefly bounced back above $94,000, reclaiming a key resistance zone ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate decision.The rebound follows a sharp drop to near $84,000, a 30% correction from October highs, which sparked a wave of repositioning and liquidations.Macro factors are fueling bullish hopes: markets are pricing in around an 87–90% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed's December meeting, which would inject fresh liquidity and renewed appetite for risk assets.Despite the price surge, liquidity and bid-ask metrics remain muted, suggesting this bounce may lack the conviction of a strong, broad-based rally.
Why Does This Matter?
A clean break above $94,000, ahead of a dovish Fed, could set the stage for a revival of the 2025 bull narrative. On the flip side, if liquidity fails to follow, this could morph into a short-lived relief rally, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to another leg down. For traders and institutions alike, the next 48 hours could define Bitcoin's path for the rest of the quarter.
With the Fed in focus, Bitcoin stands at a crossroads. A breakout could reignite crypto's fire; a stumble could spark a fresh wave of fear. Buckle up. $ETH $BNB
#bitcoin #crypto

📈 ¿Qué le pasa hoy a Bitcoin?

Hoy, Bitcoin se encuentra cotizando cerca de US$ 90,000–94,000, mostrando una ligera recuperación tras días de volatilidad.

📰 Las noticias clave del día

El mercado interpreta que la fase de ventas masivas ha terminado: según algunos analistas, Bitcoin ya habría superado la etapa de liquidaciones intensas, lo que marcaría el fin de un ciclo bajista.
Sin embargo, el futuro depende ahora de la decisión de la Federal Reserve (Fed) de Estados Unidos. Si recorta tasas, podría darse un “rebote” favorable; si no, el panorama volvería a complicarse.
Por su parte, la firma Strategy — dirigida por Michael Saylor — realizó una compra masiva de Bitcoin: 10 624 BTC por cerca de 963 millones de dólares. Esto demuestra que algunos inversores institucionales siguen apostando fuerte por la criptomoneda, aún en momentos de incertidumbre.🔮 ¿Y ahora qué?
Este momento se siente como una especie de “calma antes de la tormenta”: Bitcoin parece estar estabilizándose, y todo depende de señales externas —especialmente la tasa de interés de la Fed— para definir su próximo movimiento. Para muchos, este puede ser un buen punto de entrada si creen a mediano plazo.

🧩 Conclusión
Bitcoin hoy se encuentra en una encrucijada: con una base técnica que sugiere estabilidad, pero con factores externos —como decisiones macroeconómicas— que podrían inclinar la balanza hacia una subida o una nueva caída. El panorama luce incierto… pero interesante.

#Criptomonedas #MercadoCripto #inversión #bitcoin $BTC

Автор новости: Crypto Emergency
Рынок криптовалют пережил резкий всплеск активности на фоне позитивных макроэкономических новостей из США. Биткоин (BTC) поднялся выше отметки $94 000, а Ethereum (ETH) приблизился к $3400.

Рост сопровождался мощной волной ликвидаций: по данным Coinglass, за последние 24 часа принудительно закрылись позиции 103 495 трейдеров на общую сумму $376,16 млн. Крупнейший ордер был зафиксирован на HTX в паре BTC/USDT почти на $24 млн.

Импульс возник после публикации сильных данных о рынке труда в США, накануне ключевого заседания Федеральной резервной системы (ФРС). Большинство участников рынка ожидают снижения ставки ещё на 0,25%. Вероятность такого исхода оценивается в 89,6% по CME FedWatch, а на Polymarket — более 96%.

Что дальше?
Аналитик 22V Research Джорди Виссер отметил, что фондовый рынок «подаёт сигналы» о скором ралли биткоина. По его словам, показатель соотношения «чистая волатильность к чистой прибыльности» вернулся к максимумам в 10 из последних 11 дней, что усиливает бычий сценарий.

Трейдер Altcoin Sherpa также сохраняет оптимизм: он допускает рост BTC до $100 000 при достаточной силе текущего прорыва. Его прогноз по эфиру не менее позитивен — ожидается движение выше $3600.

Ethereum уже демонстрирует более уверенный рост: за неделю +8,14% против +4,80% у биткоина, по данным CoinMarketCap.
#bitcoin  #BTC  #Ethereum  #ETH  #CryptoNews

$BTC BTC is literally COPY-PASTING its historical cycles… again.
Same script, different year:
Parabolic run-up ✓
Slow, choppy topping process ✓
Deep correction that shakes out the weak hands ✓
Final dip that feels like the end of the world…
THEN the real explosive breakout to new ATHs
We are sitting EXACTLY in that “final dip” zone right now. Almost candle-for-candle with 2017 and 2021.
History isn’t just rhyming; it’s straight-up plagiarizing itself.
So let’s stop asking “if” this thing is going to pump.
The only real question left is:
Do we see $40k first… or $150k+ first?
The pattern says the slingshot is fully loaded.
This setup only happens once every 4 years.
Stay ready. The move of the cycle is coming.
#bitcoin #BinanceBlockchainWeek

$BTC #bitcoin
A tese de que o ciclo de 4 anos do Bitcoin, que historicamente se correlaciona com o evento de halving, está sendo quebrado. Essa é uma visão cada vez mais defendida por especialistas de mercado.
​A principal razão que sugerem o fim do ciclo de 4 anos e a entrada em uma "nova era" ou um "superciclo" é a adoção e institucionalização massiva.
​Com a institucionalização, o Bitcoin está se comportando menos como um ativo especulativo de nicho e mais como um ativo financeiro global.
O crescimento exponencial do valor de mercado torna cada vez mais difícil dobrar o preço em curtos períodos, o que era comum nos ciclos iniciais. Analistas preveem que os picos podem ser menos explosivos e os fundos menos profundos (quedas abaixo de 50-60% podem se tornar menos frequentes).
O Bitcoin está sendo progressivamente visto como uma reserva de valor, o que atrai investidores de longo prazo e tende a reduzir a volatilidade extrema ligada à especulação de curto prazo.
O preço do Bitcoin está cada vez mais atrelado ao cenário macroeconômico global, e menos dependente apenas do seu próprio calendário interno (Halving).
Fatores como a política monetária dos bancos centrais (especialmente o Federal Reserve dos EUA), taxas de juros, inflação e liquidez global exercem uma influência muito maior no preço do Bitcoin do que em ciclos passados.
Como disse um analista, os ciclos podem terminar mais por causa do aperto ou afrouxamento das condições monetárias (impressão de dinheiro ou aumento de juros) do que por um calendário de 4 anos.

📈 O halving importa, mas não manda sozinho
​O Halving continua sendo um evento fundamental que corta a oferta de novos Bitcoins e serve como uma narrativa poderosa. No entanto, o seu impacto relativo no preço diminui a cada ciclo. A tese do ciclo de 4 anos está sendo quebrada.
Em vez de picos e vales extremos em um calendário fixo, o Bitcoin pode passar a ter um crescimento mais estável e ciclos mais longos, mais parecidos com as classes de ativos tradicionais.
Após o pico do "bull run", o mercado se corrige drasticamente, entrando em um longo ciclo de "bear market" que dura até que a expectativa do próximo halving comece a se formar, reiniciando o ciclo de aproximadamente quatro anos.
O halving é o relógio deflacionário do Bitcoin, sendo o principal catalisador histórico para os seus ciclos de preço. No entanto, como discutido anteriormente, a chegada das instituições pode estar tornando esse relógio menos dominante.

$BTC
Bitcoin is walking a tightrope. Price is hovering around $90,399, sitting right under a 6-week downtrend and the entire market is waiting for just one thing:
The FOMC’s 25bps rate cut this Wednesday.
A confirmed cut could snap Bitcoin out of its slump instantly…
But there’s a hidden challenge that most traders ignore:
Short-Term Holders Are Increasing Their Grip
The STH-to-LTH Supply Ratio just climbed from 18.3% 18.5%, breaking above the 17.6% upper band.
This subtle shift changes everything.
More STHs =
• Higher speculative activity
• Faster liquidity
• But also sharper volatility
• Profit-taking pressure near key levels
Historically, these fast-moving holders cap rallies by selling early, especially if BTC pumps after macro news.
Profitability Shows the Market Is Still Cautious
BTC’s Percent Supply in Profit ticked up from 66.5% 67.3% positive, but nowhere near the 98%+ euphoria zone seen in strong bull markets.
This is accumulation territory.
Smart money is waiting. Watching. Preparing for macro confirmation before committing fully.
Key Levels to Watch
Right now BTC is trying to flip $90,400 into support the first crucial sign of reversal.
If the FOMC sparks risk-on momentum:
Bounce from $90,400 → Retest $95,000
Break $95K Clear runway to $100,000
The prediction becomes reality
But if STHs dump into strength:
Rejection at $95K
Or failure to break the downtrend
BTC slides back toward $86,822, invalidating the bullish setup.
Bottom Line
Bitcoin is coiled.
The macro trigger is ready.
The path to $100K is open but short-term holders decide whether the rally survives or dies early.
Are you positioned for both outcomes?

$BTC #bitcoin #fomc #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare