Next week (January 26–30, 2026) is being called "The Week of Reckoning" for the crypto markets. We are facing a rare "Triple Threat" of regulatory, macroeconomic, and institutional events that could either catapult Bitcoin toward $100k or trigger a sharp correction.

Here is your detailed breakdown of what to watch:

1. The CLARITY Act Showdown (Tuesday, Jan 27)

The Senate Agriculture Committee is scheduled to hold a high-stakes markup for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act.

  • The Conflict: This bill is the "Holy Grail" for U.S. crypto, aiming to finally decide which assets are "securities" (SEC) and which are "commodities" (CFTC).

  • The Risk: Recent pushback from critics like Senator Elizabeth Warren warns of "tokenization loopholes." If the bill hits a stalemate, expect a "risk-off" dump as regulatory uncertainty returns.

2. The Fed’s "Wait-and-See" (Wednesday–Thursday, Jan 28-29)

The first FOMC meeting of 2026 is here. While the market prices a 95% chance that rates will remain on hold at 3.50%–3.75%, the real action is in the press conference.

  • The Pivot: Investors are looking for clues on a potential March rate cut. Any hint of "sticky inflation" or a hawkish tone from Jerome Powell could suck liquidity out of the crypto market.

  • The Twist: This is one of Powell's final meetings before his term expires in May, adding a layer of "lame duck" unpredictability to his guidance.

3. Big Tech Earnings & WallStreetBets Live (Jan 28-30)

While crypto moves on its own, it is still heavily correlated with the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks.

  • Earnings Week: Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, and Apple all report this week. If Big Tech beats expectations, the "wealth effect" usually spills over into Bitcoin.

  • Miami Madness: The WallStreetBets Live event kicks off in Miami on the 28th. Historically, these high-retail-interest events lead to massive volatility in meme coins ($DOGE , $SHIB )and "degen" assets.

4. Potential U.S. Government Shutdown (Friday, Jan 30)

The temporary funding for the U.S. government expires at the end of the month.

  • Why it matters for Crypto: A shutdown halts SEC/CFTC operations and creates a "chaos premium" for Bitcoin, which often acts as a hedge against failing traditional institutions.

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