#Fed #FedRateDecisions #FedRateCut
The first big macro event of 2026 is here: FOMC Meeting on January 27-28, with the rate decision dropping Wednesday, January 28 at 2:00 PM ET. No press conference or new Dot Plot this time – just the statement and any signals on future moves.
Current fed funds rate: 3.50% - 3.75% (after three 25bps cuts in late 2025).
Latest inflation vibe: November CPI came in soft at 2.7% YoY (headline) and 2.6% core – the lowest core in years, thanks to easing shelter and goods prices. December CPI drops January 13 – watch that closely!
Market odds (via CME FedWatch as of early Jan):
~85% chance of NO CHANGE (rates stay 3.50-3.75%)
~15% chance of 25bps cut to 3.25-3.50%
Why the pause vibes?
Fed's been cautious after 2025 cuts – inflation's cooling but still above 2% target.
Strong growth expected in 2026, plus some hawkish voices worried about sticky prices.
Dot Plot from December hinted at maybe just one more cut all year.
But crypto loves lower rates: Cheaper money = more risk-on flows into BTC, ETH, and alts! A surprise dovish hint could spark a rally. Hot inflation or hawkish statement? Potential short-term dip.
Position smart – volatility incoming! What's your bet: Steady hold or sneaky cut signal?
Share your predictions: BTC moon on pause, or wait for spring cuts? 👇
#FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRates #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #BinanceSquare
