tokenunlocks

Today #kaito token unlocks 33.09M KAITO 3.31%

#KAITO #tokenunlocks

Ever wondered why that hot new listing on Binance Futures suddenly starts a "slow bleed" after the first 48 hours? It's not usually a project failure—it's Structural Sell Pressure.
​After analyzing over 580+ coins on Binance Futures, a repeating "Decay Pattern" has emerged. Here is the breakdown of the strategy we built to trade this reality.
​🔍 The Origin of the Strategy
​Nearly 70% of assets trend lower after their initial listing period. We call this the "67% Negative Growth" Rule. The cause?
​The Exit Liquidity Event: Projects often launch with only 5%–15% float. When the remaining 85% starts unlocking, VCs who bought at $0.001 are ready to exit at $0.10.​The Retail Trap: Hype creates a price spike. Retail traders buy the "New Listing" tag, but 48 hours later, the "Smart Money" has finished selling, leaving the price with nowhere to go but down.
​🛡️ The Refined Rules of Execution
​1️⃣ Rule 1: The Valuation-Supply Mismatch (Selection)
Target assets where the FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) is at least 5x higher than the Market Cap. If "Locked Supply" is >80%, the asset is a priority candidate for a long-term bleed.
​2️⃣ Rule 2: The 48-Hour Hype Ceiling (Confirmation)
Monitor the first two days of a listing. If an asset sets an All-Time High (ATH) within 48 hours and fails to reclaim it within 5 days, the "Hype Phase" is over. We are now in Distribution.
​3️⃣ Rule 3: The "T-Minus 72" Entry (Timing)
Watch the supply-event calendar. The optimal short entry is 72 hours before a major unlock. This captures the "front-running" behavior of insiders moving assets to the exchange.
​4️⃣ Rule 4: The Overbought "Dead Cat" Fade (Precision)
Never "market short" a dump. Wait for a relief pump (a short-term bounce). Use the 1H or 4H chart to identify an overbought state. Enter when buying volume tapers off near a previous support-turned-resistance.
​5️⃣ Rule 5: The Crowded Trade Filter (Risk)
Always check the Funding Rate. If it’s significantly negative, avoid the short—a "Short Squeeze" is likely. Only enter when the rate is neutral or positive, meaning there's still a "long" bias to trade against.
​💡 Final Thoughts
​In crypto, the gravity of supply is the strongest force. By identifying assets with heavy inflation and weak post-listing momentum, you trade with the mathematical trend of the market.
​Which new listings are you watching this week? Let's discuss in the comments! 👇
​#tradingStrategy #BinanceFutures #CryptoAnalysis #tokenunlocks

Ianuarie este o lună de volatilitate mare. Dacă deții aceste tokenuri, acordă o atenție deosebită șocului de ofertă care vine:
​$STRK (Starknet): 127 de milioane de tokenuri se deblochează pe 15 ianuarie. Așteaptă-te la o presiune de vânzare.
​$ARB (Arbitrum): 92 de milioane de tokenuri se deblochează pe 16 ianuarie.
​$ZRO (LayerZero): Deblocare majoră între 20-26 ianuarie.
​Sfaturi utile: Adesea, piața "prețuiește" aceste deblocări devreme. Dacă observi o scădere bruscă înainte de dată, ar putea fi o capcană pentru urși. Verifică întotdeauna $FDUSD sau perechile $USDC pentru intrări stabile.