gold

Prețurile aurului din Dubai scad după maximele record, în timp ce argintul se stabilizează după o creștere sălbatică.
Cheltuielile cu aur în Dubai au scăzut luni dimineața, relaxându-se din nou după o rally de record care a fost impulsionată de o creștere internațională a metalelor prețioase. Intervalul de 24 de karate s-a situat la Dh542.75 pe gram la ora 8:45, în timp ce aurul de 22 de karate a fost de Dh502.50. (Verificați prețurile actuale ale aurului din UAE aici, împreună cu prețurile din Arabia Saudită, Oman, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuweit și India.) După ce a atins noi vârfuri la sfârșitul săptămânii trecute, prețurile aurului au scăzut în tranzacțiile timpurii, pe măsură ce traderii și-au asigurat profiturile iar sentimentul global a devenit mai prudent. Această retragere reflectă mișcările globale, unde aurul a retrogradat ușor după ce a atins niveluri record în mijlocul unei volatilitate crescute pe piețele de argint și cupru.

Precious metals decisively outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025 as investors chose gold and silver to hedge against currency debasement.
Gold has risen approximately 71% year-to-date while silver surged roughly 159%.
Bitcoin has fallen about 6% over the same period.
The divergence contradicts early 2025 predictions that Bitcoin would benefit from the "debasement trade," an investment strategy involving store-of-value assets as protection against fiat currency erosion.
What Happened
Gold reached its best annual performance since 1979, trading above $4,500 per ounce.
The metal has remained above its 200-day moving average for approximately 550 consecutive trading days, marking the second-longest streak on record behind only the roughly 750-session stretch following the 2008 financial crisis.
Silver hit all-time highs above $72 per ounce, driven by industrial demand for solar panels, electric vehicles, and semiconductors combined with persistent supply deficits.
Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $126,200 on October 6 before pulling back sharply.
The cryptocurrency currently trades around $87,400, representing a decline of approximately 30% from its peak.
Read also: South Korea Extends Crypto Travel Rule To Transactions Under $680
Why It Matters
Central banks globally have been steadily increasing gold holdings throughout 2025, with emerging and developed markets explicitly framing the metal as a neutral reserve asset amid geopolitical fragmentation.
Lower expected real interest rates and a weaker dollar have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding precious metals.
Despite Bitcoin's underperformance, cryptocurrency analysts expect the asset to catch up with gold in 2026.
Lewis Harland, portfolio manager at Re7 Capital, told CoinDesk that gold has been leading Bitcoin by roughly 26 weeks.
The metal's renewed strength reflects markets increasingly pricing in further currency debasement and fiscal strain into 2026, a backdrop that has historically supported both assets with Bitcoin responding with greater volatility.
Polymarket traders assign a 40% probability of Bitcoin being the best-performing asset in 2026, compared with 33% for gold and 25% for equities.
$BTC
#BTCVSGOLD #BTC走势分析 #gold

The golden run of 2025 is closing with a bang. With Spot #Gold (PAXG/USD) currently trading around $4,445 after tapping a historic All-Time High (ATH) of ~$4,550 earlier this week, investors are asking: Is the top in, or is this just a pit stop on the road to $5,000?
In this comprehensive 5-year review and future outlook, we break down the data, the history, and the charts to give you a clear edge.

The Last 5 Years: A Historic Bull Run (2020-2025)
To understand where we are going, we must look at the unprecedented climb of the last half-decade. Gold has transformed from a boring hedge into the best-performing asset of the mid-2020s.
Year-by-Year Performance Review:
2020 (The COVID Shock): Gold hit a then-record of ~$2,075 but spent most of the year consolidating around $1,800–$1,900 .2021-2022 (The Rate Hike Cycle): Prices struggled, dipping into the $1,600s as the Federal Reserve aggressively hiked rates. Sentiment was bearish, but central banks quietly began accumulating.2023 (The Banking Crisis): The failure of major regional banks pushed Gold back above $2,000 , establishing a new psychological floor.2024 (The Breakout): The pivot year. Gold shattered the $2,100 ceiling, rallying to $2,700 by year-end driven by record Central Bank buying (led by China and Poland) and escalating geopolitical tensions.2025 (The Parabolic Move): A year for the history books. Fueled by "de-dollarization" fears and renewed inflation spikes, gold surged nearly 70% , crushing the $3,000 and $4,000 barriers to peak at $4,550 in December.
Key Takeaway: The "floor" price has risen by over 150% in five years. The dips were shallow, and the rallies were aggressive.

Data Analysis: What is Driving the Price?
The rally to $4,400+ wasn't magic; it was math. Three core data points define this move:
Central Bank Demand: Global central banks purchased a record 1,000+ tonnes annually for the last three years. They are diversifying away from US Treasuries, effectively removing supply from the open market.Real Interest Rates: Despite nominal rates being high, inflation-adjusted (real) yields remained low or negative, making non-yielding Gold attractive.ETF Inflows: After years of outflows, 2025 saw a massive return of institutional capital into Gold ETFs, adding over 500 tonnes of demand in Q3 and Q4 alone.
Price Predictions: The Next 5 Years (2026-2030)
Analysts from major institutions like JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, and the World Gold Council have updated their outlook following the 2025 breakout.

The 2026 Thesis:
JP Morgan Global Research expects prices to average near $5,055 by late 2026. The driver? A continued "fear trade" as global debt levels become unsustainable, forcing more liquidity injections (money printing).
Technical Chart Analysis (As of Dec 30, 2025)
Current Price: $4,445
Trend: Strong Uptrend (Weekly/Monthly), Short-term Correction (Daily/4H).
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance (The Ceiling):$4,550: The current all-time high. A daily close above this opens the door to the psychological $5,000 level.$4,616: The 1,272 Fibonacci extension level.Support (The Floor):$4,415 - $4,430: Immediate support. If these breaks, we could see a healthy flush.$4,237: Major structural support (previous breakout zone). This is the "Buy the Dip" zone for institutions.
Indicators:
RSI (Daily): Cooling off from "Overbought" (80+) levels, currently near 50. This suggests the market is resetting for the next leg up, rather than crashing.MACD (4H): Currently bearish, indicating short-term selling pressure is still present. Patience is key.
The Bottom Line:
$PAXG is no longer just a "boomer rock." It has proven to be the ultimate hedge against the fiat instability of the 2020s. While 2025 delivered historical gains, the macro data suggests the cycle is not over.
Strategy for 2026:
Do not chase the green candles at $4,550. Watch for a retest of the $4,350 - $4,400 zone to accumulate long-term positions. As long as central banks are buying, the trend remains your friend.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Gold markets are volatile. Always do your own research (DYOR) before trading.
#GOLD #GoldenOpportunity $PAXG

Scăderea bruscă a aurului — nu este doar o corecție și nu este „zgomot de piață”.

Când un activ, care timp de decenii a fost considerat un refugiu sigur, pierde trilioane în capitalizare în câteva ore, este întotdeauna un semnal.

Ce s-a întâmplat de fapt:

▪️ Aurul a devenit o miză supraîncărcată

▪️ În el au fost investiți prea mulți bani «din frică»