Bitcoin Defies US-Venezuela Tensions, But Monday Market Turbulence Looms
Despite the US strikes on Venezuela over the weekend of January 3-4, 2026, Bitcoin prices have remained relatively stable, with current trading around $91,356. However, some experts warn of potential high volatility or a "knee-jerk reaction" for traditional equities and commodity markets when they reopen on Monday, January 5, 2026.
Key Insights
Bitcoin's Current Movement: Bitcoin has actually seen a slow rise, moving back above the $90,000 mark over the weekend. The event, being a "planned and coordinated attack," is considered by some analysts to be "already past" the crypto market's immediate reaction cycle.
Diverging Expert Opinions: Analysts are divided on Bitcoin's future in the immediate aftermath. Some, like Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Fund, anticipate a slim likelihood of a widespread correction and project Bitcoin could go north of $90,000 in the coming week. Others, like Lennaert Snyder, expect more volatility as major traditional market players return.
Traditional Market Outlook: The main concern for Monday is the reaction of traditional financial markets. Heightened geopolitical risk typically causes capital to flow out of risk assets and into safe havens like gold. Given the US's direct involvement, Wall Street equities and crude oil prices are expected to see significant turbulence and price movements.
Safe Haven Status Questioned: While some still view Bitcoin as a potential hedge against traditional market risks, recent events and studies show it can exhibit significant volatility during geopolitical crises, sometimes more so than traditional safe havens. Its reaction varies depending on current price levels and market conditions.
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