📍#ETH Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report 2025-12-29
【Core Viewpoint】：BTC eats meat; ETH starves. Weekly bear weighs heavy; short-term is a dead cat bounce.
Compared to BTC, ETH is pathetic. Weekly chart is capped by 3,181. Daily and 4H are stuck in a box. The 1H bounce is just sympathy movement. Upside is very limited.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (1W Weekly)
Market Status:
Weekly price is below 3,181, indicating weak macro structure. Big money isn't buying the dip; they are selling the rip.
【1W Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short the rally at resistance.
• Defense/Pivot: 4,263.72
🛑 Short Setup:
• Range: 3,181.86 ～ 2,255.92
• Breakdown Chase: Below 3,181.86 (after rejection)
• TP: 2,255.92
• SL: 4,263.72
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Consolidation (1D/4H Level)
Market Status:
Daily and 4H are sandwiched between 3,055 and 2,867. Directionless. This chop is designed to kill leverage. Stay out.
【1D/4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Wait for a breakout.
• Defense/Pivot: 2,867.28
🛑 Trading Advice:
• Wait and See: Watch if we can close above 3,055.97.
• Capital: 100% in patient limit orders.
• Risk Alert: If 2,867.28 breaks, we drop.
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bullish (1H Level)
Market Status:
Short-term reclaimed 2,966 following BTC. This is a scalping chance, but remember, it's just riding coattails.
【1H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Hit and run. Don't be greedy.
• Defense/Pivot: 2,929.89
🟢 Long Setup:
• Long on Dip (Limit): 2,945.56 ～ 3,003.27 (Allocate 60% capital)
• Breakout (Chase): 3,003.27 (Allocate 40% capital)
• Take Profit (TP): 3,055.97
• Stop Loss (SL): 2,929.89
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📝 Summary & Advice
For Holders:
Use this bounce to exit or reduce bags. 3,055 is a wall. Don't hallucinate.
For Non-Holders:
Long BTC or BNB for efficiency. If you must trade ETH, scalp the 1H with tight stops.
