My #Bitcoin Theory: Are Outflows Enabling Price Suppression?
Fact:
Massive Bitcoin outflows = bullish signal?
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- Exchange reserves dropped from 3.4M to 2.4M BTC (Sep 2022–Jul 2025, ~$106B at $106K/BTC).
- Futures open interest doubled from $16B to $33B in the same period.
My Theory:
Outflows make price suppression easier via leverage!
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-1 BTC as collateral at 10x leverage = $1M short position. A small amount of BTC can fuel big shorts.
-Coins locked in cold storage/ETFs (e.g., BlackRock’s $70B Bitcoin ETF) reduce liquid supply, letting whales bully retail HODLers with leveraged shorts.
Why It Matters:
- Less liquid BTC means small short positions can sway prices, shaking out small traders.
- Data shows a bearish tilt (0.73 put-to-call ratio, Jun 2025) and stalled prices (~$110K, May 2025).
My Strategy:
Never sell my $BTC!
🙅♂️
I’ll hedge with shorts if the market weakens, adding gains to my bags.
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Counterpoint:
Most outflows go to HODLing/ETFs, not shorts. Strong institutional buying keeps BTC above $100K.
But is leverage quietly capping gains?
