Grayscale’s 2026 outlook expects Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs in the first half of 2026 and notes that the 20 millionth BTC is projected to be mined around March 2026.
The main message is simple: 2026 could be driven more by real build-out than speculation, especially as crypto keeps integrating into traditional finance and regulation continues to mature.
Bitcoin is once again trading near the upper Bear Band, a level that has historically appeared late in market cycles.
While price remains above long-term trend support, momentum is starting to flatten. In previous cycles, similar conditions often resulted in a prolonged distribution phase rather than immediate continuation.
If the market follows historical patterns, potential mean-reversion zones may appear around $62K, $43K, and $27K.
This does not imply an immediate crash. Instead, it suggests compressed risk, where upside becomes harder and downside sensitivity increases.
According to Token Terminal, developers deployed 8.7 million new smart contracts, the highest quarterly total in the network’s history. This marks a strong recovery after weaker activity in the previous two quarters.
The growth was driven by stablecoin usage, real-world asset tokenization, and infrastructure development. Contract deployment often acts as a leading indicator, appearing before increases in users, transactions, and network fees.
Ethereum is increasingly positioning itself as a global settlement layer for on-chain finance.
Recent data shows more than 6 million wallets hold 500 XRP or less, while a small group of large wallets controls a big share of supply. As price rises, this gap becomes more visible.
Buying 1,000 XRP now costs much more than a year ago, which makes steady accumulation harder for retail investors. Large holders feel this far less.
Some community members say supply is not tight, pointing to roughly 16B XRP on exchanges. Others, including crypto lawyer Bill Morgan, argue XRP still mainly moves with Bitcoin’s direction, not wallet distribution.
The key takeaway: higher prices change who can accumulate, but BTC still leads the market.
The 2025 revenue leaderboard is a strong reality check.
Solana leads all chains by a wide margin at about $1.3B in revenue, while Hyperliquid comes in second at around $816M. It shows the dominance game is shifting toward chains that generate consistent fees from real usage, especially trading activity, instead of relying only on TVL and narratives.
US spot ETF flows (26-12-2025) were negative again.
Bitcoin spot ETFs saw -$275.88M in net outflows. Ethereum spot ETFs saw -$38.70M out. All the other listed ETFs showed zero flow. Total net flow was -$314.58M.
Big detail: the BTC outflow alone is roughly equal to about 7 days of mined BTC supply in one day. ETF flows can move faster than daily issuance, which is why they matter so much for short-term price action.
BNB Chain prepares Fermi hard fork to make blocks faster
BNB Chain will activate the Fermi hard fork on Jan 14, 2026, following a successful testnet upgrade on Nov 10, 2025.
The goal is faster performance by cutting the block interval from 750 ms to 450 ms, which can improve transaction speed and overall network throughput.
If the rollout is smooth, this upgrade can support more time-sensitive apps and make the chain feel more responsive for everyday users.
Bitcoin remains range-bound because it cannot reclaim $90,000. That zone keeps rejecting price, and it is reinforced by strong technical signals like the main price area (POC) and the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
BTC is still trading inside the higher range of $97,500 to $80,500, and it is currently near the middle around $87,000, which usually means slow movement and low volatility.
Support at $85,500 is the main line. If it holds, sideways action is likely. If it breaks on a close, price can drift toward $80,500.
Bitcoin Stuck Under $88K as ETFs See $825M+ Outflows in 5 Days
#Bitcoin is still trading below $88K while spot BTC ETFs keep seeing outflows.
Over the last 5 trading days, ETFs recorded $825M+ in total outflows. On Dec 24, net outflows were $175.29M, and none of the ETFs had inflows. IBIT had the biggest outflow at $91.37M.
Traders are also being careful ahead of the big Deribit options expiry on Dec 26, worth about $23.6B.
BTC is still ranging between $86K and $88K. The key support level to watch is $85,200.
Do you think the outflows are mainly holiday + tax moves, or is demand truly cooling?
Gold Nears a Historic Monetary Level as #Bitcoin Tests Support
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments.
Trump Media Actively Managing Its Bitcoin Reserves
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of bitcoin, not speculative behavior.
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
Dlaczego grudniowy zakres Bitcoina może wkrótce się kończyć
Bitcoin utrzymujący się między 85 000 a 90 000 dolarów przez większość grudnia ma mniej wspólnego z sentymentem, a więcej z strukturą instrumentów pochodnych.
Silna ekspozycja na opcje w pobliżu spot zmusiła animatorów rynku do agresywnego hedgingu, kupując spadki i sprzedając wzrosty. To zachowanie tłumiło zmienność i zamykało cenę w wąskim korytarzu, nawet gdy warunki makro się poprawiały, a aktywa ryzykowne rosły.
Ta dynamika zmienia się, gdy opcje na koniec roku wygasają. Z około 27 miliardami dolarów otwartego zainteresowania, które wygasają, a silną tendencją do kupna nadal w mocy, presja hedgingowa, która przytrzymywała cenę, szybko zanika.
Implikowana zmienność pozostaje blisko miesięcznych minimów, sugerując, że rynek niedostatecznie wycenia ruch, tak jak strukturalne ograniczenia są usuwane.
Gdy pozycjonowanie dominuje nad ceną przez tygodnie, rozwiązanie często następuje szybko, gdy te ograniczenia znikają.
Różnica między rynkami spot a papierowymi jest teraz szalona. Czy uważasz, że prawdziwa podaż w końcu zaczyna się wyczerpywać?
ONCHAIN INSIGHTS
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Byczy
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{future}(BROCCOLI714USDT)
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