cryptoregulation

Wieloletnia batalia regulacyjna oficjalnie przeniosła się na korzyść Ripple. W historycznym kamieniu milowym regulacyjnym, dyrektor generalny Ripple, Brad Garlinghouse, został powołany do Komitetu Doradczego ds. Innowacji przy Komisji ds. Handlu Towarami (CFTC).
Ten ruch sygnalizuje ogromną zmianę z lat prawnych napięć w nową erę współpracy w branży.
Analiza "Ruchu Mocy Garlinghouse"
Od sali sądowej do komisji: Po formalnym zakończeniu procesu SEC przeciwko Ripple w sierpniu 2025 roku — który potwierdził, że transakcje detaliczne XRP nie są papierami wartościowymi — Ripple teraz bezpośrednio doradza federalnym regulatorom.

Recent U.S. policy moves signal a pro-crypto regulatory shift under the Trump administration, with SEC and CFTC working toward harmonized frameworks through "Project Crypto." However, legislative delays and market-specific concerns (quantum computing fears, ETF flow volatility) are creating short-term headwinds despite long-term optimism.
📊 Current Market Snapshot
MetricValueInterpretationFear & Greed Index12 (Extreme Fear)Capitulation-level sentiment—historically a contrarian buy signalBTC Price$68,387Down ~30% from recent highs; testing key support levelsETH Price$1,964Down ~60% from 2021 highs; near long-term support at $1,900Bull Market Progress34.29%Mid-cycle positioning—not overheated, room for expansionBTC ETF Flows (Recent)Mixed (Feb 13: +$15M)Stabilizing after heavy outflows (-$410M Feb 12)
🏛️ Key U.S. Policy Developments
1. "Project Crypto" – SEC & CFTC Harmonization
What's Happening:
SEC Chairman Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig held a joint event(cointelegraph.com) to advance unified crypto regulationGoal: Eliminate jurisdictional overlap between SEC (securities) and CFTC (commodities) that has plagued the industryAtkins' Warning: Rulemaking alone is "easily overturned" by future administrations— Congress must pass legislation for durable clarity
Market Impact:
✅ Positive: Reduces regulatory uncertainty for institutions
⚠️ Caveat: Senate delayed the crypto market structure bill to 2026 (coindesk.com)—no markup hearing this month, pushing key decisions into next year
2. Crypto Industry Political Mobilization
What's Happening:
Fairshake super PAC has $193M war chest(chaincatcher.com) for 2026 midterm electionsStrategy: Back pro-crypto candidates (e.g., Rep. Barry Moore) and oust opponents (e.g., Rep. Al Green)Track Record: Spent $180M in 2024 cycle, claimed wins in high-profile races
Market Impact:
✅ Long-term bullish: Crypto's political clout is institutionalizing , reducing existential regulatory risk
📈 Narrative shift: From "regulation by enforcement" to "regulation by legislation"
3. ETF Ecosystem Expansion (and Delays)
What's Happening:
Trump Media resubmitted Bitcoin/Ethereum ETF applications(chaincatcher.com) + plans Cronos (CRO) ETF tied to Crypto.comSEC Response: Delayed multiple altcoin ETF proposals (August 2025), but approved some staking-enabled fundsInstitutional Momentum: BlackRock's BUIDL token now trading on Uniswap(fortune.com), Ondo brings tokenized stocks to DeFi(thestreet.com)
Market Impact:
✅ Bullish: Wall Street-DeFi convergence accelerating (BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, LSEG all active)
⚠️ Short-term drag: ETF outflows during Feb 4-12 totaled -$1.5B for BTC, reflecting macro jitters
🔍 Why Markets Aren't Rallying (Yet)
Despite pro-crypto policy signals, prices remain under pressure. Here's why:
Factor 1: Quantum Computing FUD
Analyst Willy Woo warns(chaincatcher.com) markets are pricing in 4M "lost" BTC (early keys vulnerable to quantum cracking) re-entering supplyTimeline: "Q-Day" expected in 5-15 years, but markets front-running the risk nowImpact: BTC's 12-year valuation trend vs. gold has broken; overhang suppressing price
Factor 2: Macro Uncertainty
Dollar weakness (Jan 2026) failed to lift crypto—gold rallied instead, signaling flight to traditional safe havensFed Policy: Next rate decision looming; markets pricing in prolonged higher-for-longer rates
Factor 3: Legislative Limbo
Senate delay on market structure bill creates policy vacuum —institutions want clarity before deploying capitalAtkins' testimony: Even with SEC/CFTC cooperation, lack of legislation = risk of policy reversal under future administrations🧠 The Big Picture
U.S. policy is shifting from hostile to constructive , but markets are pricing in execution risk . The gap between regulatory optimism and price action reflects:
Trust deficit: Years of SEC enforcement created skepticism—markets need proof (passed legislation, not just promises)Macro dominance: Until Fed pivots or recession fears ease, risk assets (including crypto) face headwindsStructural maturation: Institutions demand regulatory certainty before deploying billions—we're in the "building the rails" phase
Historical parallel: Similar to 2016-2017, when regulatory clarity (CFTC futures approval) preceded the 2017 bull run. Current setup mirrors that pre-breakout consolidation .

#CryptoNews #CryptoRegulation #Blockchain #CryptoPolicyShift #InvestmentThesis

1. Scenariusz regulacyjny: Ustawa GENIUS nabiera kształtu
NCUA zainicjowała wdrożenie ustawy GENIUS, proponując jasne zasady, aby spółdzielnie kredytowe mogły emitować stablecoiny przez spółki zależne. To pokazuje zaangażowanie rządu amerykańskiego w integrację stablecoinów z tradycyjnym systemem finansowym do lipca 2026 roku, tworząc środowisko bezpieczeństwa prawnego.

Źródło: X
2. Proponowana struktura: Kontrola i bezpieczeństwo
Model NCUA jest konserwatywny, ale innowacyjny:
Segregacja: Emisja jest izolowana w spółkach zależnych, aby chronić aktywa spółdzielni macierzystej.