Some things I've learned after hodling bitcoin since early 2017
1. Never believe anyone's price predictions. 2. Don't "diversify" into other cryptos; none of them are actually decentralized, everything except bitcoin is a shitcoin (yes, really), and it's all gambling. The point of bitcoin is not gambling, but to end modern day slavery (fiat currency). 3. When everyone you know is talking about bitcoin, you're at the top of a bull market. You'll likely be too exuberant to realize it though. It will be obvious in hindsight. 4. Don't "trade some altcoins on the side to get more bitcoin". You are not that smart, and the overwhelming probability is that you will get wrecked. 5. DCA into bitcoin. Ignore your emotions. Don't try to time the market. Just stack what you can every paycheck. 6. Don't be too excited about bitcoin; people will feel like you're scamming them even though you're just trying help. 7. Go to meetups & conferences. Don't be isolated. Bitcoiners are generally very awesome people. 8. When people ask you about how to buy bitcoin, send them to a BITCOIN-ONLY company. Example for why: My cousin bought bitcoin (on Coinbase) during the bull market, then sold it for shiba on the same platform and now she pretty much lost everything. Bitcoin-only companies are the safest option to keep newbies from doing newbie things. 9. Be on #bitcoin twitter and nostr. Obviously if you're reading this, you're already here...but I didn't get on twitter until 2020 and can tell you that it's a lot less lonely hodling bitcoin when you see a bunch of other people on this platform experiencing the same things you are. 10. Be skeptical of influencers. Even me (I'm not a huge account, but still). Some are good, some are bad. Even if they have good intentions, their judgement can be clouded by bad incentives. 11. Stop trying to convince everyone you know that bitcoin will make everything better (even though it will). Instead, be a good resource for the people who eventually reach out to you about it. Be known as "the bitcoin guy" and let people come to you when they're ready. Have good content prepared for them to read/watch when they do. That is all. It's been a great ride so far and I'm happy to know you guys. #bitcoin #dyor #crypto2023
Santa Claus rally gets stuck in traffic as markets turn red
While the S&P 500 and gold hit record highs indicative of the Santa Claus rally, crypto traders face a harsh reality. As we approach Christmas, the crypto community is still awaiting a Santa Claus rally. A widely believed phenomenon in traditional stock and commodity markets, a Santa Claus rally is a calendar effect. It involves asset prices rising during the last five trading days in December around Christmas and the first two trading days in the following January. If we look at the traditional markets, it looks like the Santa rally is on the way. Spot gold hit a new record high of $4,525.18 per ounce and the S&P 500 also posted a record high of 6,921.42 on Dec. 24. So, both stock and commodity benchmarks lie in the green zone ahead of Christmas. The Santa rally, driven by year-end optimism and portfolio rebalancing, is generally anticipated in the digital assets market also. Bitcoin (BTC), the benchmark asset of the crypto market, has a contested legacy as far as the Santa rally is concerned. While BTC has generated returns as high as 33% and 46% during the Christmas-New Year period in 2011 and 2016, it posted declines of 14% and 10% in 2014 and 2021. Overall, BTC has averaged 7.9% during the Santa period since 2011. But 2025 has been a rather volatile year. While Bitcoin hit a new record high north of $126,000 in early October, the crypto crash beginning a few days later has turned out to be a long affair. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $86,852.02, more than 30% lower than its all-time high (ATH). Every asset except crypto gets Santa Claus rally in 2025 Popular trader Steve Burns posted a rather amusing remark on X about the anticipation within the crypto community, "Santa Claus rally in Bitcoin is going in the wrong direction."
A popular analyst's response encapsulated the cynicism and disappointment felt by the crypto community.
Konstantin Vasilenko, co-founder at the Paybis crypto exchange, told TheStreet Roundtable that he didn't expect any Santa rally. Traders in some regions spend crypto and exit some risky positions before New Year due to tax reasons, so he didn't expect any major moves before January.
Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) is down 60% in 2025, killing dreams of a run to $1 or $0.01 with math that would require a $589 trillion market cap—six times the entire planet’s GDP. The Supply Problem That Kills The Dream
Shiba Inu has 589 trillion tokens in circulation. For context, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has only 21 million and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has about 120 million. The supply gap is incomprehensible. If SHIB hit $1, its market cap would reach $589 trillion. That’s more than 130 times the value of Nvidia, which is worth $4.4 trillion. It’s 10 times more valuable than all 500 companies in the S&P 500 combined, which have a total market cap of $57 trillion. Even to reach a more modest $0.01, SHIB would need to hit a market cap of $5.89 trillion — almost twice the size of all cryptocurrencies combined. The Ecosystem That Never Took Off The Shiba Inu team bet on Shibarium, a Layer-2 blockchain launched in August 2023 designed to provide automated token burns through transaction fees. The pitch was compelling: as more users adopted Shibarium-based applications, transaction fees would be automatically converted to SHIB and burned, creating a deflationary engine. However, adoption collapsed. Shibarium once processed up to 4 million daily transactions in its early days but now handles only a few thousand. Meanwhile, the Total Value Locked on the network struggles to stay above $1 million, which pales in comparison to other Layer-2 options. Beyond Shibarium’s struggles, other ecosystem projects remain incomplete or stalled. The privacy Layer-3 blockchain announced in April 2024 has received minimal updates since launch. Similarly, the metaverse project failed to fully launch after years of development, while Shiba Eternity gaming attracted only a niche audience. The Burn Mechanism Collapsed Shiba Inu’s deflationary narrative suffered severe setbacks in 2025. Weekly burn activity dropped 96.96%, and as of late December, the ecosystem reported zero token burns in the past 24 hours, completely halting its deflationary strategy. At the current pace, it would take 521,415 years to eliminate enough tokens to justify a price of $1. Current monthly burn rates vary between 13 million and 2.31 billion SHIB—a glacial pace that makes meaningful supply reduction a multi-century project. No Organic Demand Unlike Bitcoin (a store of value), Ethereum (a computing platform), or XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) (a payments bridge), Shiba Inu lacks an organic source of demand. Just 1,110 businesses worldwide accept SHIB as payment, according to crypto directory Cryptwerk. Its extreme volatility rules it out as a good payment mechanism because any consumer or business holding tokens runs the risk of steep losses. SHIB hasn’t made a new high in more than four years, confirming it isn’t a reliable store of value either.
Solana price forecast: is $100 next as SOL extends downturn?
Solana (SOL) price traded to around $122 on December 24, 2025.Fresh losses pushed SOL near the critical $120 mark.Waning investor confidence and macroeconomic headwinds see the altcoin at risk of further declines. Solana has extended its downturn in the final weeks of 2025, dipping below the $130 mark and testing levels around $120. On Wednesday, prices fell to these lows across major exchanges, and more declines could allow bears to test recent lows of $116. The $120 zone has acted as intermittent support throughout the year. But as this decline aligns with a wider cryptocurrency market retracement amid reduced liquidity and profit-taking, SOL looks set for more pain. In the past year, Solana has underperformed both Bitcoin and Ethereum, with SOL down 38% in the period compared to 11% and 16% for BTC and ETH. Solana price prediction: is $100 next? Technical analysis suggests that Solana faces a critical juncture. Charts show mounting evidence of a bearish breakdown that could propel prices toward $100 or lower in the near term. A key concern is SOL’s position relative to its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), currently estimated around $160-$165 based on recent data. The price trading well below this level signals a loss of short-term momentum and reinforces a downtrend, as the 50-day EMA has acted as dynamic resistance in recent months. Further supporting the bearish outlook are momentum indicators. Solana price chart by TradingView The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the low 30s to upper 30s across daily and weekly timeframes, approaching oversold territory but not yet indicating a definitive reversal. In technical analysis, this suggests room for additional downside before exhaustion sets in. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows negative values, with the MACD line below its signal line, confirming weakening bullish momentum and persistent selling dominance. Chart patterns add to the cautionary narrative. Solana is testing a weekly neckline support around $120. A decisive break below this could accelerate declines toward deeper supports in $100-$90 region. What’s bullish for Solana? Despite these challenges, Solana’s ecosystem fundamentals remain robust. The network has processed billions of transactions in 2025, maintaining its reputation for high throughput and low fees. Institutional milestones, including the launch of US spot SOL ETFs and integrations with traditional finance platforms, have provided some counterbalance. Solana spot ETFs recorded inflows on December 23, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum continued outflow streaks. While volumes are modest compared to earlier in the month, cumulative net inflows have climbed to over $754 million. That’s bullish for SOL. However, if institutional interest wavers further, short-term technical indicators align with a broader downtrend. $SOL #solana
Skrilla, creator of the '67' meme has come onboard BNB Chain to support the official $67 token
BNB Chain continues to attract culturally impactful creators as Skrilla, the originator of the viral “67” meme and online phenomenon, officially comes onboard the ecosystem to endorse and support the official $67 token.
The “67” meme has gained massive traction across social media platforms. With Skrilla’s direct involvement, the project now takes a major step toward legitimacy, community alignment, and long-term ecosystem growth.
By launching and supporting the official $67 token on BNB Chain, Skrilla aims to bridge meme culture with blockchain utility, leveraging BNB Chain’s scalability, low transaction fees, and strong DeFi infrastructure. This collaboration strengthens confidence among community members by ensuring the token is backed by the original creator of the meme.
As meme culture and blockchain innovation continue to intersect, creator-led projects like $67 represent a new wave of community-powered digital assets. With Skrilla’s backing and BNB Chain’s infrastructure, the official $67 token is positioned to expand its reach while maintaining its original cultural identity.
🇺🇸 Major U.S. banks are now issuing credit backed by #Bitcoin - Citi ✅ - JPMorgan ✅ - Wells Fargo ✅ - BNY Mellon ✅ - Charles Schwab ✅ - Bank of America ✅
🔥 BULLISH: $13 trillion BlackRock lists Bitcoin as one of 2025's biggest investment themes alongside T-bills and the Mag 7 in its year-end investment wrap.
This one breakout can end our poverty and start a mega altseason like we saw in 2021.
First, why does this bull market feel like a bear market? Because:
- Alts against Bitcoin are still in a 4-year downtrend that started in January 2022.
- Alts are now the most oversold ever in history. The RSI is literally in negative territory.
- While BTC pumped 8.5x from the bottom of $15,400 to $126,000, alts are at a 4-year low.
Until now, we had 2 failed breakouts in March 2024 and November 2024. That's when we saw some pumps in our altcoins.
The whole of 2025 was a shitshow for alts, especially the October 10th flash crash.
But here is some hopium :
- RSI is on the verge of a bullish crossover. The last time this happened, we saw the 2021 altseason.
- MACD is about to turn green after 43 months (excluding the fakeout we saw in March 2024).
- Historically, alts outperform BTC once QT ends and QE starts.
- On top of this, you add low inflation, more rate cuts, QE, and a bullish Fed chair in 2026.
With all the bullish fundamentals and liquidity, i think once alts breakout of this 4-year downtrend, we will finally see the massive gains we've been waiting for over the last 4 years.
So I'm still all in and hopeful for a bullish Q1-Q2 2026.
Please like and share this to spread some hope with facts.
XRP bleeds $19 billion from its worth since the start of December
XRP has erased a significant portion of its market value in December, as a sharp technical breakdown and worsening risk sentiment pushed the token well below key support levels. XRP’s price has fallen from around $2.20 at the start of the month to $1.88, marking a notable pullback. XRP 1-day price chart. Source: Finbold According to data retrieved by Finbold from CoinMarketCap on December 19, over the same period, XRP’s market capitalization declined from approximately $132.2 billion to $113.2 billion, wiping out roughly $19 billion in value in less than three weeks. XRP market cap price chart since the start of December 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap On a shorter time frame, XRP slipped 1.19% over the past 24 hours, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, which fell by around 0.8%. The move comes as Bitcoin dominance climbed to 59.2%, reinforcing a risk-off rotation away from altcoins. XRP technical analysis From a technical perspective, XRP’s decline intensified after the token lost its $1.95 support level, a zone that had held for more than a year. The breakdown triggered automated sell orders and pushed prices toward key Fibonacci levels. XRP is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near $1.91, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 31.64, indicating oversold conditions but not yet signaling extreme capitulation. Analysts warn that a sustained close below $1.85 could open the door to a deeper move toward the $1.70–$1.75 range. XRP sentiment turns defensive despite institutional headlines The technical weakness has been compounded by a broader shift in market sentiment. The crypto fear and greed index has dropped to 21 out of 100, reflecting elevated fear across digital assets as investors reduce exposure amid macro uncertainty. Meanwhile, recent institutional developments, including Ripple’s partnership initiatives, have so far failed to offset near-term market anxiety. Traders appear focused on broken chart structures rather than long-term fundamentals, particularly as liquidity thins and volatility increases. Key XRP levels to watch XRP’s recent decline highlights how technical triggers can be amplified during periods of sector-wide deleveraging. While Ripple’s institutional progress continues to provide longer-term tailwinds, near-term price action remains vulnerable. The critical zone to watch is $1.85–$1.88 into the weekly close. Holding this range could stabilize price action, while a decisive breakdown may validate bearish targets below $1.70. #XRP $XRP