shib

最近的柴犬（SHIB），说实话，看起来真的不太健康。
价格一路阴跌，反弹没持续性，成交量也越来越小。短期内要说“王者归来”，基本不现实。但有意思的是——现在的走势，和将近两年前的一个关键阶段，非常像。
现状很残酷：趋势还是弱的

先把话说清楚：SHIB 目前并不处在一个正常的上涨趋势里。
过去几个月，它的价格持续走低，距离近期高点已经回撤了将近一半：
动能疲软波动率下降均线整体向下市场参与度明显变低
乍一看，这种结构几乎“看不到希望”。
但关键在于：它又回到了“老地方”

也正因为弱，这个位置才值得被单独拿出来看。
现在 SHIB 所处的价格区间，曾经多次成为历史级别的转折区域。
在 2024 年 2 月那一波暴涨之前，SHIB 也是在类似的低位，横着磨了很久。
结果呢？
👉 价格在极短时间内，直接拉了将近 400%。

那一轮上涨并不是慢慢吸筹、慢慢抬价，而是典型的：
卖盘逐渐枯竭市场冷漠到极致波动突然被“放大”
一句话总结：不是因为好消息，而是因为“没人再想卖了”。
现在的盘面，也出现了一些熟悉的信号

对比当年的结构，现在 SHIB 至少有几个相似点：
抛压还在，但已经不再加速下跌过程中，成交量明显萎缩K 线变小、重叠、方向不清晰
这种状态，往往不是恐慌，而是多空进入一种微妙平衡。
很多真正的大底，在启动前看起来都很无聊、很折磨人。
但冷水必须泼：400% 不是想涨就涨

当然，历史会不会重演？
没人能保证。
现在的市场环境，和两年前已经不一样了：
流动性更谨慎资金更挑剔投机情绪明显降温
想要再来一波 400% 的级别，SHIB 至少需要满足一个条件：
大盘整体转暖或者 市场风险偏好突然回升
否则，就算出现反弹，也很可能只是—— 快拉、快砸、昙花一现。
最后一句大实话

现在的 #SHIB ，更像是在“等一个契机”，而不是自己能决定命运。
如果你问：“还能不能暴涨？”
答案只能是：有历史参照，但没任何保证。
在当下这个环境里，活得久，比押得准，更重要。

Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) is down 60% in 2025, killing dreams of a run to $1 or $0.01 with math that would require a $589 trillion market cap—six times the entire planet’s GDP.
The Supply Problem That Kills The Dream

Shiba Inu has 589 trillion tokens in circulation. 
For context, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has only 21 million and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has about 120 million. 
The supply gap is incomprehensible.
If SHIB hit $1, its market cap would reach $589 trillion. 
That’s more than 130 times the value of Nvidia, which is worth $4.4 trillion. 
It’s 10 times more valuable than all 500 companies in the S&P 500 combined, which have a total market cap of $57 trillion.
Even to reach a more modest $0.01, SHIB would need to hit a market cap of $5.89 trillion — almost twice the size of all cryptocurrencies combined.
The Ecosystem That Never Took Off
The Shiba Inu team bet on Shibarium, a Layer-2 blockchain launched in August 2023 designed to provide automated token burns through transaction fees. 
The pitch was compelling: as more users adopted Shibarium-based applications, transaction fees would be automatically converted to SHIB and burned, creating a deflationary engine.
However, adoption collapsed. 
Shibarium once processed up to 4 million daily transactions in its early days but now handles only a few thousand. 
Meanwhile, the Total Value Locked on the network struggles to stay above $1 million, which pales in comparison to other Layer-2 options.
Beyond Shibarium’s struggles, other ecosystem projects remain incomplete or stalled. 
The privacy Layer-3 blockchain announced in April 2024 has received minimal updates since launch. 
Similarly, the metaverse project failed to fully launch after years of development, while Shiba Eternity gaming attracted only a niche audience.
The Burn Mechanism Collapsed
Shiba Inu’s deflationary narrative suffered severe setbacks in 2025. 
Weekly burn activity dropped 96.96%, and as of late December, the ecosystem reported zero token burns in the past 24 hours, completely halting its deflationary strategy.
At the current pace, it would take 521,415 years to eliminate enough tokens to justify a price of $1. 
Current monthly burn rates vary between 13 million and 2.31 billion SHIB—a glacial pace that makes meaningful supply reduction a multi-century project.
No Organic Demand
Unlike Bitcoin (a store of value), Ethereum (a computing platform), or XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) (a payments bridge), Shiba Inu lacks an organic source of demand. 
Just 1,110 businesses worldwide accept SHIB as payment, according to crypto directory Cryptwerk. 
Its extreme volatility rules it out as a good payment mechanism because any consumer or business holding tokens runs the risk of steep losses.
SHIB hasn’t made a new high in more than four years, confirming it isn’t a reliable store of value either.

#SHIB $SHIB

By ayla riz 💥 💫 💥 💫 💥
December 2025 — Market Analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) — two of the most widely followed meme coins in crypto — have recently fallen below critical support levels, signaling rising selling pressure in the speculative segment of the market. This slide highlights broader industry dynamics and how leading assets like ether (ETH) influence risk-on tokens. �
Futu News +1
📉 Breaking Key Support: Technical Weakness in Meme Coins
During recent U.S. trading hours, both DOGE and SHIB slipped beneath important technical thresholds as sell volume increased.
Dogecoin dipped below the $0.13 support zone.
Shiba Inu also mirrored the slide, trading lower alongside DOGE.
Market sentiment indicators such as the fear and greed index showed elevated anxiety among traders during this move. �
KuCoin
Technical support levels are key price zones where buyers have historically entered the market to prop up prices. When these levels fail, it often signals a shift in trader psychology — from buying on dips to risk reduction. �
Futu News
🧠 Why Are Meme Coins Falling?
🔗 1. ETH’s Underperformance Adds Selling Pressure
A major factor contributing to the descent in meme coins is the weakness in ether (ETH). Because ETH is often used as a risk gauge for altcoins, a slide in ETH prices tends to spill over into higher-beta assets like DOGE and SHIB.
This correlation suggests traders are reducing exposure in speculative tokens first when broader sentiment weakens. �
MEXC
🔀 2. Rotation & Capital Reallocation
Interestingly, broader crypto market benchmarks — such as Bitcoin (BTC) — have been more stable than meme coins. This divergence suggests that capital is rotating away from ultra-speculative tokens and toward either larger, more liquid assets or other emerging opportunities. �
CoinDesk
This explains why DOGE’s weakness isn’t necessarily part of a full market crash but rather a re-distribution of capital away from high-volatility meme coins.
📊 3. Broader Meme-Coin Weakness in 2025
Data from recent analysis shows that leading meme coins including DOGE, SHIB, and even PEPE have suffered significant declines throughout 2025 — in some cases down 65–80% year-to-date — compared with less severe corrections in Bitcoin and other majors. �
CryptoTicker
This suggests that the meme coin sector may be undergoing a prolonged cooling phase after the hype cycles of earlier market cycles.
🔍 What Traders Are Watching Next
Here’s what the market will be focusing on in the coming days:
📌 Dogecoin Rebound Zone
Technical analysts are watching for Dogecoin to reclaim levels above ~$0.1325 — a move that could signal stabilization or a short-term relief bounce. �
KuCoin
📌 Ethereum’s Direction
Because ether often sets the tone for altcoins, sustained upside momentum in ETH could help reduce meme-coin selling pressure.
📌 Sentiment & Volatility
The meme coin space remains sentiment-driven. News catalysts, social engagement, and retail interest (whether positive or negative) can quickly reverse short-term trends.
🧨 Takeaways for Investors & Traders
✔ Meme coins are still heavily influenced by broader market risk appetite. When ETH and other majors languish, DOGE and SHIB get hit harder. �
MEXC
✔ Breaking key support doesn’t always mean “dead” — but does indicate caution. Traders watching lower lows and bounce zones may use them for strategic entries or exits. �
Futu News
✔ Diversification matters. Reliance on a single token or sector exposes holders to outsized volatility — especially in speculative markets like meme coins.
📌 Summary
Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have tested lower levels after key technical supports gave way amid rising sell volume. Weakness in ether contributed to the pressure, signaling a possible rotation out of high-beta meme assets. Traders are now watching for rebounds above critical levels and monitoring ETH’s performance to gauge the next phase for meme coins. �
Futu News +1
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, and you should do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.#DOGE #SHIB #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCVSGOLD $DOGE $SHIB