I want to draw your attention specifically to the timing cycle here, comparing the duration of the previous bear market to the current one. We've already seen how Ethereum's bear market dragged on longer than in 2022, and how the same timeframe is relevant, with the bottom in June 2022 and now June 2026. There are some similarities with XRP.
The previous bear cycle lasted from April 2021 to June 2022, totaling 427 days. The bottom hit in June.
The current cycle started in January 2025 and we have the lowest point now, June 2026, lasting for 504 days; this level is a double bottom compared to October 2025 but still valid as a low based on technical analysis due to the distance.
How do you know where the actual peak is?
The highest sell volume occurred in December 2024, just before the end of the traditional bull cycle. The second highest volume in a sell session occurred in October 2025, marking the end of the traditional bear cycle for XRPUSDT. Now we have a definitive bottom, a long-term double bottom with lower volume. This lower volume at a long-term low is what signals the approaching end of the bear cycle.
The next cycle could develop in various ways. There could be a period of prolonged consolidation followed by growth, or a sudden spike that quickly fades, followed by a gradual rise over the long term; both scenarios are possible.
Summary: The bear market for XRP is over, the bottom is in, and from now on, we will see long-term growth, potentially even until 2029 at a minimum - higher highs and higher lows.
Namaste.
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