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La Federal Reserve degli Stati Uniti ha recentemente iniettato circa $74.6 miliardi nel sistema finanziario attraverso un'operazione di liquidità notturna. Questa mossa ha fornito liquidità a breve termine alle banche per garantire processi di regolamento fluidi e mantenere la stabilità nei mercati monetari.
Sebbene le iniezioni di liquidità non siano insolite—soprattutto intorno alla fine dell'anno—questa operazione si distingue per le sue dimensioni. Una delle più grandi iniezioni in un singolo giorno nella storia recente, suggerisce che parti del sistema finanziario potrebbero stia vivendo stress di finanziamento a breve termine.

Verasity (VRA) è scesa in un'area di supporto critico a lungo termine dopo un forte sweep di liquidità sul lato di vendita nei timeframe superiori. L'analisi tecnica condivisa da EGRAG CRYPTO evidenzia questa regione come una zona di domanda storica, rendendola un livello chiave da monitorare per eventuali reazioni di prezzo.
L'asset è ora scambiato vicino ad alcuni dei suoi livelli più bassi degli ultimi anni, collocandolo in un punto di inflessione tecnico e fondamentale. Mentre il grafico suggerisce la possibilità di un rimbalzo di sollievo a breve termine, preoccupazioni più ampie relative alla tokenomica e all'utilità continuano a pesare sul sentimento.

Bitcoin has started the new year with renewed momentum, gaining nearly 2% over the past 24 hours as traders returned after the holiday period and risk appetite stabilized across markets. The broader crypto market also moved higher, with total market capitalization rising to approximately $3.01 trillion.
BTC is currently trading near the $89,000–$89,600 zone and could attempt a retest of $90,000 if short-term momentum continues. However, beneath the surface, Bitcoin is navigating a historically unusual phase that raises important questions about the traditional four-year cycle.
A Break From the Four-Year Cycle
Bitcoin closed 2025 with an annual decline of roughly 6%, marking the first red year following a halving event. This breaks the long-observed four-year cycle pattern that previously defined bull market peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
From its October peak, BTC is down nearly 30%. Rather than following a purely retail-driven speculative cycle, current price behavior appears increasingly influenced by macro liquidity conditions, institutional capital flows, and ETF-related demand. This shift suggests Bitcoin may be transitioning from a reflexive boom-bust cycle into a more structurally driven market.
On-Chain Signals and Bear Market Debate
According to CryptoQuant’s Head of Research Julio Moreno, Bitcoin may have entered a bear market as early as November. Several indicators within the Bull Score Index — including investor profitability, network activity, demand, and liquidity — turned bearish and have yet to recover.
A key technical confirmation cited is Bitcoin trading below its one-year moving average. Historically, this has aligned with broader market downtrends.
Moreno suggests a potential bottom could form between $56,000 and $60,000, aligning with Bitcoin’s realized price — the average price at which current holders acquired their BTC. In previous cycles, realized price often acted as a base during extended bear markets.
Importantly, even a move to $56,000 would represent a drawdown of roughly 55% from all-time highs, notably smaller than the 70–80% declines seen in prior bear cycles.
Why This Cycle Looks Different
Despite the bearish metrics, this market has remained structurally stable compared to past downturns. Previous bear markets were defined by major systemic failures, such as the collapse of Terra, Celsius, and FTX in 2022.
In contrast, the current cycle has seen:
Continued institutional participation
ETF-related accumulation that is less sensitive to short-term volatility
More regulated and resilient infrastructure
These factors may help dampen extreme downside moves, even during prolonged consolidation phases.
Institutional Accumulation Continues
Adding to the long-term support narrative, Tether disclosed the purchase of 8,888 BTC on New Year’s Eve, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings above 96,000 BTC. The acquisition, valued at approximately $780 million, is part of Tether’s strategy to allocate 15% of its quarterly profits to Bitcoin.
Tether has also diversified into hard assets, increasing its gold reserves to 116 tons, signaling a broader treasury strategy focused on scarce, non-sovereign assets.
Short-Term Market Structure and Options Risk
Spot volumes and market activity have recovered after a sharp holiday-related decline. However, sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin options with a notional value of $1.5 billion are set to expire. The put-to-call ratio stands at 0.48, with a maximum pain level near $88,000 — a zone that may act as a short-term magnet for price action.
Recent price behavior shows BTC repeatedly testing the $90,000 region but failing to sustain acceptance above it, while buyers continue to defend the mid-$87,000 to $88,000 range.
Key Takeaway
Bitcoin’s first post-halving red year does not necessarily signal structural weakness, but rather a transition. The asset is increasingly shaped by institutional flows, macro conditions, and longer-term capital rather than purely speculative cycles.
Understanding this shift is critical. Bitcoin may no longer move in the explosive, retail-driven patterns of the past — but it may also be entering a phase of deeper liquidity, reduced systemic risk, and more measured drawdowns.
For traders and investors, adapting to this evolving market structure is becoming just as important as predicting direction.

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For the first time since Bitcoin’s inception, mainstream media failed to publish a single “Bitcoin obituary” in 2026. This marks a significant psychological and narrative shift for the world’s largest cryptocurrency, which has spent over a decade being repeatedly declared dead during every major market cycle.
The data comes from Cypherpunk Holdings CTO Jameson Lopp, who has meticulously tracked Bitcoin obituaries for the past 15 years. His latest chart shows the obituary count dropping to zero in 2026 — a milestone that reflects not just price resilience, but growing structural acceptance.
A Look Back at the Death Narrative
Bitcoin’s “death” narrative has historically surged during periods of extreme volatility.
2018 Peak Skepticism:
Despite Bitcoin’s rally into mainstream awareness and its run toward $20,000, the media published roughly 125 obituaries. The ICO bubble, retail mania, and subsequent crash fueled widespread claims that Bitcoin was finished.
2018 Crypto Winter:
As prices collapsed across the market, more than 90 obituaries appeared. The dominant narrative framed Bitcoin as a failed experiment rather than a cyclical asset.
2021 Cycle:
Skepticism resurfaced, but at a reduced intensity. Fewer than 50 obituaries were published despite major volatility, suggesting that critics were losing conviction.

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The current correction in WIF against BTC appears constructive rather than bearish. After a sharp impulsive move, meme pairs often require a pause to reset momentum. These pullbacks serve an important function: they remove late entries, stabilize funding pressure, and allow genuine demand to reassert itself. Without this reset, upside continuation typically becomes unstable and vulnerable to sharp wicks and deeper retracements.
Market Structure and Momentum
On the WIF/BTC pair, price remains above key short-term and mid-term moving averages — MA(7), MA(25), and MA(99). This alignment indicates that despite recent volatility, buyers continue to control the broader structure. The rejection near 0.00000371 should be viewed as profit-taking following a fast expansion, not a structural failure.
Importantly, price has not broken its higher-low structure. Instead, it is consolidating above prior breakout levels, a behavior commonly associated with accumulation phases.
Key Support Zone
The primary area of interest lies between 0.00000355 and 0.00000340. This zone is technically significant for several reasons:
It overlaps with previous consolidation support between 0.00000344 and 0.00000335
It represents a shallow retracement of the most recent impulsive leg
Prior dips into this range have triggered swift buyer reactions, confirming active demand
When pullbacks remain shallow after an impulse, it typically reflects strong underlying bid strength.
Trade Framework Under Observation
Entry Zone: 0.00000355 – 0.00000340
Target 1: 0.00000390
Target 2: 0.00000420
Invalidation Level: 0.00000318
As long as price compresses above 0.00000340 and continues forming higher lows, the structure favors continuation rather than distribution. Compression above support often precedes expansion, particularly when sellers fail to force deeper retracements.
What to Watch Next
If the support zone holds, a move back toward 0.00000390 becomes likely, with extension toward 0.00000420 possible if broader market conditions — such as easing BTC dominance — provide a tailwind. A decisive break below 0.00000318 would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest a deeper reset is needed.
Key Takeaway
Strong trends do not move in straight lines. Healthy corrections are essential for sustainable continuation. In WIF/BTC, the market is currently testing whether buyers can defend structure and convert consolidation into the next expansion phase.
Understanding the difference between corrective pauses and structural breakdowns is critical for trading volatile meme assets effectively.

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XRP is once again drawing institutional attention following Roundhill Investments’ amendment filing for an XRP Covered Call Strategy ETF. While the structure does not involve direct spot ownership of XRP, it represents a meaningful regulatory development by placing XRP within a compliant ETF framework. This signals growing acceptance of XRP in traditional finance and strengthens its long-term legitimacy as an investable digital asset.
Despite the positive regulatory momentum, XRP’s price action has remained largely range-bound. This type of market environment often reduces the appeal of short-term speculation and instead pushes investors to explore strategies that can generate consistent returns without relying on sharp price movements.
From Volatility Trading to Income-Based Strategies
During low-volatility phases, many market participants shift focus from directional trades to income-generating models. Covered call strategies, yield products, and structured crypto contracts are increasingly favored because they aim to monetize time rather than price expansion.
This mirrors behavior seen in traditional markets, where sideways conditions tend to benefit options-based income strategies rather than outright long or short positions.
Predictable Yield Gains Traction in Crypto
As crypto matures, demand is rising for yield products that offer clarity and predictability. Instead of chasing momentum, investors are looking for:
Defined time horizons
Fixed or stable return structures
Reduced exposure to short-term price swings
USD-denominated performance metrics
Platforms offering fixed-term, automated yield contracts across major digital assets are gaining attention in this environment. These products are designed to generate returns during periods when markets are consolidating rather than trending aggressively.

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Why Bitcoin Is the Natural Next Move
One of the most important macro indicators just flipped decisively bullish: global liquidity.
After years of tightening, balance-sheet contraction, and volatility, liquidity conditions are now accelerating to new highs. This shift matters more than any short-term candle or headline — because liquidity is what ultimately moves markets.
🔹 Liquidity Leads. Price Follows.
When global liquidity expands, capital doesn’t sit idle. It looks for assets with:
High beta
Convex upside
Deep liquidity
Scarcity characteristics
Historically, Bitcoin has been one of the cleanest and most responsive beneficiaries of these conditions.
Every major liquidity expansion cycle has eventually rotated into BTC — often with a delay, but once it starts, the move is aggressive and persistent.
🔹 This Isn’t Narrative — It’s Math
More liquidity means:
Increased risk appetite
Capital rotation out of defensive assets
Stronger demand for assets that can absorb large inflows efficiently
Bitcoin fits this profile perfectly:
Fixed supply
Global accessibility
No earnings risk
No dilution
Liquidity expansion creates the fuel.
Bitcoin provides the outlet.
🔹 Why Macro Traders Watch This First
Price reacts after liquidity shifts — not before.
Those focused only on short-term price action are watching the effect.
Macro-aligned traders watch the cause.
If liquidity continues on this trajectory, the real question isn’t if Bitcoin moves — it’s how fast and how far.
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2026 marks a major shift in crypto market structure as U.S.-listed Solana staking ETFs go live. These products go beyond traditional spot ETFs by staking SOL on-chain, allowing investors to earn real network yield (approximately 6–7% annualized) while maintaining exposure to SOL price performance through standard brokerage accounts.
This development represents a significant milestone for both Solana and institutional crypto adoption.
What Makes Solana Staking ETFs Different?
Unlike spot ETFs that only track price, staking ETFs actively participate in Solana’s proof-of-stake mechanism. The SOL held by the fund is delegated to validators, generating staking rewards that are either reinvested or distributed, depending on the fund structure.
Key benefits include:
No need for wallets or validator management
No slashing risk exposure for end investors
Full regulatory oversight
Accessible through brokers, retirement accounts, and institutional platforms

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Recent U.S. trade policy shifts, including new import tariffs, are more than political headlines. They represent a structural macro move that can directly influence crypto markets over the medium to long term.
This strategy aims to push manufacturing and investment back into the U.S., reshaping global supply chains and capital flows.
What’s Happening at the Macro Level
Import tariffs are now active and impacting global trade routes
Corporations are reassessing supply chains and cost structures
Inflation risks may rise if import costs increase
Capital allocation decisions are being delayed or redirected
Why This Matters for Crypto Crypto does not move in isolation. It reacts to liquidity, inflation expectations, and global risk sentiment — all of which are affected by trade policy.
Key Crypto Implications
Inflation Risk Returns
Tariffs increase production and consumer costs. If inflation rises again, central banks may delay rate cuts — short-term bearish for risk assets, including crypto.
Market Volatility Increases
Policy shocks create uncertainty. During uncertainty, crypto often experiences sharp swings as traders rebalance risk exposure.
Bitcoin’s Hedge Narrative Strengthens
If trade wars escalate and fiat instability grows, Bitcoin may regain attention as a hedge against policy-driven monetary stress.
Altcoins React Later
In macro-driven environments, Bitcoin usually absorbs the first inflows. Altcoins typically follow only after direction is clear.
What Smart Traders Watch
Inflation data following tariff implementation
Central bank language on rates and liquidity
Dollar strength versus risk assets
Bitcoin dominance during volatility spikes
2026 Strategic Outlook Trade wars rarely create instant market trends. They build pressure that releases later through liquidity shifts or policy pivots.
The market impact is usually delayed — those who prepare early benefit the most.
Key Lesson Markets react first.
Trends form later.
Profits go to those positioned before consensus.
Trader Question Do you see tariffs as inflationary pressure that delays the bull cycle — or as a catalyst that strengthens Bitcoin’s long-term value?
Share your perspective below.

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ha rispettato una trendline ascendente per un periodo di tempo, agendo come supporto dinamico. Una volta che il prezzo non riesce a mantenere quella trendline, spesso segnala un cambiamento di controllo da acquirenti a venditori.
👉 Il recente movimento mostra un chiaro crollo, non solo un'ombra — questo è importante.
🧠 Fattori Tecnici Chiave
1️⃣ Crollo della Trendline (Segnale Maggiore)
Il prezzo ha chiuso sotto la trendline
Il crollo mostra la perdita della struttura rialzista
Questo conferma che i venditori stanno entrando con forza

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Understanding short-term market behavior is critical for scalpers and intraday traders. Let’s break down the current AVAX/USDT structure and why bearish pressure is building on the 15-minute chart.
🔍 Market Context
AVAX recently attempted to push above a key resistance zone, but the move failed to hold. This rejection is an important signal—when price cannot sustain above resistance, it often confirms active sellers defending that level.
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