HishamOn Crypto

La crypto non è un gioco — e gli eventi recenti sono un duro promemoria.
Si stanno diffondendo notizie secondo cui il noto investitore crypto ucraino Konstantin Galish (Kudo) è deceduto. Molte fonti affermano che avrebbe perso circa 30 milioni di dollari di fondi degli investitori durante il recente crollo del mercato — fondi affidati a lui da altri.
Sebbene tutti i fatti non siano ancora confermati, una cosa è cristallina:
Nel mondo crypto, se non comprendi la gestione del rischio, anche i tuoi profitti possono diventare un peso.
Troppe persone si avventurano nel trading di futures spinti dall'avidità. Ma in quel mondo, un solo errore può annullare tutto — indipendentemente da quanto tu sia esperto. Un grande crollo del mercato può cancellare mesi o addirittura anni di guadagni in un solo momento.

Because Gold and Silver tops first, then Bitcoin starts its rally.

Here is what happened last time 👇

After the March 2020 crash, the Fed injected massive liquidity into the system. The first assets to react were gold and silver.

- Gold rallied from around $1,450 to $2,075 by August 2020.

- Silver rallied from around $12 to $29 in the same period.

During this entire move, Bitcoin did almost nothing. BTC stayed stuck around $9,000-$12,000 for 5 months.

This was also after a major liquidation event which happened in March 2020 due to COVID.

Gold and silver peaked in August 2020 and money started rotating into risk assets.

This is when Bitcoin started moving.

From August 2020 to May 2021:

- Bitcoin went from $12,000 to $64,800 (nearly 5.5x).
- Total crypto market cap went up almost 8x by mid-2021.

Now look at today.

- Gold is again near record highs, around $4,550.
- Silver has surged to around $80.
Both are clearly moving first.

Bitcoin meanwhile is mostly moving sideways. Just like it was in mid-2020.

We also had another large liquidation event recently on October 10th, similar to March 2020. And once again, Bitcoin has spent months moving slowly after that.

The difference this time is important.

In 2020, liquidity from the Fed was the main catalyst.

In 2026, there are multiple catalysts lining up at the same time:

- The Fed has already started injecting liquidity again.

- Rate cuts are expected to continue.

- Banks may get SLR exemptions, allowing more leverage.

- Crypto regulation clarity is improving.

- The Trump administration is planning for dividend cheques.

- More spot crypto ETFs, especially altcoin ETFs, are expected.

- Large asset managers now have easy crypto access.

- A new Pro Crypto Fed Chair is coming, and markets will front-run policy changes.

Last cycle, Bitcoin rallied mainly because of liquidity. This time, liquidity plus structure is coming together.

The setup looks very similar, but with more fuel. Gold and silver moving first is not bearish for crypto.

Historically, it has been the early signal.

If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin and crypto markets do not lead first. They move after the metals pause.

That is why the current sideways action in BTC is not the start of the bear market, but rather a calm before the storm.
DON’T MISS $BTC $ETH & $SOL