goldtrading

The potential end of the Russia–Ukraine war has created a major turning point in global financial markets — with a direct and noticeable impact on Gold (XAUUSD). This conflict had long been a key source of geopolitical uncertainty, strongly supporting gold prices. Now, the narrative is changing — and so is gold’s direction.
📉 1) Why Is Gold Facing Bearish Pressure?
Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset.
During the war:
Geopolitical fears increased
Investors rushed into gold
Demand rose → prices surged
If peace is confirmed:
Geopolitical risk declines
Investors begin exiting safe assets
Capital rotates into stocks and riskier assets
➡️ Result: Downward pressure / price correction in XAUUSD
📈 2) Risk-On Environment: Stocks Become More Attractive
Peace shifts markets into a Risk-On phase:
European and global stock markets strengthen
Risk currencies (like EUR) may gain strength
Gold loses its appeal as a protective asset
➡️ XAUUSD loses a key bullish catalyst
⚡ 3) Inflation & Energy Relief: Gold Loses Its “Fuel”
During the war:
Energy and food supply chains were disrupted
Global inflation surged
If the war truly ends:
Energy and commodity prices stabilize
Inflationary pressure eases
➡️ Demand for gold as an inflation hedge weakens
🏦 4) Indirect Impact on Federal Reserve Policy
Peace + controlled inflation may lead to:
A more stable global economy
Expectations of higher or sustained interest rates
Bond yields remaining firm or rising
➡️ Higher yields = bearish for gold (gold offers no interest)
⏳ 5) Important Reminder: The Effect May Be Temporary
Markets often sell the news
If peace was already priced in, downside in gold may be limited
Other dominant factors remain:
Federal Reserve policy
CPI & NFP data
Other geopolitical risks (Middle East, China–Taiwan)
🎯 Final Outlook for XAUUSD Traders
Short-term: Corrective / bearish bias
Medium to long-term: Dependent on US interest rates & inflation
❌ Avoid FOMO
✅ Wait for technical confirmation before entries
📌 Bottom Line:
Peace headlines can pressure gold in the short term, but the true direction of XAUUSD will continue to be driven by Fed policy, inflation trends, and major economic data. Smart traders focus on structure, not emotions.

Analisi di metà giornata XAU: Oro stabile a ~$4,533 – Le banche centrali alimentano il continuo rally del 72% verso il 2026! 📈🏦 29 dicembre 2025

Trader, aggiornamento di metà giornata: $XAU si mantiene stabile intorno a $4,533 per oncia (intervallo $4,475-$4,550, calma post-weekend secondo i dati più recenti). Il 2025 ha offerto un incredibile rally del 72%+ da inizio anno – una delle performance più forti degli ultimi decenni – e il momentum è lontano dall'essere finito, grazie alla domanda incessante delle banche centrali! 😎

Analisi dettagliata di metà giornata:
Tendenza attuale & livelli: Il prezzo è in una sana consolidazione dopo aver raggiunto massimi record. Il supporto chiave rimane solido a $4,500 (vicino alla media mobile a 200 giorni). Resistenza a $4,550 – una chiara rottura sopra questo livello con volume crescente potrebbe aprire la porta a obiettivi di $4,600+ questa settimana. I ritracciamenti verso il supporto sono normali nei mercati rialzisti; offrono ingressi long ad alta probabilità per i trader pazienti.