✅ Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe). $pippin
1. Trend Structure
The chart is in a clear short-term downtrend.
Lower highs and lower lows are consistent.
Price recently made a local low at $0.40995, then bounced slightly.
Bias: Bearish → Slight early signs of a potential short-term relief bounce.
2. Moving Averages (MA7, MA25, MA99)
MA7 (yellow) is below MA25 (pink) → bearish continuation signal.
Both MA7 & MA25 are trending downward.
MA99 (purple) is far above price and sloping down → confirms strong medium-term downtrend.
Price is still below all key MAs, meaning buyers lack control.
Implication: Any bounce is likely to face resistance quickly.
3. Volume Analysis
Selling volume dominated earlier → matches downtrend.
Last few candles show slightly increasing green volume, suggesting:
Shorts taking profit at the low.
Some dip-buying interest near $0.41.
But this volume is not strong enough to confirm a trend reversal.
4. Support & Resistance Zones
Immediate Support:
$0.4100–0.4150 (just tested successfully)
If this breaks:
Next support region: $0.3950 – $0.4000
Immediate Resistance:
$0.4320 → First real resistance (MA7 & MA25 cluster)
$0.4550 → Strong resistance (MA25 horizontal cluster)
$0.4800 (MA99) → Major resistance zone
🎯 Next Move Prediction (Expert Probability View)
Scenario A — Small Bounce to MA Levels (60% probability)
Price likely continues a short-term relief bounce toward:
$0.4300–0.4350 (MA7 / MA25 rejection zone)
This is where sellers likely return.
Why?
Oversold reaction at $0.40995
Increasing but still weak buy volume
Price attempting to reclaim MA7
Scenario B — Continued Downtrend (40% probability)
If price gets rejected at $0.4320–0.4350, expect a drop back to:
$0.4100 support
If broken → $0.3950 – $0.4000
This is still very possible because the macro trend remains bearish, and downward pressure is still strong.
📌 Expert Summary
Trend: Bearish
Short-term: Relief bounce forming
Key level to watch: $0.4320 (critical rejection zone)
If broken: Price may target $0.4550
If rejected: Price likely retests $0.4100 → $0.4000
🧭 Expert Action Plan (Non-financial advice)
For Bulls:
Wait for clean break & hold above $0.4350 to consider upward momentum.
A break above $0.4550 would be first sign of reversal.
For Bears:
Best short entries are on rejection candles at $0.4300–$0.4350.
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