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Bitcoin Gurukul

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Bullish

🚨TERKINI
SENAT AS AKAN MEMBOLAKAN RUU STRUKTUR PASAR KRIPTO HARI INI PUKUL 3:00 PM ET.
RUU INI DIRANCANG UNTUK MENGURANGI MANIPULASI PASAR DI KRIPTO.
JIKA DISAHKAN → PASAR MENJADI PARABOLIK
JIKA GAGAL → PASAR JATUH LEBIH BANYAK
HARAPAN VOLATILITAS TINGGI.

Penafian: Berisi opini pihak ketiga. Bukan nasihat keuangan. Dapat berisi konten bersponsor. Baca S&K.

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An important chart you shouldn't ignore Stock-to-Flow (S2F) tracks scarcity for $ BTC. Right now: The white S2F line has stepped up (post-halving supply shock). BTC price is sitting below the model curve = market isn’t pricing in the “scarcity premium” yet. The variance line reminds you why this isn’t a crystal ball: BTC can stay under/over S2F for a long time. My take: use S2F as a regime/valuation check, not a price target — when we’re below it, risk/reward tends to improve, but timing is still timing.

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People keep asking why I spend so much time watching liquidity… This chart is the answer. Bitcoin has tracked global liquidity almost tick for tick for years. Not narratives, just liquidity. And right now? Liquidity says Bitcoin’s fair value is closer to $180k. We’re not there yet and that gap matters. Every time BTC trades below the liquidity trend, it eventually snaps back. Sometimes violently, sometimes slowly, but it always closes the gap. Even if we bottom at $40,000 at some point next year, sooner or later it’ll close that gap. Maybe 2028 or 2029? And here’s the thing. By that time, Bitcoin’s fair value might be well above $200,000… because global liquidity always goes up. What most people miss is that price doesn’t lead this. Liquidity does. Central banks expand, we get some rate cuts, dollars get cheaper… and Bitcoin reprices after. That’s why rallies feel a bit random. They’re not random, you just weren’t watching the right thing. I’m not saying we go straight to $180k tomorrow. That’s definitely not how markets work especially not crypto/bitcoin. But i’m saying this chart explains why every dip keeps getting bought and why panic selling keeps aging badly. On another note, i called the bottom at $16k three years ago and the exact top at $126k in october. I’ll do it again cause that’s literally what i do for a living since 2015. If you haven’t followed me yet, you’ll regret it.

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REMINDER 🚨 US CPI and Core CPI data will be released today. CPI expectations: 3.1% Core CPI expectations: 3%

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#WazirX took full advantage & exploited Indian government's lack of AWARENESS & IGNORANCE towards crypto #WazirX is still holding user funds without full transparency !! And now they still have the audacity to forcefully auto-deduct from all accounts that have NOT opted for the service and that too WITHOUT their consent.

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