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$BTC is still struggling around the $77.75k resistance zone.
At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.
Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.
Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.
If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.
For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.
#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
At the moment, it’s limiting upside momentum, but what stands out is that sellers still haven’t managed to force a real pullback.
Price has been consolidating just below resistance for hours now.
Usually, when price keeps pressing under a resistance level without a strong rejection, it suggests momentum is building for a potential breakout.
If $BTC gets a clean move above $77.75k, there’s a good chance price accelerates into the liquidity sitting higher up.
For now, resistance remains intact, but with this kind of compression, it’s not a level I’d confidently short against.
#GoogleLaunchesGemini3.5Flash #Trump'sIranAttackDelayed
Rögzítve
$BTC
People are calling the bottom far too early once again.
We’re only 212 days into this bear market, not even close to the average cycle duration, yet sentiment is already turning bullish.
Every cycle follows a similar pattern. A relief rally appears, optimism returns, and suddenly many start believing the bottom is already in.
That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
But several key signs of a real bottom are still missing, repeated liquidity sweeps, a confirmed higher timeframe market structure shift on the weekly chart, and full capitulation across the market.
Of course, cycles evolve and historical patterns aren’t guaranteed to repeat perfectly.
Still, claiming the bottom formed after only four months would mean this cycle ended nearly three times faster than previous Bitcoin bear markets.
Personally, I still believe lower prices are likely and that the true bottom has not formed yet.
My outlook only changes if Bitcoin breaks above the $97k level and invalidates the current bearish higher timeframe structure.
#BlackRockPlansMoneyMarketFundsforStablecoinUsers #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14
People are calling the bottom far too early once again.
We’re only 212 days into this bear market, not even close to the average cycle duration, yet sentiment is already turning bullish.
Every cycle follows a similar pattern. A relief rally appears, optimism returns, and suddenly many start believing the bottom is already in.
That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
But several key signs of a real bottom are still missing, repeated liquidity sweeps, a confirmed higher timeframe market structure shift on the weekly chart, and full capitulation across the market.
Of course, cycles evolve and historical patterns aren’t guaranteed to repeat perfectly.
Still, claiming the bottom formed after only four months would mean this cycle ended nearly three times faster than previous Bitcoin bear markets.
Personally, I still believe lower prices are likely and that the true bottom has not formed yet.
My outlook only changes if Bitcoin breaks above the $97k level and invalidates the current bearish higher timeframe structure.
#BlackRockPlansMoneyMarketFundsforStablecoinUsers #CLARITYActHearingSetforMay14
$BTC has been getting hammered over the last 24 hours.
As I mentioned in yesterday's analysis, a break below the $70k level would likely trigger a significant move lower, with the next major support sitting around $65k.
That's exactly what we've seen so far.
Bitcoin lost the $70k level and quickly dropped over 6%, reaching roughly $65.9k. At this point, I'm still expecting price
to test the $65k support zone, where we could see a meaningful short-term relief bounce.
That said, the strength and speed of this sell-off shouldn't be ignored. If bearish momentum remains this aggressive, a move below $65k could open the door for a deeper correction into the low $60k region.
Should $65k fail to hold as support, I'll begin looking for a larger downside move, with potential new cycle lows forming around $52k–$48k—an area where significant buy-side liquidity from mid-2024 remains unfilled.
If you've been following my market updates over the past week, you'll know that many of these key breakdown levels and trigger points were highlighted in advance. The next few days could be critical, so keep a close eye on price action and risk management. 📊🔥
#MRVLSoarsOnNVDATrillionDollarOutlook #BinanceRollsOutTradingInUSStocks
As I mentioned in yesterday's analysis, a break below the $70k level would likely trigger a significant move lower, with the next major support sitting around $65k.
That's exactly what we've seen so far.
Bitcoin lost the $70k level and quickly dropped over 6%, reaching roughly $65.9k. At this point, I'm still expecting price
to test the $65k support zone, where we could see a meaningful short-term relief bounce.
That said, the strength and speed of this sell-off shouldn't be ignored. If bearish momentum remains this aggressive, a move below $65k could open the door for a deeper correction into the low $60k region.
Should $65k fail to hold as support, I'll begin looking for a larger downside move, with potential new cycle lows forming around $52k–$48k—an area where significant buy-side liquidity from mid-2024 remains unfilled.
If you've been following my market updates over the past week, you'll know that many of these key breakdown levels and trigger points were highlighted in advance. The next few days could be critical, so keep a close eye on price action and risk management. 📊🔥
#MRVLSoarsOnNVDATrillionDollarOutlook #BinanceRollsOutTradingInUSStocks
Bitcoin has now moved back into its previous trading range.
Following yesterday’s daily close, price slipped back below $73.5k, confirming a loss of a key support zone.
A sustained hold above this level would have supported a continuation to the upside. However, the failed breakout has now tilted market structure back in favor of sellers.
From here, I’ll be focusing on a potential retest of the $74k–$76k area. This zone previously acted as support and is likely to flip into resistance.
If price reaches this region and shows clear rejection, I’ll consider entering a short position, targeting the untested lows below.
As long as $BTC stays under $76k, the probability of those lows being swept in the coming weeks increases.
The invalidation for this setup is $79.5k, just above the next major breakdown level. A move above this would weaken the bearish outlook significantly.
#BinanceRollsOutTradingInUSStocks #OpenAIIPOPlannedWhenBeneficial
Following yesterday’s daily close, price slipped back below $73.5k, confirming a loss of a key support zone.
A sustained hold above this level would have supported a continuation to the upside. However, the failed breakout has now tilted market structure back in favor of sellers.
From here, I’ll be focusing on a potential retest of the $74k–$76k area. This zone previously acted as support and is likely to flip into resistance.
If price reaches this region and shows clear rejection, I’ll consider entering a short position, targeting the untested lows below.
As long as $BTC stays under $76k, the probability of those lows being swept in the coming weeks increases.
The invalidation for this setup is $79.5k, just above the next major breakdown level. A move above this would weaken the bearish outlook significantly.
#BinanceRollsOutTradingInUSStocks #OpenAIIPOPlannedWhenBeneficial
$BTC Short-Term Outlook Is Looking Very Fragile.
As mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin needed to defend the rising support near $72.5k to give bulls a chance of regaining short-term momentum.
Unfortunately, that level failed decisively, sending price down toward the $70.5k area—exactly where I expected the next major test to occur. This zone is now extremely important. Bulls need to step in and defend it if they want to keep hopes of a recovery rally alive.
If $BTC breaks below $70k and struggles to reclaim it, the next likely destination could be around $65k. Losing that support would significantly increase the risk of a deeper correction and potentially a new bear-market low.
The coming days could be crucial for determining Bitcoin's next major move. Keep a close watch on price action, key support levels, and overall market sentiment, as volatility is likely to remain high. 📊🔥
#BrazilTightensVASPLicensing #SaylorSTRCBestCreditInstrument
As mentioned in my previous analysis, Bitcoin needed to defend the rising support near $72.5k to give bulls a chance of regaining short-term momentum.
Unfortunately, that level failed decisively, sending price down toward the $70.5k area—exactly where I expected the next major test to occur. This zone is now extremely important. Bulls need to step in and defend it if they want to keep hopes of a recovery rally alive.
If $BTC breaks below $70k and struggles to reclaim it, the next likely destination could be around $65k. Losing that support would significantly increase the risk of a deeper correction and potentially a new bear-market low.
The coming days could be crucial for determining Bitcoin's next major move. Keep a close watch on price action, key support levels, and overall market sentiment, as volatility is likely to remain high. 📊🔥
#BrazilTightensVASPLicensing #SaylorSTRCBestCreditInstrument
$BTC is at a critical make-or-break zone right now.
Price is gradually approaching one of the most important tests we’ve seen in recent weeks, where a long-standing trendline and horizontal support converge at the same key pivot.
This channel trendline has held the range intact for about four months, so its significance is clear.
At the same time, $BTC is testing the $72.5K support level, which has repeatedly acted as a major structural point within this entire range.
If both levels fail, it would trigger a compound breakdown that significantly weakens the overall chart structure and shifts the outlook.
That kind of breakdown would change the picture completely.
If bulls fail to defend this critical liquidity zone and push price back toward the middle of the range, it suggests downside pressure is still far from over.
#BlackRockDepositsBTCAndETHToCEX #EUAddressesEuroStablecoinGap
Price is gradually approaching one of the most important tests we’ve seen in recent weeks, where a long-standing trendline and horizontal support converge at the same key pivot.
This channel trendline has held the range intact for about four months, so its significance is clear.
At the same time, $BTC is testing the $72.5K support level, which has repeatedly acted as a major structural point within this entire range.
If both levels fail, it would trigger a compound breakdown that significantly weakens the overall chart structure and shifts the outlook.
That kind of breakdown would change the picture completely.
If bulls fail to defend this critical liquidity zone and push price back toward the middle of the range, it suggests downside pressure is still far from over.
#BlackRockDepositsBTCAndETHToCEX #EUAddressesEuroStablecoinGap
Why Decentralized Messaging Matters
Most people use messaging apps every day without thinking about who controls their conversations and personal data. Traditional platforms rely on centralized servers, meaning a single company stores and manages user information. This creates risks related to privacy, censorship, data breaches, and platform outages.
Liberdus aims to offer a different approach through decentralized communication. Instead of depending on a central authority, the network is designed to distribute responsibility across participants, helping improve resilience and user control. Combined with strong encryption and a focus on privacy, this model allows users to communicate more securely while maintaining ownership of their digital interactions.
As concerns about data privacy continue to grow worldwide, decentralized messaging solutions are becoming increasingly relevant. The future of communication may not simply be about sending messages faster, but about ensuring that users have greater freedom, security, and control over their information.
Privacy is no longer a luxury, it's becoming a necessity in the digital age
Go download Liberdus and try it out: liberdus.com
$BTC $BNB #Cardano2026SummitCanceled #NomuraLaserOCCTrustApproval
Most people use messaging apps every day without thinking about who controls their conversations and personal data. Traditional platforms rely on centralized servers, meaning a single company stores and manages user information. This creates risks related to privacy, censorship, data breaches, and platform outages.
Liberdus aims to offer a different approach through decentralized communication. Instead of depending on a central authority, the network is designed to distribute responsibility across participants, helping improve resilience and user control. Combined with strong encryption and a focus on privacy, this model allows users to communicate more securely while maintaining ownership of their digital interactions.
As concerns about data privacy continue to grow worldwide, decentralized messaging solutions are becoming increasingly relevant. The future of communication may not simply be about sending messages faster, but about ensuring that users have greater freedom, security, and control over their information.
Privacy is no longer a luxury, it's becoming a necessity in the digital age
Go download Liberdus and try it out: liberdus.com
$BTC $BNB #Cardano2026SummitCanceled #NomuraLaserOCCTrustApproval
$BTC Trading Plan for Next Week.
Bitcoin’s daily chart is showing early signs of relief after a strong selloff.
Following three consecutive bearish candles, the last three daily candles have closed with improved strength and no major imbalances. The current candle is also pushing above the previous day's high, suggesting a potential relief rally within the broader downtrend.
This scenario makes sense given last week's aggressive decline, which likely fueled panic selling and encouraged late short positions. That creates buy-side liquidity that the market may seek before making its next major move.
My key areas of interest are the remaining imbalances leading up to the 78K region. I'll be closely monitoring price action there for potential short setups.
Within those daily imbalances, the lower timeframes, especially the 1H chart, offer additional clues through liquidity pools, internal range liquidity (IRL), and other market structure signals.
The 78K level is particularly important because it represents both IRL and a key point where Bitcoin could reclaim and potentially reverse the current daily downtrend structure.
. A sweep into 78K could provide an attractive short opportunity if rejection occurs.
. A successful reclaim and hold above 78K would strengthen the case for continued upside.
If bullish structure begins to fail before reaching those levels, I'll look for short opportunities targeting the 70.6K low as the primary downside objective.
For anyone wondering whether this means Bitcoin is going up or down, the answer is that traders prepare for both outcomes. The goal is to identify key points of interest, wait for confirmation, and then execute based on what the market actually does.
Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead and great risk-to-reward setups. 🚀📈
#NomuraOCCTrustBankApproval #XRPLProposalBlocksFlashLoans
Bitcoin’s daily chart is showing early signs of relief after a strong selloff.
Following three consecutive bearish candles, the last three daily candles have closed with improved strength and no major imbalances. The current candle is also pushing above the previous day's high, suggesting a potential relief rally within the broader downtrend.
This scenario makes sense given last week's aggressive decline, which likely fueled panic selling and encouraged late short positions. That creates buy-side liquidity that the market may seek before making its next major move.
My key areas of interest are the remaining imbalances leading up to the 78K region. I'll be closely monitoring price action there for potential short setups.
Within those daily imbalances, the lower timeframes, especially the 1H chart, offer additional clues through liquidity pools, internal range liquidity (IRL), and other market structure signals.
The 78K level is particularly important because it represents both IRL and a key point where Bitcoin could reclaim and potentially reverse the current daily downtrend structure.
. A sweep into 78K could provide an attractive short opportunity if rejection occurs.
. A successful reclaim and hold above 78K would strengthen the case for continued upside.
If bullish structure begins to fail before reaching those levels, I'll look for short opportunities targeting the 70.6K low as the primary downside objective.
For anyone wondering whether this means Bitcoin is going up or down, the answer is that traders prepare for both outcomes. The goal is to identify key points of interest, wait for confirmation, and then execute based on what the market actually does.
Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead and great risk-to-reward setups. 🚀📈
#NomuraOCCTrustBankApproval #XRPLProposalBlocksFlashLoans
$BTC has reached the exact level I was watching.
After Bitcoin lost the $75K support level on the daily chart, I mentioned that a retest of the long-term uptrend around $72K–$72.5K was the most likely next move. Price has now tagged that zone almost perfectly.
Since touching that support, BTC has attempted a recovery, but the bounce has been relatively weak. The previous support around $75K is now a key resistance area, and I wouldn't be surprised to see price test it before facing another rejection.
At the moment, bulls have not shown enough strength to reclaim momentum and establish a move back above $75K. Unless that changes, the market remains vulnerable to further downside.
The $72K–$72.5K region is now the critical level to watch. A decisive break below it could trigger the next major leg down and potentially send Bitcoin back toward the $60K lows.
The next few days should provide important clues about where the market heads next.
#CME247CryptoFutures #CME247CryptoFutures
After Bitcoin lost the $75K support level on the daily chart, I mentioned that a retest of the long-term uptrend around $72K–$72.5K was the most likely next move. Price has now tagged that zone almost perfectly.
Since touching that support, BTC has attempted a recovery, but the bounce has been relatively weak. The previous support around $75K is now a key resistance area, and I wouldn't be surprised to see price test it before facing another rejection.
At the moment, bulls have not shown enough strength to reclaim momentum and establish a move back above $75K. Unless that changes, the market remains vulnerable to further downside.
The $72K–$72.5K region is now the critical level to watch. A decisive break below it could trigger the next major leg down and potentially send Bitcoin back toward the $60K lows.
The next few days should provide important clues about where the market heads next.
#CME247CryptoFutures #CME247CryptoFutures
$BTC appears due for a short-term relief bounce.
My broader outlook on Bitcoin remains bearish, but on the intraday timeframe a corrective move higher is likely from here.
The 72.5K PDL is currently holding, so a sweep of the 74.5K PDH is a realistic target as liquidity sits above recent lows.
There is significant buy-side liquidity overhead following the recent drop, which could attract price higher to trigger liquidations before another move down.
My short point of interest remains unchanged, and I’ll be monitoring price reaction after a potential sweep of 74.5K.
The 75.6K level left a daily imbalance, and the 74.5K–75.6K range contains inefficiencies and internal liquidity that may get mitigated.
For the week, the most extreme short area would be near the 78.2K PWH, especially since the PWL has already been taken.
Anything below 78.2K still presents solid short opportunities on retests, so I’m open to building a swing position there.
I took a long earlier
today for exposure in case we get the bounce, but overall I’m only scalping while maintaining a bearish bias.
#GENIUSBinanceHODLer #SuiNetworkSixHourOutage
My broader outlook on Bitcoin remains bearish, but on the intraday timeframe a corrective move higher is likely from here.
The 72.5K PDL is currently holding, so a sweep of the 74.5K PDH is a realistic target as liquidity sits above recent lows.
There is significant buy-side liquidity overhead following the recent drop, which could attract price higher to trigger liquidations before another move down.
My short point of interest remains unchanged, and I’ll be monitoring price reaction after a potential sweep of 74.5K.
The 75.6K level left a daily imbalance, and the 74.5K–75.6K range contains inefficiencies and internal liquidity that may get mitigated.
For the week, the most extreme short area would be near the 78.2K PWH, especially since the PWL has already been taken.
Anything below 78.2K still presents solid short opportunities on retests, so I’m open to building a swing position there.
I took a long earlier
today for exposure in case we get the bounce, but overall I’m only scalping while maintaining a bearish bias.
#GENIUSBinanceHODLer #SuiNetworkSixHourOutage
$BTC
Price has now broken below the 75k level and is currently testing the previous weekly low around 74.3k.
Open Interest is rising aggressively while price continues printing new lows, which shows sellers are becoming increasingly aggressive and stacking more shorts into the move.
The last time we saw this kind of heavy short positioning was around the equal lows sweep, and that eventually led to a strong short squeeze that pushed price toward 78k.
At the moment, Perps CVD remains deeply negative and continues declining, while spot selling pressure is still heavy.
Longs are getting wiped out continuously, and overall market internals still support the bearish case for now.
So yes, bears are in control at this moment.
However, this setup is starting to look very similar to the previous major dump, and just like before, I’m expecting a strong short squeeze from this region back toward 79k.
With OI this elevated, there are massive short positions building up, and historically the market rarely rewards overcrowded shorts chasing every breakdown.
What I’m watching next:
I expect price to break below the previous weekly low around 74.2k, sweep the liquidity sitting between 73k–74k, and possibly extend into the 72.8k region before finding a strong reversal.
After that, price may chop around for a while, close the monthly candle red, and then use the next monthly candle to reclaim higher levels and sweep liquidity on the upside.
Overall, I still believe it’s only a matter of time before late shorts get squeezed out.
And if you think this thesis is wrong, open your short, post it publicly, and tag me.
#FedGoolsbeeWarnsAsiaStagflation #IranAttacksUSAirbase
Price has now broken below the 75k level and is currently testing the previous weekly low around 74.3k.
Open Interest is rising aggressively while price continues printing new lows, which shows sellers are becoming increasingly aggressive and stacking more shorts into the move.
The last time we saw this kind of heavy short positioning was around the equal lows sweep, and that eventually led to a strong short squeeze that pushed price toward 78k.
At the moment, Perps CVD remains deeply negative and continues declining, while spot selling pressure is still heavy.
Longs are getting wiped out continuously, and overall market internals still support the bearish case for now.
So yes, bears are in control at this moment.
However, this setup is starting to look very similar to the previous major dump, and just like before, I’m expecting a strong short squeeze from this region back toward 79k.
With OI this elevated, there are massive short positions building up, and historically the market rarely rewards overcrowded shorts chasing every breakdown.
What I’m watching next:
I expect price to break below the previous weekly low around 74.2k, sweep the liquidity sitting between 73k–74k, and possibly extend into the 72.8k region before finding a strong reversal.
After that, price may chop around for a while, close the monthly candle red, and then use the next monthly candle to reclaim higher levels and sweep liquidity on the upside.
Overall, I still believe it’s only a matter of time before late shorts get squeezed out.
And if you think this thesis is wrong, open your short, post it publicly, and tag me.
#FedGoolsbeeWarnsAsiaStagflation #IranAttacksUSAirbase
$BTC is playing out almost exactly as expected.
Over the past week, I’ve been highlighting how Bitcoin has been trapped between two key levels. On one side, we have major resistance from the 200EMA on the 4H chart, and on the other, a strong support zone around $75.5k–$74.6k, which price is currently testing once again.
We’ve now seen more than a dozen retests of the 200EMA recently, with price consistently rejecting from that level. At the same time, BTC has rotated back into the major support region I’ve been discussing for days.
The setup remains straightforward: if Bitcoin loses the $75.5k–$74.6k support zone with confirmation, the next likely short-term move could send price toward the trendline near $72k. On the flip side, a clean breakout above the 200EMA could open the door for another push toward the $80k area.
The next few days could be very important for overall market direction, so price action here is worth watching closely.
#BitcoinGoldenCrossTo75k #SpotHYPEEFTs1PctMCap10Day
Over the past week, I’ve been highlighting how Bitcoin has been trapped between two key levels. On one side, we have major resistance from the 200EMA on the 4H chart, and on the other, a strong support zone around $75.5k–$74.6k, which price is currently testing once again.
We’ve now seen more than a dozen retests of the 200EMA recently, with price consistently rejecting from that level. At the same time, BTC has rotated back into the major support region I’ve been discussing for days.
The setup remains straightforward: if Bitcoin loses the $75.5k–$74.6k support zone with confirmation, the next likely short-term move could send price toward the trendline near $72k. On the flip side, a clean breakout above the 200EMA could open the door for another push toward the $80k area.
The next few days could be very important for overall market direction, so price action here is worth watching closely.
#BitcoinGoldenCrossTo75k #SpotHYPEEFTs1PctMCap10Day
$BTC
Here’s the scenario I’m watching over the next 7 days.
There’s a big liquidity cluster sitting above pwH around 78.2k, and in my opinion, it doesn’t get front-run. Most CT “normies” are eyeing that 78k breakout thinking price will instantly send to 86k once it clears.
I see it differently.
To me, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the start of a real breakout.
Does that mean we never revisit 78–80k?
Not at all.
The key level I’m focused on is 79k, but I don’t think we head there immediately. First, I expect price to sweep pwL around 74.3k, then push into the 79–80k region.
What happens above 79k will be very important because that’s where we’ll find out if price is truly heading for the mH sweep or not.
I’ve been calling for the 82.8k mH sweep for over a week now, and I still believe we tap that level before the real top forms and the larger dump begins.
Another reason I lean bearish longer term: BTC has never closed 3 consecutive green monthly candles before. That’s why I think price eventually closes back below mO, then retests the highs again next month to properly form the macro top.
I’ll revisit this post once we’re back below 75k.
And if you believe we’re about to follow the “straight to 86k” normie playbook instead.
Counter-trade me, post your setup, and tag me.
#EthereumHegotaUpgradePrivacyTransfers #HYPEBrieflySurpassesDOGE
Here’s the scenario I’m watching over the next 7 days.
There’s a big liquidity cluster sitting above pwH around 78.2k, and in my opinion, it doesn’t get front-run. Most CT “normies” are eyeing that 78k breakout thinking price will instantly send to 86k once it clears.
I see it differently.
To me, that move looks more like a bearish retest than the start of a real breakout.
Does that mean we never revisit 78–80k?
Not at all.
The key level I’m focused on is 79k, but I don’t think we head there immediately. First, I expect price to sweep pwL around 74.3k, then push into the 79–80k region.
What happens above 79k will be very important because that’s where we’ll find out if price is truly heading for the mH sweep or not.
I’ve been calling for the 82.8k mH sweep for over a week now, and I still believe we tap that level before the real top forms and the larger dump begins.
Another reason I lean bearish longer term: BTC has never closed 3 consecutive green monthly candles before. That’s why I think price eventually closes back below mO, then retests the highs again next month to properly form the macro top.
I’ll revisit this post once we’re back below 75k.
And if you believe we’re about to follow the “straight to 86k” normie playbook instead.
Counter-trade me, post your setup, and tag me.
#EthereumHegotaUpgradePrivacyTransfers #HYPEBrieflySurpassesDOGE
$BTC
Bitcoin update, overall outlook remains unchanged from yesterday.
The impulsive structure is still intact, and in my view the larger sell-off likely hasn’t happened yet. From here, traders need to decide whether to hedge exposure around the $78.5K–81K resistance zone or gradually reduce spot positions.
The bearish outlook would only be invalidated by a confirmed break above $82.8K. If that level is reclaimed, we’d need to shift toward a more bullish deviation scenario. Until then, the probability of a deeper correction remains high.
My main expectation is still a move toward the $54K–48K range, where Bitcoin could finally form a broader bottom and complete the larger corrective structure.
Ideally, price prints another clean three-wave rally before the next leg down. Wave 2 recoveries are often sharp and convincing enough to make the market believe a bullish reversal is underway before the trend rolls over again.
If we get a more defined three-wave push higher, downside targets can be mapped out with greater precision. For now, the broader resistance zone between $78.5K and $81K remains the key area to monitor.
Another important point: the final decline toward the $55K region should likely unfold impulsively in a five-wave structure. That said, corrective Wave 5 moves are usually messy, volatile, and difficult to count accurately.
Because of that, it’s better not to obsess over every small wave near the end of the move. The bigger focus should remain on the broader downside target zone between roughly $54.6K and $48K.
#TrumpSaysIranDealLargelyNegotiated #WhiteHouseShooting
Bitcoin update, overall outlook remains unchanged from yesterday.
The impulsive structure is still intact, and in my view the larger sell-off likely hasn’t happened yet. From here, traders need to decide whether to hedge exposure around the $78.5K–81K resistance zone or gradually reduce spot positions.
The bearish outlook would only be invalidated by a confirmed break above $82.8K. If that level is reclaimed, we’d need to shift toward a more bullish deviation scenario. Until then, the probability of a deeper correction remains high.
My main expectation is still a move toward the $54K–48K range, where Bitcoin could finally form a broader bottom and complete the larger corrective structure.
Ideally, price prints another clean three-wave rally before the next leg down. Wave 2 recoveries are often sharp and convincing enough to make the market believe a bullish reversal is underway before the trend rolls over again.
If we get a more defined three-wave push higher, downside targets can be mapped out with greater precision. For now, the broader resistance zone between $78.5K and $81K remains the key area to monitor.
Another important point: the final decline toward the $55K region should likely unfold impulsively in a five-wave structure. That said, corrective Wave 5 moves are usually messy, volatile, and difficult to count accurately.
Because of that, it’s better not to obsess over every small wave near the end of the move. The bigger focus should remain on the broader downside target zone between roughly $54.6K and $48K.
#TrumpSaysIranDealLargelyNegotiated #WhiteHouseShooting
$BTC
Price broke below mO and swept the equal lows around 74.9k.
Most of the downside liquidity has now been taken, and price is sitting at a strong support zone.
A large number of longs have already been flushed out, while late shorts are starting to pile in at these levels.
Historically, setups like this often lead to a local bottom followed by a relief bounce.
Because of that, I’m expecting a bounce or re-test toward the 78k–80k region.
There’s also a significant amount of liquidity resting above 78k, which makes that area a likely target on any recovery move.
Beyond that, heavy liquidity remains above the mH at 82.8k, which could be tapped if BTC manages to reclaim and hold above 80k.
On the lower timeframes, there are no major support levels visible, although price could still extend lower into the 73k–73.5k range to sweep remaining liquidity first.
#BitcoinBreaksBelow75KAsWarshTakesFedHelm #FenwickWestSettlesFTXFor54M
Price broke below mO and swept the equal lows around 74.9k.
Most of the downside liquidity has now been taken, and price is sitting at a strong support zone.
A large number of longs have already been flushed out, while late shorts are starting to pile in at these levels.
Historically, setups like this often lead to a local bottom followed by a relief bounce.
Because of that, I’m expecting a bounce or re-test toward the 78k–80k region.
There’s also a significant amount of liquidity resting above 78k, which makes that area a likely target on any recovery move.
Beyond that, heavy liquidity remains above the mH at 82.8k, which could be tapped if BTC manages to reclaim and hold above 80k.
On the lower timeframes, there are no major support levels visible, although price could still extend lower into the 73k–73.5k range to sweep remaining liquidity first.
#BitcoinBreaksBelow75KAsWarshTakesFedHelm #FenwickWestSettlesFTXFor54M
🟥🟥 BTC LIMIT SHORT TRADE 🟥🟥
ENTRY: 75 972
STOP LOSS: 77 884
TAKE PROFIT: 73 831
$BTC remains in a strong downtrend.
However, I believe it is not very wise to short right now.
I prefer to wait for a correct entry just below 76 000$.
This trade will be part of the 500 to 5000$ challenge and I will risk 100$ on this one.
#ECBOpposesEuroStablecoinExpansion #USDCCirculationUp400MWeekly
ENTRY: 75 972
STOP LOSS: 77 884
TAKE PROFIT: 73 831
$BTC remains in a strong downtrend.
However, I believe it is not very wise to short right now.
I prefer to wait for a correct entry just below 76 000$.
This trade will be part of the 500 to 5000$ challenge and I will risk 100$ on this one.
#ECBOpposesEuroStablecoinExpansion #USDCCirculationUp400MWeekly
$BTC LONG UPDATE 📈
On the 2H timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading inside a strong bullish trend structure.
A solid bottom has now formed, and every attempt to create an equal low keeps failing.
That’s a warning sign for bears, especially with price continuing to print higher lows and higher highs.
If momentum stays strong, BTC could push toward 78.5k and possibly 79k under favourable market conditions. That remains my target zone to close my long position.
For now, nothing has changed in my plan — still holding longs.
#USCourtDeniesKalshiPolymarketPause #CryptoMarketCapNears2.6T
On the 2H timeframe, Bitcoin is still trading inside a strong bullish trend structure.
A solid bottom has now formed, and every attempt to create an equal low keeps failing.
That’s a warning sign for bears, especially with price continuing to print higher lows and higher highs.
If momentum stays strong, BTC could push toward 78.5k and possibly 79k under favourable market conditions. That remains my target zone to close my long position.
For now, nothing has changed in my plan — still holding longs.
#USCourtDeniesKalshiPolymarketPause #CryptoMarketCapNears2.6T
$BTC tapped the weekly imbalance and saw a rejection there.
I already took profit on my longs after the first IRL target was cleared.
Price also swept the 77.8K previous daily high, which strengthens the chances of the 76.5K PDL holding as support.
From the higher timeframe perspective, we already lost the previous weekly low and have now filled the 78.2K weekly imbalance.
Sadly, I missed the A+ short setup because it happened while I was asleep. No reason to chase the move now though — I’d rather wait for cleaner confirmations instead of forcing a trade.
This recent push likely trapped a lot of late FOMO longs, while volume started fading. Because of that, a deeper pullback wouldn’t be surprising at all. If price respects the 76.5K PDL and gives me confirmation, I’ll probably look for a range-trade long setup.
My preferred short zone would be near 79K, but I’m not trying to predict the market. If $BTC keeps dropping and loses the PDL, I’ll instead watch for short opportunities on a retest.
Right now, price is stuck between bullish and bearish pressure, so patience matters more than forcing entries.
#FedRateHikeProbability52% #StablecoinsOutpaceTokenizedMMFs
I already took profit on my longs after the first IRL target was cleared.
Price also swept the 77.8K previous daily high, which strengthens the chances of the 76.5K PDL holding as support.
From the higher timeframe perspective, we already lost the previous weekly low and have now filled the 78.2K weekly imbalance.
Sadly, I missed the A+ short setup because it happened while I was asleep. No reason to chase the move now though — I’d rather wait for cleaner confirmations instead of forcing a trade.
This recent push likely trapped a lot of late FOMO longs, while volume started fading. Because of that, a deeper pullback wouldn’t be surprising at all. If price respects the 76.5K PDL and gives me confirmation, I’ll probably look for a range-trade long setup.
My preferred short zone would be near 79K, but I’m not trying to predict the market. If $BTC keeps dropping and loses the PDL, I’ll instead watch for short opportunities on a retest.
Right now, price is stuck between bullish and bearish pressure, so patience matters more than forcing entries.
#FedRateHikeProbability52% #StablecoinsOutpaceTokenizedMMFs
Gold pulling back from recent highs while top tech stocks face pressure is showing how selective markets have become. Companies like $NVDA and Microsoft still benefit from strong AI demand and cash flow, while other Mag 7 names are struggling to maintain momentum after massive rallies.
$XAU correction also feels more like a reset than a collapse. With inflation concerns, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions still active, many investors may continue viewing gold as a long-term hedge.
Crude oil remains volatile as traders balance slowing global growth against ongoing supply risks.
This market rewards patience, strong fundamentals, and disciplined risk management over hype chasing.
#PostonTradFi $XAU
$XAU correction also feels more like a reset than a collapse. With inflation concerns, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions still active, many investors may continue viewing gold as a long-term hedge.
Crude oil remains volatile as traders balance slowing global growth against ongoing supply risks.
This market rewards patience, strong fundamentals, and disciplined risk management over hype chasing.
#PostonTradFi $XAU
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