THREAD: The most important financial story nobody understands.
On March 20, 2000, one man lost $6 BILLION in a single day.
Not over months. Not over weeks.
Six and a half hours.
The SEC confirmed it. The Washington Post documented it as "the most any single person had ever lost in 24 hours."
His name was Michael Saylor.
Today he controls 672,497 Bitcoin.
That's 3.2% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist.
Cost basis: $50.44 billion.
Here's what Wall Street missed:
The same psychology that enables someone to absorb a $6B loss without breaking is IDENTICAL to the psychology that enables concentrated conviction in a single volatile asset.
This isn't recklessness.
This is trauma architecture.
The 2000 crash taught him: Accounting profits are fiction. Regulators can restate them overnight.
The 2020 Fed response taught him: Fiat currency is fiction. Central banks can debase it overnight.
Bitcoin has no earnings to restate. Bitcoin has no central bank to debase it.
He found the antithesis of everything that destroyed him.
The falsifiable prediction:
By December 2026, Saylor will either be worth $50B+ or face his second catastrophic loss in a single career.
There is no middle outcome.
The arithmetic is merciless.
The man who called Bitcoin's "days numbered" in 2013 (that tweet still exists) now holds more than any corporation, any sovereign wealth fund, any individual except Satoshi.
Genius or repetition compulsion?
The verdict arrives by 2030.
Bookmark this.
$BTC
$BTC Update
Still holding the long from 87.5K, but given the recent price action, if BTC fails to hold the weekly open, we could easily move down toward 86.3K or even 84.4K.
We’ve been battling the 88K area for a while now, and if we can’t get acceptance above it, price will likely continue chopping and sweeping lower liquidity levels before any meaningful bounce.
We’re still trading in the middle of the range, so entries are riskier. I caught the 2% bounce, but price has since retraced most of that move.
This doesn’t change my overall bias for a bearish retest into February, it just changes the execution. If we lose the weekly open, we can expect lower levels to be tested, where I’ll look for better entries instead.
Stops are now at breakeven on the long. If we lose the weekly open, there’s no reason to let the trade round-trip or turn into a loss. I’ll step aside and wait for cleaner entries.
🚨 THE SILVER STORY WALL STREET HOPES YOU NEVER VERIFY
That viral “4.4 BILLION oz short” post?
Mathematically impossible.
Total COMEX open interest: ~200,000 contracts = 1 billion oz MAX.
For BofA + Citi to hold 4.4B oz short, they’d need positions 4x LARGER than the entire futures market combined.
The number misinterprets OTC notional derivatives as net exposure.
But here’s what the doom-posters accidentally got RIGHT:
The REAL crisis is worse than they understand.
VERIFIED (Silver Institute, CFTC, CME):
→ 820 MILLION oz cumulative deficit (2021-2025)
→ 5th consecutive structural shortage
→ Production CAPPED at ~800M oz/year
→ Industrial demand: 70%+ of annual supply
→ Solar alone: 232M oz in 2025 (+20% YoY)
→ Shanghai premium: $8-12/oz above London
The shorts aren’t the story.
The DEPLETION is.
At current deficit rates, above-ground investable silver depletes within a decade.
Not manipulation. Geological mathematics.
The banks aren’t “trapped” — they’re repositioning.
JPMorgan flipped from 200M oz short to 750M oz LONG physical.
They see what’s coming.
Silver just touched $84.
Gold-to-silver ratio at 53:1.
Historical crisis norm: below 40:1.
My prediction:
$100/oz by March 31, 2026.
Screenshot this.
If I’m wrong, I’ll delete it publicly.
The viral posts got the mechanism wrong.
They got the direction right.
Verify everything.
Trust nothing.
The century’s most asymmetric trade is hiding in plain sight.
$BTC
🚨 ATTENTION À TOUTES ET TOUS MES ABONNÉ(E)S CRYPTO 🚨
C’est une arnaque classique à 200% qui sévit fort (surtout en Côte d’Ivoire, Sénégal et ailleurs) 🥺🔴
EXEMPLE : ce faux message rouge “Commission requise” demande 1 764 200 XOF (environ 2 700 €) via Mobile Money (Orange Money, MoMo, Wave…) pour soi-disant “débloquer” une transaction ou payer une commission.
Il joue la carte de la gentillesse, genre “je veux apprendre Binance, aidez-moi svp” pour attirer les bonnes âmes. Puis, il balance ce faux écran pour dire “aidez-moi à payer cette commission, je vous rembourse x10”… C’EST UN PIÈGE ! 😡
Pourquoi c’est FAKE ?
#Binance ne t’envoie jamais ce genre de message.
Sur l’app officielle Binance, tout est clair et ils ne demandent jamais d’envoyer de l’argent en dehors de la plateforme pour “débloquer” quoi que ce soit.
Ces arnaques explosent en Afrique Francophone ciblant les portefeuilles via de faux messages alarmants.
✒️ Attention, c’est une arnaque connue 😱 Protège-toi bien, joyeuses fêtes sécurisées ! 🔒💛 #BinanceSafety
💖 CONSEILS POUR TOUS :
Trade seulement via l’app officielle Binance 💛
Vérifie toujours les demandes d’argent avant de valider une transaction ✨
En cas de doute, contacte directement le support Binance (pas de messages privés avec des inconnu(e)s !)
Bloque et signale toute activité suspecte 🔒
Nous sommes une grande famille crypto, nous veillons les uns sur les autres pour un 2026 serein et rempli de bull runs 🙏💫
Bisous sécurisés et prudence à toutes et tous 😘🔴
Bienveillament ✨️
#PATRICIABM 🌹💖💫