Binance spot selling heavily at the highs, while volume delta stays green. Means spot sellers are distributing, but perps keep piling in long positions.
Structure still bullish but longs are vulnerable if momentum flips! ⚠️
Price started slow from 2012 to 2017, then we saw the breakout to $20K. It crashed to $3K, recovered strong, and hit $69K in 2021. Since then, we dropped below $20K, and now price is back around $109K.
Bottom line, volatility is normal, Bitcoin always bounces back, and big players still move this market. The real question are we heading for a new all-time high or another shakeout? Stay sharp.
But behind the noise, smart money’s calm. Long-term $BTC holders aren’t selling. History shows silence like this? It’s the calm before the rally. Don’t confuse boredom with weakness. Accumulate like it’s 2019.
Over 17.6% of BTC is lost forever. Another 5.2% sits untouched in Satoshi’s wallet. And 6.6% hasn’t even been mined yet. That means nearly 30% of total supply is effectively off the market.
The current breakdown shows 57% held by individuals, 3.9% by ETFs (growing steadily), 3.6% by companies, 2.7% by governments, and 3.4% with miners.
Meanwhile, real supply is shrinking as institutional demand rises. Halving cycles, ETF inflows, and global adoption are all converging.
With less than 2 million BTC left to mine, scarcity is no longer theoretical. it’s happening on-chain.
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• In both 2024 and 2025, sharp drops in OI (–20% to –25%) were often followed by Bitcoin price corrections between –7% and –21%. • Right now, OI is down just –3.5%, showing only mild reduction in leveraged positions. • However, if OI falls sharply again toward –20%, we could see another correction, potentially in the –5% to –15% range.
🔼 Still, the overall market structure remains bullish. Short-term dips don’t mean the trend is reversing.
📌 Smart money closely tracks OI to anticipate market moves.
Bitcoin's still playing within that symmetrical triangle! We're seeing the 21-day MA acting as resistance above, while the 50-day MA holds strong as support below. Keep an eye out for a breakout above the 21MA for potential upward momentum, or a breakdown below the triangle's support which could trigger a market correction. Stay sharp!
𝐆𝐌 𝐂𝐫𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐨 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐞𝐫𝐬 $𝐖𝐈𝐅/𝐔𝐒𝐃𝐓 𝐋𝐨𝐧𝐠 𝐒𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐩: Traders, $WIF is looking prime! It's been consolidating in a falling wedge pattern and just bounced strongly off the major horizontal support at $0.77. The structure is tightening, could a breakout be imminent?
Trade Plan Breakdown: Entry Zone: $0.77 - $0.81 Breakout Confirmation: A decisive 4H close above the wedge trendline (approx. $0.87) is key.
Targets: T1: $0.95 T2: $1.10 T3: $1.35 Invalidation / SL: A close below $0.74. Risk-Reward: High (3R+ depending on entry).
Strategy: Wait for confirmed breakout volume. Aggressive entries near current support with a tight SL are also viable for those comfortable with added risk.
Key level $106.9K broken, MACD turns bearish. Over $1B in liquidations drove price to $105K. 3 Watch $102.9K Fibonacci support zone. Fear & Greed Index fell from 65 to 48. ETF inflows hold steady but can’t stop macro-driven selloff. Can #BTC recover if geopolitics cool down?
$𝐄𝐓𝐇 weekly candles looking wild, we’ve been closing within the same tight ~3% range for 6 straight weeks. But the wicks? Swinging nearly 10% both ways. Volatility’s high, but price action still stuck.
ETF inflows are at all-time highs, yet no real breakout… something’s loading. Stay alert 👀
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